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← Back to GamesNov 12, 2022Week 11
LSULSU
13
-Final
10
ArkansasArkansas
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 1

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 52%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas +3.5

Edge: Arkansas +3.5 (4.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 12, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
067013
ArkansasArkansas
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-33-63-1310-13
ArkansasLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUARKLSUTO836ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-2ydFG1046ydTO22ydDOWNS47ydPUNT67ydTO4-3ydFG517ydPUNT58ydFG1161ydPUNT623ydEND1-3ydPUNT715ydPUNT33ydDOWNS77ydTD540ydPUNT37ydPUNT429ydTD1094ydPUNT53ydPUNT31ydDOWNS740ydPUNT414ydPUNT619ydTO314ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Arkansas
StatisticLSUArkansas
Passing8-1512-22
Pass Yards86116
Rush Yards198133
Total Yards284249
Turnovers22
3rd Down4-146-17
Penalties7-442-15
Possession32:4427:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
8/15, 86 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Williams
19 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kayshon Boutte
4 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Greg Penn III
2.5 TFL, 1 PD
Arkansas
passing
Cade Fortin
8/13, 92 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Raheim Sanders
12 CAR, 46 YDS
receiving
Matt Landers
2 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the LSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jashaud Stewart for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 34

2nd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Daniels sacked by Chris Paul Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LSU 27

3rd & 18Rush+20 ydsPPA +3.17

Josh Williams run for 20 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.62

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 12 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+5 ydsPPA -3.86

Jayden Daniels pass intercepted Latavious Brini return for 5 yds to the Ark 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Ketron Jackson Jr. for 4 yds to the Ark 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the Ark 47

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Malik Hornsby run for 1 yd to the Ark 48

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 5 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 5Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Jayden Daniels sacked by Terry Hampton and Drew Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 23

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+14 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 52 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for 14 yds to the Ark 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 11 yds to the LSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the LSU 44

2nd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.43

Malik Hornsby run for 14 yds to the LSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Malik Hornsby run for 4 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the LSU 21

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Hornsby run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Malik Hornsby run for 7 yds to the LSU 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Cam Little 28 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Jake Bates kickoff for 63 yds , Noah Cain return for 18 yds to the ARKANSAS 47 LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 14

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 10 Jayden Daniels fumbled, recovered by Ark Latavious Brini , return for 2 yds to the LSU 10

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

AJ Green run for 8 yds to the LSU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

AJ Green run for no gain to the LSU 2

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Hornsby run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 3

4th & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -4.08

Malik Hornsby run for no gain to the LSU 3

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the LSU 8

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 12

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.31

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the LSU 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the LSU 21

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Armoni Goodwin run for 3 yds to the LSU 24

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 19

4th & 6Penalty-9 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the LSU 10

4th & 15Punt+1 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 41 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for 1 yd to the Ark 11 ARKANSAS Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Ark 40

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.99

Malik Hornsby run for 11 yds to the LSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the LSU 46

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

AJ Green run for no gain to the LSU 46

3rd & 7Sack-17 ydsPPA -2.08

Malik Hornsby sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 17 yards to the Ark 37 Malik Hornsby fumbled, recovered by LSU BJ Ojulari , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.47

Jayden Daniels run for 20 yds to the Ark 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Williams run for 5 yds to the Ark 12

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Jayden Daniels sacked by Eric Gregory for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 20

4th & 13Field Goal Good+38 yds

Damian Ramos 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Malik Hornsby run for 9 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Rashod Dubinion run for 1 yd to the Ark 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the Ark 48

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, Illegal Shift (-5 Yards) to the Ark 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Hornsby run for no gain to the Ark 43

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 28

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.67

John Emery Jr. run for 32 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.24

Jayden Daniels sacked by Zach Williams and Terry Hampton for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 48

2nd & 22Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.37

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 12 yds to the Ark 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 9 yds to the Ark 31

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.46

Josh Williams run for 9 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Noah Cain run for 6 yds to the Ark 16

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the Ark 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the Ark 10

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Williams run for no gain to the Ark 10

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the Ark 6

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ark 11

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 yds

Damian Ramos 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the Ark 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Malik Hornsby run for 7 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Malik Hornsby run for 7 yds to the Ark 48

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 4 yds to the Ark 30

3rd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Malik Hornsby run for 10 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

AJ Green run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

AJ Green run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.02

Malik Hornsby sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Ark 42

3rd & 18Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.29

Malik Hornsby sacked by Harold Perkins Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 40

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 14

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Josh Williams

4th & 7Punt+51 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 51 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Hornsby pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Malik Hornsby run for 9 yds to the Ark 42

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 47

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jadon Haselwood run for no gain to the Ark 47

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Malik Hornsby pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 5 yds to the LSU 48

4th & 2Rush-12 ydsPPA -1.17

Malik Hornsby run for a loss of 12 yards to the Ark 40

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ark 36

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Josh Williams run for 3 yds to the Ark 33

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.83

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the Ark 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.80

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 26 yds to the Ark 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Josh Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cade Fortin pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 5 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Cade Fortin pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 2 yds to the Ark 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 39 yds, downed at the LSU 29

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.59

Josh Williams run for 31 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jayden Daniels sacked by Drew Sanders and Landon Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 42

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Cade Fortin pass complete to Bryce Stephens for 3 yds to the Ark 9

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the Ark 14

3rd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.69

AJ Green run for 8 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cade Fortin run for no gain to the Ark 22

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.46

Cade Fortin sacked by Sai'vion Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 15

3rd & 17Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.97

Cade Fortin pass complete to Matt Landers for 29 yds to the Ark 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Cade Fortin pass complete to Rashod Dubinion for 1 yd to the Ark 45

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.20

Cade Fortin run for 17 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 40

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +4.28

Cade Fortin pass complete to Matt Landers for 40 yds for a TD, (Cam Little KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the LSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.14

Josh Williams run for 8 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 41

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LSU 36

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.00

Jayden Daniels sacked by Chris Paul Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the LSU 27

3rd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the LSU 28

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 36

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Cade Fortin run for 1 yd to the Ark 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Gregory Clayton Jr. at the LSU 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 12 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Josh Williams run for 9 yds to the LSU 38

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Josh Williams run for 10 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Ark 49

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 6 yds to the Ark 43

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.76

Josh Williams run for no gain to the Ark 43

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.11

Raheim Sanders run for 14 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Cade Fortin pass complete to Raheim Sanders for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 45

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the LSU 43

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LSU 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the LSU 14

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 18

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 4 yds to the LSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the LSU 17

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Noah Cain run for no gain to the LSU 17

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd to the LSU 18

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Noah Cain run for 13 yds to the LSU 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cade Fortin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.86

Cade Fortin pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 14 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -2.05

Cade Fortin run for 6 yds to the Ark 44 Cade Fortin fumbled, recovered by LSU Mekhi Wingo

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 45

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.25

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 46

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
14%
7 plays
25%
8 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
30%
27 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
2 plays