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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 14.5

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 80%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -4.5

Edge: Kentucky -4.5 (9.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
7010724
KentuckyKentucky
070714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-77-147-1714-24
KentuckySouth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCKENSCTO1-8ydTD12ydPUNT516ydPUNT30ydPUNT415ydTO31ydMISS952ydDOWNS1029ydTD756ydPUNT427ydPUNT416ydTO511ydEND17ydTD675ydPUNT519ydFG1470ydPUNT827ydPUNT637ydPUNT35ydTD372ydTD1675ydPUNT33ydTO10ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Carolina and Kentucky
StatisticSouth CarolinaKentucky
Passing14-1915-27
Pass Yards177178
Rush Yards179121
Total Yards356299
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-143-12
Penalties4-265-25
Possession28:5531:05

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Carolina
passing
Spencer Rattler
14/19, 177 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
MarShawn Lloyd
22 CAR, 110 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Antwane Wells Jr.
3 REC, 66 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kentucky
passing
Kaiya Sheron
15/27, 178 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Chris Rodriguez Jr.
22 CAR, 126 YDS
receiving
Chauncey Magwood
2 REC, 37 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+15 ydsPPA -0.92

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 2 Chris Rodriguez Jr. fumbled, forced by David Spaulding, recovered by SCaro Tonka Hemingway , return for 15 yds to the Kent 2

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Dane Key

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.86

Kaiya Sheron sacked by Jordan Burch for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 33

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

JuTahn McClain run for 8 yds to the Kent 41

4th & 5Punt+18 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds , Josh Vann returns for 18 yds to the SCaro 38

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Eric Douglas) to the SCaro 33

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Eric Douglas) to the SCaro 28

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds to the SCaro 35

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Juju McDowell

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 24

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Tashawn Manning) to the Kent 19

1st & 15Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.80

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 18 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Tashawn Manning) to the Kent 32

1st & 15Pass Reception-9 ydsPPA -1.11

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Barion Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 23

2nd & 24Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.61

Kaiya Sheron run for 15 yds to the Kent 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Chris Rodriguez Jr. for 1 yd to the Kent 39

4th & 8Blocked Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt blocked by King-Demenian Ford blocked by King-Demenian Ford

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.13

MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the Kent 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Josh Vann

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.59

Spencer Rattler sacked by Tyrell Ajian for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 21 Spencer Rattler fumbled, forced by Tyrell Ajian, recovered by Kent J.J. Weaver , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.90

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.40

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 20 yds to the SCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the SCaro 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.59

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Barion Brown for 15 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 28

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 1 yd to the SCaro 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Jordan Dingle

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Matt Ruffolo 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the SCaro 30

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.42

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 5 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.59

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 3 yards to the SCaro 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.82

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Josh Vann for 11 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 49

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 4 yds to the Kent 40

4th & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.91

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.97

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 9 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.42

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Dane Key for 13 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

JuTahn McClain run for 11 yds to the SCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 2 yds to the SCaro 16

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.79

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 16 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 57 yds , Xavier Legette return for 24 yds to the SCaro 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.33

Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 28 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Spencer Rattler run for 4 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 6Penalty-10 yds

Lloyd, MarShawn rush for 3 yards to the KENTUCKY33, PENALTY SOCAROLINA holding (Nichols, Jaylen) 10 yards to the KENTUCKY46, NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Spencer Rattler run for 2 yds to the Kent 44

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Spencer Rattler run for 3 yds to the Kent 41

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 38 yds, downed at the Kent 3

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.38

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 13 yds to the Kent 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 19

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for no gain to the Kent 19

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Barion Brown

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 35 yds, downed at the SCaro 46

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Ahmarean Brown run for 9 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.26

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 2 yds to the Kent 39

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.88

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 43

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.41

Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Trevin Wallace return for no gain to the Kent 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kent 20

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

MarShawn Lloyd run for 18 yds to the SCaro 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

MarShawn Lloyd run for 1 yd to the SCaro 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.03

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 14 yds to the Kent 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean Brown

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+42 ydsPPA +4.20

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 42 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Kaiya Sheron sacked by Tonka Hemingway for a loss of 6 yards to the Kent 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.00

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 27 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.96

Kaiya Sheron sacked by Gilber Edmond for a loss of 14 yards to the Kent 32

2nd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 35

3rd & 21Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Kaiya Sheron run for 9 yds to the Kent 44

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 16

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the SCaro 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.39

MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

MarShawn Lloyd run for 4 yds to the SCaro 31

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.01

MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jaheim Bell run for no gain to the SCaro 37

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the SCaro 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.62

Spencer Rattler run for 4 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Spencer Rattler pass complete to MarShawn Lloyd for 3 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 7Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.54

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 49

3rd & 9Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.32

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 30 yds to the Kent 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 2 yds to the Kent 19

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 7 yds to the Kent 12

3rd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 14

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 yds

Mitch Jeter 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kaiya Sheron run for 1 yd to the Kent 31

3rd & 4Penalty+6 yds

Sheron, Kaiya pass incomplete to Magwood, Chauncey, PENALTY SOCAROLINA pass interference (Dial, Marcellas) 6 yards to the KENTUCKY37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kent 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kent 46

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.18

Kaiya Sheron run for 3 yds to the Kent 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 7 yds to the SCaro 44

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Barion Brown) to the SCaro 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Brenden Bates for 1 yd to the SCaro 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Barion Brown

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 9

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 14

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.02

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 22 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the SCaro 39

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Spencer Rattler sacked by DeAndre Square for a loss of 1 yard to the SCaro 38

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 8 yds to the SCaro 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 54 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chris Rodriguez Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kent 25

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Brenden Bates

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Dane Key

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 28

1st & 10Rush+45 ydsPPA +3.11

MarShawn Lloyd run for 45 yds to the Kent 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Juju McDowell run for 3 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.89

Jalen Brooks run for 24 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Chauncey Magwood) to the Kent 20

1st & 15Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.56

Kaiya Sheron sacked by Sherrod Greene for a loss of 12 yards to the Kent 8

2nd & 27Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.07

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 11 yds to the Kent 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.26

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Brenden Bates for 18 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.14

Kaiya Sheron sacked by Tonka Hemingway and Jordan Burch for a loss of 11 yards to the Kent 26

2nd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.32

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Rahsaan Lewis for 10 yds to the Kent 36

3rd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.78

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Chauncey Magwood for 26 yds to the SCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Barion Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Rahsaan Lewis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Dane Key for 9 yds to the SCaro 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

Kaiya Sheron run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Dane Key

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 10 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Kaiya Sheron pass incomplete to Barion Brown

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Kaiya Sheron sacked by Zacch Pickens for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 25

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Rahsaan Lewis) to the SCaro 30

3rd & 23Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.50

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to Chris Lewis for 20 yds to the SCaro 10

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.09

Kaiya Sheron pass complete to JuTahn McClain for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the Kent 45

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -1.41

MarShawn Lloyd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 46 MarShawn Lloyd fumbled, recovered by SCaro MarShawn Lloyd

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

Spencer Rattler run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 48

4th & 7Punt+11 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 36 yds , Barion Brown returns for 11 yds to the Kent 23

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.79

Kaiya Sheron pass intercepted David Spaulding return for 9 yds to the SCaro 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaheim Bell run for 4 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaheim Bell run for 2 yds to the Kent 47

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the Kent 44

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.66

TEAM run for no gain to the Kent 44

Situational Analysis

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
50%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
45%
11 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
100%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays