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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 23.3

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 91%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -17

Edge: Kentucky -17 (6.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
7071024
KentuckyKentucky
6031221

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-76-149-1415-1721-24
KentuckyVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENVANKENTO215ydFG40ydTD375ydFG1566ydTO947ydMISS1061ydPUNT30ydPUNT420ydDOWNS1039ydPUNT316ydTD1081ydFG1051ydDOWNS734ydTD766ydFG1267ydTD172ydTD1280ydDOWNS449yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Kentucky
StatisticVanderbiltKentucky
Passing12-2311-23
Pass Yards184109
Rush Yards264213
Total Yards448322
Turnovers21
3rd Down11-174-12
Penalties7-714-50
Possession33:1526:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
Mike Wright
12/23, 184 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
26 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Will Sheppard
5 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
CJ Taylor
1.5 TFL, 1 PD
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
11/23, 109 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
18 CAR, 162 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Tayvion Robinson
5 REC, 49 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Will Sheppard) to the Vandy 16

1st & 19Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+34 ydsPPA +0.11

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 24 yds Will Sheppard fumbled, recovered by Kent Carrington Valentine KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Vandy 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Vandy 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+47 yds

Matt Ruffolo 47 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 14 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+59 ydsPPA +5.53

Mike Wright run for 59 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

JuTahn McClain run for 9 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.34

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Kent 47

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.95

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 45

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.53

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 3 yds to the Vandy 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.73

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 25 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

JuTahn McClain run for 4 yds to the Vandy 20

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.52

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 5 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Vandy 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 2 yds to the Vandy 9

4th & 5Field Goal Good+27 yds

Matt Ruffolo 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 28

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 31

3rd & 4Penalty0 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Carrington Valentine) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (Ben Bresnahan) to the Vandy 38

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jayden McGowan run for 5 yds to the Kent 49

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Ray Davis run for 14 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 28

2nd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -3.98

Mike Wright pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.46

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 29 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Will Levis run for 6 yds to the Vandy 45

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.76

Will Levis pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 15 yds to the Vandy 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Vandy 30

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 25

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.78

JuTahn McClain run for 12 yds to the Vandy 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.50

Will Levis sacked by Devin Lee and Nate Clifton for a loss of 3 yards to the Vandy 16

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Vandy 10

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.80

Will Levis sacked by CJ Taylor for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 19

4th & 16Blocked Field Goal+37 yds

Matt Ruffolo 37 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 9 yds to the Kent 31

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Tayvion Robinson run for 12 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Will Levis pass complete to Josh Kattus for 8 yds to the Vandy 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 30 yds, downed at the Vandy 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 28

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 35

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 37

3rd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +3.55

Mike Wright pass complete to Patrick Smith for 14 yds to the KENTUCKY 49 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Tre'vonn Rybka) to the Kent 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper WRIGHT, Mike rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the UKY31, End of Play. PENALTY VAN Holding on BRAMMER, Jacob enforced 10 yards from the UKY34 to the UKY44 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Mike Wright run for 9 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.54

Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 8 yds to the Kent 27

3rd & 3Penalty-15 yds

SMITH, Patrick rush to the left for no gain to the UKY27 (LOVETT, Jordan;PHILLIPS, Andru). PENALTY VAN Personal Foul on SKINNER JR., Quincy enforced 15 yards from the UKY27 to the UKY42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Mike Wright pass incomplete

0th & 18End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LEVIS, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for BROWN, Barion thrown to the VAN25. PENALTY VAN Pass Interference on WRIGHT, De'Rickey enforced 15 yards to the UKY40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Wilson Berry punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 22

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the Vandy 28

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.49

Ray Davis run for 10 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.05

Mike Wright pass complete to Ben Bresnahan for 14 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.22

Ray Davis run for 45 yds to the Kent 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ray Davis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 57 yds , Barion Brown return for 20 yds to the Kent 28

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.09

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 23 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on WRIGHT, De'Rickey enforced (Mike Wright) to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Vandy 28

4th & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.88

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the Vandy 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.39

Will Levis sacked by Michael Owusu for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 21

4th & 14Field Goal Good+39 yds

Matt Ruffolo 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+29 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 62 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 29 yds to the Vandy 32

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 31

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 31

3rd & 11Rush+29 ydsPPA +3.84

Mike Wright run for 29 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 33

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ray Davis run for no gain to the Kent 33

4th & 3Sack-1 ydsPPA -2.45

Mike Wright sacked by Trevin Wallace for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 34

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.65

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds to the Vandy 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 5Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.03

JuTahn McClain run for 28 yds to the Vandy 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Vandy 15

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.00

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 10 yds to the Vandy 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Chris Rodriguez Jr. 5 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Mike Wright run for 8 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 11 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty0 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jordan Lovett) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Kent 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Kent 15

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Mike Wright run for 4 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Ray Davis run for 2 yds to the Kent 9

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Kent 8

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Joseph Bulovas 26 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 53 yds , Barion Brown return for 16 yds to the Kent 28

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+72 ydsPPA +5.86

Chris Rodriguez Jr. 72 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 63 yds , Jayden McGowan return for 18 yds to the Vandy 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 7 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the Vandy 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Mike Wright pass complete to Ray Davis for 1 yd to the Vandy 37

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty+15 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Rogers) to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Mike Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Mike Wright pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.27

Mike Wright pass complete to Quincy Skinner Jr. for 40 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Kent 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Mike Wright pass incomplete

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Joseph Bulovas kickoff for 61 yds , Barion Brown return for 20 yds to the Kent 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 7 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Levis sacked by Christian James for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 24

4th & 10Interception0 ydsPPA +0.29

Will Levis pass intercepted

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
29%
21 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
25%
12 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
21 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
14%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play