Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Florida 55%

Market (consensus)

Florida -8

Edge: South Carolina +8 (5.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
06006
FloridaFlorida
2137738

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-024-024-631-638-6
FloridaSouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCFLOSCTD1475ydPUNT30ydTD764ydPUNT610ydTD285ydPUNT722ydFG1182ydTD975ydEND746ydTO18ydMISS612ydTO20ydTD312ydTO117ydDOWNS76ydPUNT615ydPUNT619ydDOWNS42ydPUNT412ydPUNT21ydTD848ydPUNT3-5ydTO649ydEND645yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and Florida
StatisticSouth CarolinaFlorida
Passing19-2713-25
Pass Yards193141
Rush Yards44374
Total Yards237515
Turnovers31
3rd Down3-119-15
Penalties11-827-50
Possession23:4036:20

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Spencer Rattler
18/26, 145 YDS
rushing
Jaheim Bell
12 CAR, 30 YDS
receiving
Dakereon Joyner
2 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Florida
passing
Anthony Richardson
11/23, 112 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Montrell Johnson
24 CAR, 161 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Caleb Douglas
3 REC, 53 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Ricky Pearsall run for 7 yds to the Fla 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.00

Anthony Richardson run for 10 yds to the Fla 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.14

run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 41

2nd & 15Penalty+5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the Fla 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +3.04

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 13 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.64

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 22 yds to the SCaro 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the SCaro 10

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the SCaro 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the SCaro 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Anthony Richardson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 23

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 21

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 4 yds to the SCaro 25

4th & 10Punt-2 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 37 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.09

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 11 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.38

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 27 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Marcus Burke for 6 yds to the SCaro 20

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.12

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Spencer Rattler sacked by Antwaun Powell-Ryland Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 18

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.18

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 18 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.72

Xavier Legette run for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt-9 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 41 yds , Xzavier Henderson returns for a loss of 9 yards to the Fla 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+85 ydsPPA +7.06

Trevor Etienne run for 85 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Jaheim Bell run for 18 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 8 yds to the Fla 48

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 47

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.16

Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Jaheim Bell run for 1 yd to the Fla 46

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.55

Spencer Rattler sacked by Gervon Dexter Sr. and Princely Umanmielen for a loss of 7 yards to the SCaro 47

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 46 yds, downed at the Fla 7

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 2 yds to the Fla 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the Fla 15

3rd & 2Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.99

Anthony Richardson run for 23 yds to the Fla 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 43

2nd & 5Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.12

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 31 yds to the SCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Anthony Richardson run for 8 yds to the SCaro 18

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.29

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 7 yds to the SCaro 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the SCaro 7

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 12

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 11

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+28 yds

Adam Mihalek 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 2 yds to the SCaro 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 29

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.10

Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the SCaro 48

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

run for 4 yds to the Fla 48

4th & 6Passing Touchdown+48 ydsPPA +6.26

Dakereon Joyner 48 Yd pass from Kai Kroeger (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Juju McDowell run for no gain to the Fla 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.44

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 20 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

RICHARDSON, Anthony pass up the middle complete for 18 yards to PEARSALL, Ricky caught at the USC38 and advanced to the USC35 (SMITH, DQ). PENALTY Before the snap, UFL Illegal Formation on TARQUIN, Michael enforced 5 yards from the UFL47 to the UFL42. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 40

2nd & 17Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Richardson sacked by Debo Williams and Zacch Pickens for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 39

3rd & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +3.77

Anthony Richardson run for 19 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SCaro 47

2nd & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.52

Anthony Richardson run for 18 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST down

0th & 15End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 65 yds , Xavier Legette return for 23 yds to the SCaro 23

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.79

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 8 yds fumbled, recovered by Fla Rashad Torrence II

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 22

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the SCaro 19

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.68

Anthony Richardson sacked by Debo Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 27

3rd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the SCaro 19

4th & 8Blocked Field Goal+36 yds

Adam Mihalek 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 20

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 12 Jaheim Bell fumbled, recovered by Fla Desmond Watson

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the SCaro 4

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.56

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Jonathan Odom for 4 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 57 yds , Juju McDowell return for 7 yds to the SCaro 15

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+27 ydsPPA -0.38

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 17 yds Jalen Brooks fumbled, recovered by Fla Trey Dean III for a 1ST down FLORIDA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jordan Young) to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Anthony Richardson run for 9 yds to the SCaro 25

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.29

Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the SCaro 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the SCaro 18

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush-10 ydsPPA -3.24

run for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

run for 13 yds to the SCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Juju McDowell run for 11 yds to the Fla 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.49

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 7 yds to the SCaro 42 SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Austin Stogner) to the SCaro 46

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 2 yds to the SCaro 48

4th & 14Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the SCaro 43

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds, downed at the Fla 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the Fla 4

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 19

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 22

4th & 3Punt+37 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 49 yds , Josh Vann returns for 37 yds to the FLORIDA 41 FLORIDA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (-15 Yards) to the Fla 19

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Spencer Rattler run for 4 yds to the Fla 15

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaheim Bell run for 3 yds to the Fla 12

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for no gain to the Fla 12

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Xavier Legette) to the Fla 17

4th & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.22

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Caleb Douglas for 13 yds to the Fla 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trevor Etienne run for 5 yds to the Fla 34

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Shemar James) to the Fla 29

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 67 yds, downed at the SCaro 4

1st & 10Penalty-2 yds

RATTLER, Spencer pass up the middle complete for 38 yards to STOGNER, Austin caught at the USC16 and advanced to the USC42 (DEAN III, Trey;WILSON, Kamari). PENALTY USC Illegal Touch-Pass on STOGNER, Austin enforced 2 yards from the USC4 to the USC2, penalty results in a loss of down. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 8 yds to the SCaro 10

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Josh Vann) to the SCaro 5

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, downed at the SCaro 48

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Anthony Richardson sacked by T.J. Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 46

2nd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SCaro 46

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the SCaro 41

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.35

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 6 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 33

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tyreek Johnson) to the SCaro 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the SCaro 8

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.12

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jaheim Bell) to the SCaro 16

2nd & 19Penalty0 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Spencer Rattler) to the SCaro 6

3rd & 29Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.04

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 14 yds to the SCaro 20

4th & 15Punt+11 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 49 yds , Ricky Pearsall returns for 11 yds to the Fla 42

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KITNA, Jalen pass to the right incomplete intended for WHITTEMORE, Trent thrown to the USC39. PENALTY UFL Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on HERMAN, Jordan enforced 5 yards from the UFL42 to the UFL37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Lorenzo Lingard run for 10 yds to the Fla 47

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.64

Jalen Kitna pass complete to Kahleil Jackson for 23 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Nay'Quan Wright run for 9 yds to the SCaro 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen Kitna pass complete to Jordan Pouncey for 6 yds to the SCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SCaro 12

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -4.34

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the SCaro 9 Nay'Quan Wright fumbled, recovered by SCaro Tyreek Johnson

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 8 yds to the SCaro 17

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 5 yds to the SCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 1 yd to the SCaro 23

2nd & 9Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.78

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Dakereon Joyner for 25 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the Fla 46

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
19 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
38%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
58%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play