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← Back to GamesNov 13, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia by 17.3

Home Win Probability

Mississippi State 13%

Market (consensus)

Mississippi State +16.5

Edge: Georgia -16.5 (0.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 13, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
GeorgiaGeorgia
710141445
Mississippi StateMississippi State
0127019

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-103-106-1712-3119-3819-45
Mississippi StateGeorgia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOGEOGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSGEOMSPUNT33ydTD973ydPUNT418ydPUNT39ydDOWNS49ydTO2-1ydPUNT30ydFG1451ydFG1462ydTD875ydFG549ydTD37ydUncategorized00ydTD275ydPUNT49ydTD767ydPUNT515ydTO3-1ydTD222ydTD1275ydDOWNS1367ydPUNT37ydDOWNS524ydTD547ydEND773yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia and Mississippi State
StatisticGeorgiaMississippi State
Passing25-3729-52
Pass Yards289261
Rush Yards17947
Total Yards468308
Turnovers20
3rd Down6-133-14
Penalties6-665-41
Possession31:4328:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia
passing
Stetson Bennett
25/37, 289 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Ladd McConkey
1 CAR, 70 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ladd McConkey
5 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Smael Mondon Jr.
1 TFL, 1 PD
Mississippi State
passing
Will Rogers
29/51, 261 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jo'quavious Marks
7 CAR, 41 YDS
receiving
Rufus Harvey
6 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 3 yds to the MisSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 45 yds, downed at the Geo 27

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 22

1st & 15Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.91

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 10 yds to the Geo 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 7 yds to the Geo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the Geo 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 15 yds to the MisSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +0.81

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 30 yds to the MisSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.60

Kenny McIntosh run for 12 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.96

Stetson Bennett run for no gain to the MisSt 1 Stetson Bennett fumbled, recovered by Geo Stetson Bennett

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Jo'quavious Marks run for 14 yds to the MisSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 38

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jo'quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the MisSt 43

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Dillon Johnson run for no gain to the MisSt 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 46 yds, downed at the Geo 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Daijun Edwards run for 4 yds to the Geo 15

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 5 yds to the Geo 20

4th & 2Punt+8 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 45 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 8 yds to the MisSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 6 yds to the MisSt 49

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Geo 48

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.30

Will Rogers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 47

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return+13 ydsPPA -1.62

Stetson Bennett pass intercepted Collin Duncan return for 13 yds to the MisSt 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Geo 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Dillon Bell for 1 yd to the Geo 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.09

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 15 yds to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 1 yd to the Geo 44 GEORGIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Geo 46

1st & 19Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 3 yds to the Geo 49

2nd & 16Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.10

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 11 yds to the MISSSTATE 40 for a 1ST down MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kendall Milton run for no gain to the MisSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.38

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Brock Bowers for 8 yds to the MisSt 17

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the MisSt 16

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.61

Stetson Bennett run for 1 yd to the MisSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 5 yds to the MisSt 10

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Daijun Edwards run for no gain to the MisSt 10

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jack Podlesny 28 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

Jack Podlesny kickoff for 44 yds , Simeon Price return for 9 yds to the MisSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 2 yds to the MisSt 32

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.48

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 8 yds to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Dillon Johnson run for 2 yds to the MisSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.60

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 9 yds to the Geo 41

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Geo 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Will Rogers pass complete to Justin Robinson for 12 yds to the Geo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 7 yds to the Geo 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Will Rogers pass complete to Austin Williams for 1 yd to the Geo 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 8 yds to the Geo 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Dillon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Geo 17

2nd & 9Penalty+12 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (12 Yards) to the Geo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jo'quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the Geo 3

4th & 0Penalty-5 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Geo 8

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

Massimo Biscardi 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Kenny McIntosh run for 9 yds to the Geo 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 4 yds to the Geo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Stetson Bennett run for 5 yds to the Geo 43

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.68

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Daijun Edwards for 15 yds to the MisSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 28 yds to the MisSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 10 yds to the MisSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Stetson Bennett run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+30 yds

Jack Podlesny kickoff for 62 yds , Lideatrick Griffin return for 30 yds to the MisSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.81

Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 47 yds to the Geo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Will Rogers pass complete to Jaden Walley for 2 yds to the Geo 18

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Massimo Biscardi 36 yd FG GOOD

4th & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 64 yds , Kearis Jackson return for 19 yds to the Geo 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 7 yds to the Geo 27

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+63 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 36 yds , Zavion Thomas returns for 63 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 37 yds , Mykel Williams return for no gain to the Geo 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kenny McIntosh run for 5 yds to the Geo 30

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+70 ydsPPA +5.98

Ladd McConkey run for 70 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 13 yds to the MisSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.58

Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the MisSt 35

2nd & 13Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 34

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 33 yds, downed at the Geo 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Kenny McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Geo 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.77

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Kearis Jackson for 30 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kenny McIntosh run for 1 yd to the MisSt 34

3rd & 9Penalty+14 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the MisSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kenny McIntosh run for 3 yds to the MisSt 17

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 17 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Jack Podlesny kickoff for 62 yds , Lideatrick Griffin return for 26 yds to the MisSt 29

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Jo'quavious Marks run for 2 yds to the MisSt 31

3rd & 8Penalty+9 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (9 Yards) to the MisSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 4 yds to the MisSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

George Georgopoulos punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ladd McConkey at the Geo 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stetson Bennett run for no gain to the Geo 25

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Branson Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Geo 24

3rd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.17

Stetson Bennett pass intercepted Tyrus Wheat return for no gain to the Geo 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.60

Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 16 yds to the Geo 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 6 yds for a TD, (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Kenny McIntosh run for 8 yds to the Geo 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.02

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint for 12 yds to the Geo 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stetson Bennett run for 4 yds to the Geo 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 16 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Daijun Edwards run for 6 yds to the MisSt 29

2nd & 4Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.80

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Ladd McConkey for 28 yds to the MisSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Kenny McIntosh run for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Daijun Edwards run for a loss of 2 yards to the MisSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Stetson Bennett pass incomplete

4th & 0Penalty+2 yds

MISSISSIPPI ST Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Emmanuel Forbes) to the MisSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Kenny McIntosh run for no gain to the MisSt 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Will Rogers sacked by Jalen Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the MisSt 18

4th & 17Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the MisSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Will Rogers pass complete to Rara Thomas for 24 yds to the Geo 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Will Rogers pass complete to Caleb Ducking for 7 yds to the Geo 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 8 yds to the Geo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jo'quavious Marks run for 4 yds to the Geo 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 7 yds to the Geo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.39

Jo'quavious Marks run for 9 yds to the Geo 8

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Rogers pass incomplete

4th & 1Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -4.08

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for no gain to the Geo 8

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the Geo 11

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kendall Milton run for 3 yds to the Geo 14

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Daijun Edwards run for 1 yd to the Geo 15

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Brett Thorson punt for 62 yds, downed at the MisSt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for 7 yds to the MisSt 30

2nd & 3Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the MisSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Will Rogers pass complete to Dillon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the MisSt 44

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Rogers pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Dillon Johnson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 47

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Rogers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Daijun Edwards run for 2 yds to the MisSt 45

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Branson Robinson run for 3 yds to the MisSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.62

Stetson Bennett pass complete to Darnell Washington for 7 yds to the MisSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kendall Milton run for 1 yd to the MisSt 34

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.50

Kendall Milton run for 34 yds for a TD, (Jack Podlesny KICK)

2nd & 9Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Jack Podlesny kickoff for 59 yds , Lideatrick Griffin return for 7 yds to the MisSt 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Will Rogers pass complete to Jo'quavious Marks for 7 yds to the MisSt 20

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Jo'quavious Marks run for 5 yds to the MisSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Rogers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Simeon Price run for 4 yds to the MisSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.87

Will Rogers pass complete to Rufus Harvey for 36 yds to the Geo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Will Rogers pass complete to Lideatrick Griffin for 10 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST down lat. to Austin Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Geo 14 for a 1ST down lat. to Simeon Price for 13 yds to the Geo 14 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
40%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
57%
7 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Mississippi State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
41%
27 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play