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← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 49%

Market (consensus)

Texas A&M -1.5

Edge: Arkansas +1.5 (0.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ArkansasArkansas
1400721
Texas A&MTexas A&M
01310023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-147-1413-1420-1423-1423-21
Texas A&MArkansas

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKARKTATAARKTAARKTAARKTAARKTAPUNT415ydPUNT3-3ydTD569ydPUNT39ydTD778ydTO33ydPUNT32ydPUNT34ydPUNT1046ydTD693ydTD1272ydPUNT3-2ydEND626ydTD670ydPUNT37ydFG1247ydPUNT514ydPUNT417ydTD1374ydMISS839ydMISS940ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Arkansas and Texas A&M
StatisticArkansasTexas A&M
Passing12-1911-21
Pass Yards171151
Rush Yards244192
Total Yards415343
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-154-12
Penalties3-309-65
Possession30:3429:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Arkansas
passing
KJ Jefferson
12/19, 171 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
KJ Jefferson
18 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Warren Thompson
2 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Max Johnson
11/21, 151 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devon Achane
19 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Donovan Green
3 REC, 50 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 10 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 36

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

KJ Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Ark 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Ketron Jackson Jr.

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 25 yds, downed at the TexAM 35

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Achane, Devon, PENALTY TEXASAM illegal shift 5 yards to the TEXASAM35, NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the TexAM 40

3rd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.06

Max Johnson sacked by Zach Williams and Drew Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the TexAM 32

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ark 37

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the Ark 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.69

KJ Jefferson run for 26 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Ketron Jackson Jr. 32 Yd pass from KJ Jefferson (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 20

1st & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.46

Devon Achane run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 16

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 7 yds to the TexAM 23

3rd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.41

Max Johnson run for 11 yds to the TexAM 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 22

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Ark 28

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

AJ Green run for 8 yds to the Ark 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

AJ Green run for 9 yds to the Ark 45

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

AJ Green run for 3 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Warren Thompson

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.55

AJ Green run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ark 44

3rd & 14Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.70

Warren Thompson 56 Yd pass from KJ Jefferson (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Max Johnson run for no gain to the TexAM 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Max Johnson pass complete to Donovan Green for 8 yds to the TexAM 33

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Johnson, Max pass complete to Crownover, Earnest for 9 yards to the TEXASAM42, PENALTY TEXASAM illegal shift 5 yards to the TEXASAM28, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

4th & 7Punt+47 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24 Bryce Stephens fumbled, recovered by Ark Collin Sutherland

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 25

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Warren Thompson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.15

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Warren Thompson for 1 yd to the Ark 26

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 38

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Ainias Smith

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Bryce Stephens at the Ark 15

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Ark 20

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dominique Johnson run for 1 yd to the Ark 21

3rd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.71

KJ Jefferson run for 14 yds to the Ark 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Trey Knox

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Dominique Johnson run for 12 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Dominique Johnson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 45

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Dominique Johnson run for 7 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Malik Hornsby

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Malik Hornsby for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Malik Hornsby run for no gain to the TexAM 39

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 32 yds, downed at the TexAM 7

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +4.06

Devon Achane run for 63 yds to the Ark 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the Ark 25

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Devon Achane run for 10 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 11

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the Ark 10

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

Evan Stewart 10 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Raheim Sanders run for 12 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Raheim Sanders run for 2 yds to the Ark 39

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the Ark 45

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

KJ Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Ark 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Raheim Sanders run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Raheim Sanders run for 4 yds to the TexAM 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.11

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Nathan Bax for no gain to the TexAM 46

4th & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.69

KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.45

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 16 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the TexAM 15

2nd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.86

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 12 yds to the TexAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Return Touchdown+82 ydsPPA -12.54

Demani Richardson 82 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

AJ Green run for no gain to the Ark 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Ark 30

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

KJ Jefferson sacked by Chris Russell Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Ark 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ainias Smith at the TexAM 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 4 yds to the TexAM 36

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 18 yds to the TEXASAM 46 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 39

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 4 yds to the TexAM 48

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 43

2nd & 11Penalty+15 yds

Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Smith, Ainias, PENALTY ARKANSAS pass interference 15 yards to the ARKANSAS42, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Max Johnson pass incomplete

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Johnson, Max pass incomplete to Stewart, Evan, PENALTY ARKANSAS holding 10 yards to the TEXASAM40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASAM.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 48

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.04

Max Johnson pass complete to Donovan Green for 26 yds to the Ark 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the Ark 17

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Max Johnson pass complete to Evan Stewart for 8 yds to the Ark 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Devon Achane 9 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Raheim Sanders run for no gain to the Ark 25

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Raheim Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.23

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 9 yds to the Ark 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 29 yds, downed at the TexAM 39

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Moose Muhammad III

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 42

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.43

Max Johnson run for 18 yds to the TEXASAM 40 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Illegal Block (Moose Muhammad III) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the Ark 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.91

Max Johnson pass complete to Yulkeith Brown for 18 yds to the Ark 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Achane, Devon rush for 9 yards to the ARKANSAS17, PENALTY TEXASAM holding (Robinson, Layden) 10 yards to the ARKANSAS36, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.71

Max Johnson sacked by Landon Jackson for a loss of 10 yards to the Ark 46 Max Johnson fumbled, forced by Landon Jackson, recovered by TexAM Layden Robinson , return for 0 yards

2nd & 30Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +4.08

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 32 yds to the Ark 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the Ark 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Reuben Fatheree II) to the Ark 17

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the Ark 14

4th & 10Field Goal Good+31 yds

Randy Bond 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Raheim Sanders run for 7 yds to the Ark 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Raheim Sanders run for 6 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Jadon Haselwood

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Raheim Sanders run for 1 yd to the Ark 39

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

KJ Jefferson pass incomplete to Warren Thompson

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Max Fletcher punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexAM 14

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.73

Devon Achane run for 13 yds to the TexAM 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Chris Marshall

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 36

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (Sam Mathews) to the TexAM 31

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 43 yds , Bryce Stephens returns for no gain to the Ark 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

AJ Green run for 7 yds to the Ark 33

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

AJ Green run for 6 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

AJ Green run for 5 yds to the Ark 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

AJ Green run for 2 yds to the Ark 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.90

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Trey Knox for 8 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.14

Jadon Haselwood sacked by Shemar Stewart for a loss of 5 yards to the Ark 49

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

KJ Jefferson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.98

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Jadon Haselwood for 9 yds to the TexAM 37

4th & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.82

KJ Jefferson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Rashod Dubinion run for 14 yds to the TexAM 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

KJ Jefferson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 9

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.08

Rashod Dubinion run for 3 yds to the TexAM 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

KJ Jefferson 6 Yd Run (Cam Little Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Max Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Devon Achane

3rd & 12Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.36

Max Johnson pass complete to Donovan Green for 16 yds to the TexAM 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.80

Devon Achane run for 24 yds to the Ark 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.34

Max Johnson sacked by Eric Gregory for a loss of 3 yards to the Ark 40

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Evan Stewart

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+53 yds

Randy Bond 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dominique Johnson run for 4 yds to the Ark 40

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

KJ Jefferson run for no gain to the Ark 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.06

KJ Jefferson pass complete to Matt Landers for 19 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Raheim Sanders run for 10 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

KJ Jefferson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Raheim Sanders run for 5 yds to the TexAM 16

2nd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.58

TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the TexAM 25 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Ark Raheim Sanders

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

KJ Jefferson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 24

4th & 13Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Cam Little 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 20

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Devon Achane run for 4 yds to the TexAM 24

3rd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.18

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 22

Situational Analysis

Arkansas

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
61%
31 plays
2nd
83%
6 plays
17%
6 plays
30%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th