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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
LibertyLiberty
21
-Final
19
ArkansasArkansas

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arkansas by 6

Home Win Probability

Arkansas 65%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas -14.5

Edge: Liberty +14.5 (8.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LibertyLiberty
7140021
ArkansasArkansas
0321419

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-140-213-2113-2119-21
ArkansasLiberty

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBARKLIBPUNT32ydPUNT725ydPUNT535ydPUNT618ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydPUNT35ydTD559ydDOWNS738ydTD553ydPUNT620ydPUNT34ydTO445ydTD1080ydFG444ydDOWNS958ydPUNT625ydPUNT3-1ydDOWNS1435ydPUNT33ydTO10ydTO10ydTD1784ydPUNT622ydTD785ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Liberty and Arkansas
StatisticLibertyArkansas
Passing15-2523-37
Pass Yards224284
Rush Yards91144
Total Yards315428
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-154-16
Penalties3-276-36
Possession30:3829:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Liberty
passing
Johnathan Bennett
15/25, 224 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shedro Louis
15 CAR, 57 YDS
receiving
Demario Douglas
7 REC, 145 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
23/37, 284 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Raheim Sanders
17 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Matt Landers
6 REC, 119 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Ark 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the Ark 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 2 yds to the Ark 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 10 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

BENNETT, Johnathan pass to the right incomplete intended for FRITH, Noah thrown to the ARK30. PENALTY ARK Offsides on SANDERS, Drew enforced 5 yards from the LIB38 to the LIB43 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.21

Dae Dae Hunter run for 8 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the Ark 49

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -1.04

Johnathan Bennett run for no gain to the Ark 46 Johnathan Bennett fumbled, recovered by Liber Johnathan Bennett

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 47 fumbled, recovered by Liber Dae Dae Hunter

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.43

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 5

2nd & 13Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.61

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 36 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.34

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 40

2nd & 11Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.25

KJ Jefferson sacked by Kendy Charles and Durrell Johnson for a loss of 9 yards to the Ark 31

3rd & 20Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.38

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 12 yds to the Ark 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 43 yds, downed at the Liber 7

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Liber 10

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dae Dae Hunter run for 4 yds to the Liber 14

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Dae Dae Hunter run for 5 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 6 yds to the Liber 25

4th & 4Punt-3 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 44 yds, downed at the Liber 32

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds to the Liber 38

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.90

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 34

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 40 yds, downed at the Ark 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 29

2nd & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 24

3rd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 7 yds to the Ark 31

4th & 5Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by blocked by

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.89

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 31 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Johnathan Bennett run for 7 yds to the Ark 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Noah Frith for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Jason Stricker kickoff for 65 yds , AJ Green return for 15 yds to the Ark 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.72

AJ Green run for 19 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

AJ Green run for 14 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.60

AJ Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 46

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Liber 47

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Dae Dae Hunter run for 10 yds to the Ark 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 9 yds to the Ark 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Ark 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.25

Johnathan Bennett run for 12 yds to the Ark 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 5 yds to the Ark 30

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.28

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 13 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the Ark 42

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 45

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 55 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Bumper Pool for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 19

2nd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Drew Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 18

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the Liber 24

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 29

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Ricky Stromberg) to the Ark 24

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Raheim Sanders run for 13 yds to the Ark 37

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the Ark 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +1.46

Raheim Sanders run for 28 yds to the Liber 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.28

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.61

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 33 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Shedro Louis run for 9 yds to the Ark 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Ark 24

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Ark 23

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Johnathan Bennett run for 5 yds to the Ark 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.94

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Treon Sibley for 18 yds for a TD, (Nick Brown KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Jason Stricker kickoff for 60 yds , AJ Green return for 19 yds to the Ark 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.58

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 18 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.53

KJ Jefferson sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the Ark 31

2nd & 21Penalty+15 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Personal Foul (Durrell Johnson) to the Liber 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

Cam Little 50 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.18

Demario Douglas run for a loss of 8 yards to the Liber 17 Demario Douglas fumbled, recovered by Liber Demario Douglas

2nd & 18Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +4.01

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Demario Douglas for 42 yds to the Ark 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Ark 38

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Ark 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.76

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 9 yds to the Ark 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Ark 23

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Austin Henderson for 7 yds to the Ark 16

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.75

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ark 23

2nd & 4Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.40

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 2 yds to the Ark 25

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.92

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 15 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Jadon Haselwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 38

2nd & 12Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.87

KJ Jefferson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 34

3rd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 8 yds to the Ark 42

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Reid Bauer punt for 50 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 8

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

T.J. Green run for 4 yds to the Liber 12

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.43

Johnathan Bennett sacked by Myles Slusher for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 7

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Johnathan Bennett pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 23

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Ark 30

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

KJ Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Brady Latham) to the Ark 32

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.80

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 30

2nd & 17Penalty-6 yds

ARKANSAS Penalty, False Start (Luke Jones) to the Ark 24

2nd & 23Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

KJ Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Ark 27

3rd & 20Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.45

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Raheim Sanders for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.90

KJ Jefferson sacked by Ahmad Walker for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 40

2nd & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.58

Raheim Sanders run for 9 yds to the Ark 49

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Bryce Stephens for 5 yds to the Liber 46

4th & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.97

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Bryce Stephens for 7 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+2 ydsPPA -0.44

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Liber 37 KJ Jefferson fumbled, recovered by Ark KJ Jefferson

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.82

Rashod Dubinion run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 41

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.71

KJ Jefferson sacked by Durrell Johnson and Dre Butler for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Johnathan Bennett run for 2 yds to the Liber 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Caleb Snead for 7 yds to the Ark 48

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Malik Caper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 49

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

LIBERTY Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Liber 46

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 18

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.51

KJ Jefferson pass intercepted

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.95

Johnathan Bennett pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.99

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Hudson Henry for 9 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.24

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.01

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 13 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

AJ Green run for 2 yds to the Ark 39

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +3.12

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

KJ Jefferson run for 15 yds to the Liber 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Liber 29

4th & 4Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.74

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 13 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.85

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the Liber 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the Liber 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

K. Jefferson pass,to T. Knox for 5 yds for a TD, (R. Sanders Run For Two-point Conversion)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jake Bates kickoff for 65 yds , Demario Douglas return for 21 yds to the Liber 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Shedro Louis run for no gain to the Liber 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Johnathan Bennett pass complete to Caleb Snead for 7 yds to the Liber 28

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Shedro Louis run for 6 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Shedro Louis run for 9 yds to the Liber 43

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.69

Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 42

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Aidan Alves punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.77

AJ Green run for 13 yds to the Ark 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 9 yds to the Ark 37

2nd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.44

AJ Green run for 10 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JEFFERSON, KJ pass up the middle complete for 13 yards to JACKSON JR., Ketron caught at the LIB40 and advanced to the LIB40, End of Play. PENALTY ARK Holding on WAGNER, Dalton enforced 10 yards from the ARK47 to the ARK37 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 7 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 13Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.60

KJ Jefferson run for 14 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.98

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 34 yds to the Liber 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Trey Knox 8 Yd pass from KJ Jefferson (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Kneel down by BENNETT, Johnathan at ARK39 (team loss of 1). PENALTY Before the snap, ARK Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the ARK44 to the ARK39. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

[NH] Kneel down by BENNETT, Johnathan at ARK40 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

[NH] Kneel down by BENNETT, Johnathan at ARK47 (team loss of 7), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Liberty

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
26 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
75%
8 plays
4th
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
0%
1 play