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← Back to GamesNov 19, 2022Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

Mississippi State by 20

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 86%

Market (consensus)

Mississippi State -39

Edge: East Tennessee State +39 (19.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 19, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
East Tennessee State
00077
Mississippi StateMississippi State
142114756

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-021-035-042-049-056-056-7
Mississippi StateEast Tennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSETSMSETSMSETSMSETSETSMSETSMSETSETSMSETSMSETSMSETSMSMSETSMSETSTD341ydTO832ydTD961ydMISS1142ydTD773ydPUNT3-4ydUncategorized4-14ydTD20ydPUNT37ydTD453ydPUNT40ydMISS522ydEND110ydTO515ydTD958ydPUNT721ydTD865ydDOWNS4-1ydTD432ydPUNT39ydTD412ydTO2-1ydPUNT35ydPUNT732ydEND513yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing East Tennessee State and Mississippi State
StatisticEast Tennessee StateMississippi State
Passing6-1838-49
Pass Yards43342
Rush Yards11176
Total Yards154418
Turnovers31
3rd Down2-135-9
Penalties4-362-15
Possession32:5127:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

East Tennessee State
passing
Tyler Riddell
5/11, 47 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jacob Saylors
14 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Cameron Lewis
2 REC, 25 YDS
defense
Ja'Varius Harrison
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Mississippi State
passing
Will Rogers
30/37, 301 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
5 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Robinson
5 REC, 62 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

ROGERS, Will pass up the middle complete for 6 yards to WALLEY, Jaden to the ETS35 (SCOTT, Stephen;WRIGHT, Rodney). PENALTY ETS Offsides on WRIGHT, Rodney enforced 5 yards from the ETS41 to the ETS36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 9 yds to the ETnSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 15 yds to the ETnSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 12 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Riddell run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Isaiah Wilson for 9 yds to the ETnSt 46

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jacob Saylors run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jacob Saylors run for 5 yds to the MisSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Jacob Saylors for 3 yds to the MisSt 43

3rd & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -2.78

Tyler Riddell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jo'quavious Marks run for 6 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.61

Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 12 yds to the ETnSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jo'quavious Marks run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.76

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 7 yds to the ETnSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.36

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 16 yds to the ETnSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 59 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 25 yds to the ETnSt 31

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Jacob Saylors run for 11 yds to the ETnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Cameron Lewis for 7 yds to the MisSt 49

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.18

Jacob Saylors run for 2 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.08

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Cameron Lewis for 18 yds to the MisSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 31

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jawan Martin run for 4 yds to the MisSt 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+44 yds

Tyler Keltner 44 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 9 yds to the MisSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

J.J. Jernighan run for 2 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Will Rogers pass complete to Scoobie Ford for 19 yds to the ETnSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

J.J. Jernighan run for 6 yds to the ETnSt 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.19

Will Rogers pass complete to Scoobie Ford for 5 yds to the ETnSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.82

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 26 yds to the ETnSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jacob Saylors run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Riddell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

EAST TENN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ETnSt 21

4th & 14Punt-2 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 39 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 38

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Rogers run for 3 yds to the MisSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 1 yd to the MisSt 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds to the MisSt 47

4th & 1Penalty0 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Will Rogers) to the MisSt 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Jacob Saylors run for no gain to the MisSt 24

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+82 ydsPPA -10.88

Emmanuel Forbes 82 Yd Interception Return (Massimo Biscardi Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 61 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 26 yds to the ETnSt 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Baron May pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 37

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Baron May pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 16 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 7 yds to the ETnSt 46

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 4 yds to the ETnSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.65

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 20 yds to the ETnSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Jo'quavious Marks run for 22 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Jacob Saylors run for 11 yds to the ETnSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jacob Saylors run for no gain to the ETnSt 36

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jacob Saylors run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETnSt 35

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Riddell sacked by Sherman Timbs for a loss of 10 yards to the ETnSt 25

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the MisSt 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.19

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 20 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jo'quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Rogers run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 27

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

ROGERS, Will pass to the right complete for 4 yards to ROBINSON, Justin caught at the ETS24 and advanced to the ETS23 (PRICE, Mike). PENALTY MSU Pass Interference on FORD, Scoobie enforced 15 yards to the ETS42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Will Rogers pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 11 yds to the ETnSt 31

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Massimo Biscardi 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Jacob Saylors run for 10 yds to the ETnSt 41 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 40 yds , Jawan Martin return for 9 yds to the ETnSt 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 37

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.84

Jawan Martin run for no gain to the ETnSt 37

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.48

Tyler Riddell pass complete to Will Huzzie for 10 yds to the ETnSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Trey Foster run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 49

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -2.24

Tyler Riddell pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 6 yds to the MisSt 48

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.93

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 7 yds to the ETnSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 15 yds to the ETnSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 6 yds to the ETnSt 24

2nd & 4Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.72

Jo'quavious Marks run for 19 yds to the ETnSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 5 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 63 yds , Jacob Saylors return for 13 yds to the ETnSt 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Baron May run for 7 yds to the ETnSt 22

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.10

Baron May run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Baron May run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Baron May run for 8 yds to the ETnSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Baron May run for 2 yds to the ETnSt 39

2nd & 8Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Trey Foster run for a loss of 3 yards to the ETnSt 36

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Baron May pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 29 yds, downed at the MisSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 11 yds to the MisSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Will Rogers run for 5 yds to the ETnSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.17

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 16 yds to the ETnSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Will Rogers pass complete to Jamire Calvin for 8 yds to the ETnSt 25

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

ROGERS, Will pass to the right incomplete intended for ROBINSON, Justin thrown to the ETS3. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference on HUZZIE, Alijah enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the ETS11 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Rogers pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 2 yds to the ETnSt 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 8 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 53 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 21 yds to the ETnSt 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Trey Foster run for 3 yds to the ETnSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Baron May pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Baron May run for no gain to the ETnSt 36

4th & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA +0.05

Noah West pass complete to Ton'Quez Ball for a loss of 4 yards to the ETnSt 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.24

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Rara Thomas for 11 yds to the ETnSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 3 yds to the ETnSt 18

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Zavion Thomas for 5 yds to the ETnSt 13

3rd & 2Penalty+11 yds

LOVERTICH, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for THOMAS, Rara thrown to the ETS0. PENALTY ETS Pass Interference on SMITH, Quinn enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the ETS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chance Lovertich pass complete to J.J. Jernighan for 2 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 64 yds , Ton'Quez Ball return for 24 yds to the ETnSt 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Trey Foster run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Adrian Johnson run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Trey Foster run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Zavion Thomas at the MisSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 14 yds to the ETnSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

J.J. Jernighan run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Chance Lovertich pass complete to Marquez Dortch for 1 yd to the ETnSt 44

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.06

Chance Lovertich sacked by Rodney Wright and Ja'Varius Harrison for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 49

4th & 12Blocked Punt Touchdown+29 ydsPPA -7.16

Erek Campbell 29 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Tyler Keltner Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Tyler Keltner kickoff for 59 yds , Zavion Thomas return for 27 yds to the MisSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Zavion Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 32

2nd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA -0.47

Sawyer Robertson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Mac McCovery run for 1 yd to the ETnSt 40

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Baron May run for 4 yds to the ETnSt 44

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Baron May pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Trace Kelley punt for 49 yds, downed at the MisSt 7

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.60

Javaris Bufford run for 15 yds to the MisSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Javaris Bufford run for 3 yds to the MisSt 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.58

Sawyer Robertson run for 8 yds to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kaydin Pope for 6 yds to the MisSt 39

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+19 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 39 yds , Alijah Huzzie returns for 19 yds to the ETnSt 41

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Adrian Johnson run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Adrian Johnson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Baron May run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 49

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Adrian Johnson run for 1 yd to the MisSt 48

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Adrian Johnson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 46

Situational Analysis

East Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
23 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
9%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
75%
32 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play