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← Back to GamesOct 29, 2022Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tennessee by 12.3

Home Win Probability

Tennessee 79%

Market (consensus)

Tennessee -10.5

Edge: Tennessee -10.5 (1.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 29, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
KentuckyKentucky
60006
TennesseeTennessee
72010744

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-613-620-630-637-644-6
TennesseeKentucky

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENKENTENTD575ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-17ydTD971ydTD1575ydPUNT30ydTD877ydTO1158ydPUNT32ydPUNT515ydTD235ydEND1-1ydPUNT3-17ydFG1029ydTO33ydMISS612ydTO20ydTD558ydPUNT915ydPUNT842ydPUNT3-1ydTD113ydDOWNS1151ydEND11yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kentucky and Tennessee
StatisticKentuckyTennessee
Passing16-2719-25
Pass Yards98245
Rush Yards107177
Total Yards205422
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-135-12
Penalties5-316-50
Possession35:1124:49

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
16/27, 98 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
15 CAR, 64 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jordan Dingle
4 REC, 44 YDS
defense
Tennessee
passing
Hendon Hooker
19/25, 245 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Jabari Small
21 CAR, 78 YDS
receiving
Jalin Hyatt
5 REC, 138 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 5 yds to the Tenn 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 3 yds to the Tenn 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 8 yds to the Tenn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 45

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.83

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 55 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Paxton Brooks kickoff for 52 yds , JuTahn McClain return for 4 yds to the Kent 17

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 17

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.22

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 17

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Will Levis pass incomplete to Barion Brown

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 46 yds, downed at the Tenn 37

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Tillman, Cedric for 3 yards to the TENNESSEE40, PENALTY TENNESSEE pass interference 15 yards to the TENNESSEE22, NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

2nd & 25Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Tenn 28

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Tenn 23

3rd & 24Penalty-10 yds

Hooker, Hendon pass complete to Tillman, Cedric for 19 yards to the TENNESSEE42, PENALTY TENNESSEE holding 10 yards to the TENNESSEE13, NO PLAY.

3rd & 34Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.00

Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Tenn 20

4th & 27Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan Dingle

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.86

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 8 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.50

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 24 yds to the Tenn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tenn 27

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the Tenn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 16 yds to the Tenn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.00

Will Levis sacked by Omari Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 32

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jabari Small run for 7 yds to the Tenn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the Tenn 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Tenn 45

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Tenn 48

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +2.19

Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Hyatt, Jalin, PENALTY KENTUCKY pass interference 15 yards to the KENTUCKY35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jabari Small run for 10 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 17

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Kent 15

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Kent 12

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.60

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Kent 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 5

2nd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jacob Warren for 3 yds to the Kent 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Princeton Fant run for 2 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath PAT MISSED)

3rd & 0Penalty-10 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Kent 13

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Will Levis pass incomplete to Chris Rodriguez Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Levis pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the Tenn 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Tenn 28

2nd & 5Rush+35 ydsPPA +3.07

Jaylen Wright run for 35 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 7 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.06

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 13 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.96

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Princeton Fant for 11 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Cedric Tillman for 4 yds to the Kent 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jaylen Wright run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Paxton Brooks kickoff for 51 yds , JuTahn McClain return for 16 yds to the Kent 30

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 15 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.90

Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 16 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 12 yds to the Tenn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 22

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the Tenn 16

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.61

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Tenn 12

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Tenn 12

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+48 ydsPPA -4.01

Will Levis pass intercepted Juwan Mitchell return for 48 yds to the Kent 45

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.68

Hendon Hooker sacked by J.J. Weaver for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 47

2nd & 18Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the Kent 43

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Jalin Hyatt

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kent 2

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the Kent 2

2nd & 10Penalty-1 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the Kent 1

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.72

JuTahn McClain run for 16 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Will Levis pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the Kent 21

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 1 yd to the Kent 17

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 4 yds to the Kent 31

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.04

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 31 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+7 yds

Paxton Brooks kickoff for 56 yds , Barion Brown return for 7 yds to the Kent 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.66

Will Levis sacked by Da'Jon Terry for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 18

3rd & 17Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.08

Will Levis sacked by Byron Young and Tyler Baron for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 8

4th & 27Punt+10 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 43 yds , Dee Williams returns for 10 yds to the Kent 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Jabari Small run for 1 yd to the Kent 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 8 yds to the Kent 32

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.43

Jabari Small run for 2 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to McCoy, Bru, PENALTY KENTUCKY substitution infraction 5 yards to the KENTUCKY25, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Bru McCoy

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 21

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Kent 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jabari Small run for 6 yds to the Kent 11

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jabari Small run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 12

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Jabari Small run for no gain to the Kent 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Chase McGrath 29 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Paxton Brooks kickoff for 43 yds , JuTahn McClain return for 3 yds to the Kent 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kent 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kent 28

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+7 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Levis pass intercepted Brandon Turnage return for 7 yds to the Kent 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 8 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 4 yds to the Kent 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Squirrel White

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jabari Small run for no gain to the Kent 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Squirrel White

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+37 yds

Chase McGrath 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Levis pass incomplete to Jordan Dingle

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.06

Will Levis pass intercepted Doneiko Slaughter return for no gain to the Tenn 42

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.27

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 16 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Bru McCoy for 9 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 1Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaylen Wright run for 25 yds to the Kent 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaylen Wright run for no gain to the Kent 8

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the Kent 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 8 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 30

2nd & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the Kent 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Will Levis pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 4 yds to the Kent 41

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.72

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 7 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 45

2nd & 13Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 40

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClain

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Levis pass incomplete to JuTahn McClain

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dee Williams at the Tenn 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaylen Wright run for 6 yds to the Tenn 25

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.47

Jaylen Wright run for 5 yds to the Tenn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jabari Small run for 4 yds to the Tenn 34

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Tenn 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.49

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalin Hyatt for 39 yds to the Kent 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kent 29

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Jabari Small run for 3 yds to the Kent 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Ramel Keyton

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Hendon Hooker sacked by Tre'vonn Rybka for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 34

4th & 20Penalty-5 yds

TENNESSEE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kent 39

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Paxton Brooks punt for 36 yds, downed at the Kent 3

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

La'Vell Wright run for 4 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 6

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Levis sacked by Byron Young for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 2

4th & 11Punt+34 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 45 yds , Dee Williams returns for 34 yds to the Kent 13

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jabari Small for 13 yds for a TD, (Chase McGrath KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Paxton Brooks kickoff for 64 yds , Barion Brown return for 19 yds to the Kent 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

La'Vell Wright run for 9 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

La'Vell Wright run for 2 yds to the Kent 34

3rd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.72

La'Vell Wright run for 15 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dee Beckwith run for 7 yds to the Tenn 44

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Dee Beckwith run for 7 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.94

Dee Beckwith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 38

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Levis pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 1 yd to the Tenn 37

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Tenn 36

4th & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -1.42

Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 7 yds to the Tenn 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Dylan Sampson run for 1 yd to the Tenn 30

Situational Analysis

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
32%
25 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
13%
8 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Tennessee

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
43%
23 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
80%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays