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← Back to GamesOct 15, 2022Week 7
LSULSU
45
-Final
35
FloridaFlorida
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 2.3

Home Win Probability

Florida 55%

Market (consensus)

Florida -2

Edge: Florida -2 (0.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 15, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
72114345
FloridaFlorida
14701435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-714-1421-2121-2821-3521-4228-4235-4235-45
FloridaLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FLOLSUFLOLSUFLOFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUFLOLSUTD252ydTD1275ydTD1075ydTD1273ydTO34ydTD513ydTD775ydPUNT3-2ydTD583ydDOWNS529ydTD475ydDOWNS1163ydTD1388ydTD275ydPUNT415ydTD1180ydFG1246ydDOWNS71ydUncategorized2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Florida
StatisticLSUFlorida
Passing23-3215-26
Pass Yards349185
Rush Yards179210
Total Yards528395
Turnovers10
3rd Down8-127-12
Penalties5-455-50
Possession31:4728:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
23/32, 349 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Josh Williams
14 CAR, 106 YDS
receiving
Kayshon Boutte
6 REC, 115 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
Anthony Richardson
15/25, 185 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Anthony Richardson
9 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Shorter
3 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+47 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 64 yds , Trevor Etienne return for 47 yds to the Fla 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 49

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.91

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 51 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the LSU 28

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Josh Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.11

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 40 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the Fla 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 3 yds to the Fla 29

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Josh Williams run for 7 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.43

Jayden Daniels sacked by Brenton Cox Jr. for a loss of 8 yards to the Fla 30

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Fla 27

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.35

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 14 yds to the Fla 13

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.55

John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 7 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Richardson run for 5 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Fla 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the Fla 45

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Lorenzo Lingard run for 5 yds to the LSU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the LSU 39

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.59

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 39 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

2nd & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Trey Smack kickoff for 65 yds , Jack Bech return for 27 yds to the LSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Josh Williams

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 8 yds to the LSU 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 6 yds to the LSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the LSU 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.39

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 21 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

John Emery Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 11 yds to the Fla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the Fla 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to John Emery Jr.

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 13 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

John Emery Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jayden Daniels run for 1 yd for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Richardson run for 4 yds to the Fla 29

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.74

Trevor Etienne run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trevor Etienne for 1 yd to the Fla 29

4th & 6Punt-8 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 50 yds , Jack Bech returns for a loss of 8 yards to the LSU 13 Jack Bech fumbled, recovered by Fla Rocco Underwood

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Montrell Johnson Jr. pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.38

Anthony Richardson run for 10 yds to the LSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante Zanders

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels run for no gain to the LSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.37

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kole Taylor for 26 yds to the Fla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Josh Williams for 8 yds to the Fla 41

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Josh Williams run for 13 yds to the Fla 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 24 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Trevor Etienne run for 4 yds to the Fla 29

3rd & 6Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.48

Anthony Richardson sacked by Micah Baskerville for a loss of 6 yards to the Fla 23

4th & 12Punt+2 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 62 yds , Gregory Clayton Jr. returns for 2 yds to the LSU 17

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.60

John Emery Jr. run for 10 yds to the LSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.56

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 17 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the LSU 46

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +6.08

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 54 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

3rd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Trevor Etienne return for 27 yds to the Fla 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.84

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 20 yds to the Fla 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 6 yds to the LSU 44

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.66

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

0th & 1End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+50 ydsPPA +3.38

Josh Williams run for 50 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

John Emery Jr. run for 4 yds to the Fla 21

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Jayden Daniels run for 12 yds to the Fla 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the Fla 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 14 yds to the Fla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.50

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 29 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the LSU 25

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LSU 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Lorenzo Lingard for 7 yds to the LSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Lorenzo Lingard run for 2 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (Ethan White) to the LSU 21

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Lorenzo Lingard run for 9 yds to the LSU 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.77

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.51

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 19 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.77

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Daniels run for 4 yds to the Fla 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.22

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 13 yds to the Fla 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Williams run for 6 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.02

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

John Emery Jr. run for 1 yd to the Fla 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to John Emery Jr. for 6 yds to the Fla 16

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Jayden Daniels run for 6 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the Fla 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds for a TD, (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Richardson, Anthony rush for 10 yards to the FLORIDA35, PENALTY FLORIDA holding 10 yards to the FLORIDA15, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Dante Zanders for 4 yds to the Fla 19

2nd & 16Rushing Touchdown+81 ydsPPA +7.19

Anthony Richardson run for 81 yds for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 13 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Brian Thomas Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kole Taylor for 7 yds to the LSU 45

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

Bramblett, Jay punt 41 yards to the FLORIDA14, fair catch by Henderson, Xzavier, PENALTY LSU illegal batting 5 yards to the LSU40, NO PLAY.

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.87

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 12 yds to the Fla 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 8 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the LSU 48

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.23

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Montrell Johnson Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.63

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 11 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down LSU Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LSU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Trevor Etienne run for no gain to the LSU 16

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 6 yds to the LSU 10

3rd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.84

Trevor Etienne run for 9 yds to the LSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Trevor Etienne run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 9 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Josh Williams run for 4 yds to the LSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Josh Williams run for 1 yd to the LSU 39

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Daniels, Jayden pass pass intercepted by Marshall Jr., Jason at the FLORIDA35, Marshall Jr., Jason return 7 yards to the FLORIDA42, PENALTY FLORIDA roughing passer 15 yards to the FLORIDA46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.53

Josh Williams run for 10 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the Fla 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Malik Nabers

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the Fla 27

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the Fla 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

John Emery Jr. run for 5 yds to the Fla 20

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Daniels run for 3 yds to the Fla 17

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Nick Storz) to the Fla 22

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Emery Jones) to the Fla 27

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.39

Jayden Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Fla 29

4th & 14Field Goal Good+47 yds

Damian Ramos 47 yd FG GOOD

4th & 14Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Nathan Dibert kickoff for 65 yds , Trevor Etienne return for 26 yds to the Fla 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Montrell Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.76

Anthony Richardson run for 7 yds to the Fla 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Fla 32

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Marcus Burke

2nd & 15Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.49

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fla 27

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

4th & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.36

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Xzavier Henderson

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.61

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 28

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.91

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
32 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
30%
20 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
78%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play