Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 24, 2022Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 29.8

Home Win Probability

Alabama 96%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -40.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +40.5 (10.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 24, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
VanderbiltVanderbilt
30003
AlabamaAlabama
1417101455

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-314-321-328-334-341-348-355-3
AlabamaVanderbilt

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANVANALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANALAVANPUNT517ydPUNT35ydTD468ydFG1152ydTD1075ydDOWNS49ydTD134ydPUNT35ydDOWNS522ydPUNT3-5ydTD977ydTO3-4ydPUNT47ydEND458ydPUNT531ydFG1284ydPUNT416ydTD655ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT514ydTD1587ydPUNT412ydTD553ydEND19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Vanderbilt and Alabama
StatisticVanderbiltAlabama
Passing13-2630-43
Pass Yards115400
Rush Yards14228
Total Yards129628
Turnovers01
3rd Down1-137-12
Penalties6-366-55
Possession27:4332:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Vanderbilt
passing
AJ Swann
13/26, 115 YDS
rushing
Rocko Griffin
3 CAR, 19 YDS
receiving
Will Sheppard
3 REC, 52 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
25/36, 385 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Jase McClellan
11 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Corey Brooks
6 REC, 117 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 8 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Young, Bryce pass incomplete, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Dalcourt, Darrian) 10 yards to the ALABAMA25, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Alab 33

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 4 yds to the Alab 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 5 yds to the Alab 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

James Burnip punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

AJ Swann pass complete to Ray Davis for 4 yds to the Vandy 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the Vandy 27

3rd & 1Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.73

Ray Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Vandy 23

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 16 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.27

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 25 yds to the Vandy 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 6 yds to the Vandy 21

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.54

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 21 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 9 yds to the Vandy 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.03

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 5 yds to the Vandy 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.82

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 22 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

AJ Swann pass complete to Gamarion Carter for 7 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Patrick Smith run for 1 yd to the Alab 31

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.58

Ray Davis run for 4 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 4 yds to the Alab 23

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowan

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 yds

Joseph Bulovas 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.15

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the Alab 28 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Javion Cohen) to the Alab 18

1st & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Jase McClellan run for 6 yds to the Alab 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.87

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 24 yds to the Alab 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 14 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jahmyr Gibbs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.20

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 15 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.34

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 15 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Ray Davis run for 7 yds to the Vandy 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

AJ Swann run for no gain to the Vandy 34

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

Bryce Young pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 34 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

AJ Swann pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ray Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray Davis

4th & 5Punt+15 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 15 yds to the Alab 42 Kool-Aid McKinstry fumbled, recovered by Alab Kool-Aid McKinstry

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.62

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 24 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jase McClellan

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Patrick Smith run for no gain to the Vandy 36

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tim Smith) to the Vandy 41

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Patrick Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 40

3rd & 6Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.99

AJ Swann sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 31

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 23

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Jase McClellan run for 8 yds to the Alab 31

2nd & 2Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.99

Jase McClellan run for 26 yds to the Vandy 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 8 yds to the Vandy 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 1 yd to the Vandy 34

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.47

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the Vandy 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +0.71

Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 26 yds to the Vandy 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 7 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Gavin Schoenwald

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Ray Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 23

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.14

AJ Swann sacked by Will Anderson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Vandy 21

4th & 14Punt+40 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 48 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 40 yds to the Vandy 29 Kool-Aid McKinstry fumbled, forced by Matt Hayball, recovered by Vandy

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Rocko Griffin run for 12 yds to the Vandy 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.17

AJ Swann sacked by DJ Dale for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 34

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Rocko Griffin run for 1 yd to the Vandy 35

3rd & 16Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.15

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 36

4th & 15Punt-3 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 41 yds , Brian Branch returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Alab 20 Brian Branch fumbled, recovered by Alab Brian Branch

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 10 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.05

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 48 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+40 yds

Will Reichard 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 17 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Alab 44

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -1.08

Jayden McGowan run for no gain to the Alab 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 32 yds, downed at the Alab 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.46

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 10 yds to the Alab 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the Alab 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Cameron Latu

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.26

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 15 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 13 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Bryce Young run for 6 yds to the Vandy 41

2nd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.65

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 19 yds to the Vandy 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Roydell Williams run for 10 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Darrian Dalcourt) to the Vandy 17

1st & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Roydell Williams run for 13 yds to the Vandy 4

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Roydell Williams run for 1 yd to the Vandy 3

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 4

4th & 2Field Goal Good+21 yds

Will Reichard 21 yd FG GOOD

4th & 2Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Will Reichard kickoff for 64 yds , Jayden McGowan return for no gain to the Vandy 1 Jayden McGowan fumbled, recovered by Vandy Jayden McGowan

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ray Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 1

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Swann, AJ pass incomplete to Sheppard, Will, PENALTY ALABAMA pass interference (Ricks, Eli) 15 yards to the VANDERBILT16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VANDERBILT.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ray Davis run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowan

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Devin Boddie Jr.

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.51

Bryce Young pass complete to Cameron Latu for 12 yds to the Vandy 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 17 yds to the Vandy 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the Vandy 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Jase McClellan run for 12 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Patrick Smith run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.37

AJ Swann sacked by Will Anderson Jr. and Chris Braswell for a loss of 9 yards to the Vandy 18

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 9 yds to the Alab 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jase McClellan run for 2 yds to the Alab 47

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -2.04

Jalen Milroe run for a loss of 8 yards to the Alab 39 Jalen Milroe fumbled, recovered by Alab Jalen Milroe

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

4th & 16Punt+9 yds

James Burnip punt for 47 yds , Will Sheppard returns for 9 yds to the Vandy 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 8 yds to the Vandy 31

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Ray Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray Davis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 8 yds to the Vandy 42

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

VANDERBILT Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Vandy 37

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 50 yds, downed at the Alab 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Robbie Ouzts for 3 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Brooks, Ja'Corey, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Sannieniola, Steven) 15 yards to the ALABAMA31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Trey Sanders run for 8 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Trey Sanders run for no gain to the Alab 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.33

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Trey Sanders for 3 yds to the Alab 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jamarion Miller run for 6 yds to the Alab 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.80

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 5 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jamarion Miller run for 4 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jamarion Miller run for 4 yds to the Vandy 39

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.26

Trey Sanders run for 4 yds to the Vandy 35 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Darren Agu) to the Vandy 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Sanders run for 1 yd to the Vandy 19

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Bond, Isaiah, PENALTY ALABAMA holding (Latham, JC) 10 yards to the VANDERBILT29, NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jamarion Miller for a loss of 1 yard to the Vandy 30

3rd & 20Rush+28 ydsPPA +4.05

Jalen Milroe run for 28 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jamarion Miller run for no gain to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down VANDERBILT Penalty, Face Mask (1 yards) (Darren Agu) to the Vandy 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty0 yds

Milroe, Jalen pass incomplete to Law, Kendrick, PENALTY VANDERBILT pass interference (Lucien, Jeremy) 0 yards to the VANDERBILT1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jamarion Miller run for 1 yd for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 12 yds to the Vandy 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rocko Griffin run for 6 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

AJ Swann sacked by TEAM for a loss of 6 yards to the Vandy 37 VANDERBILT Penalty, Intentional Grounding (AJ Swann) to the Vandy 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Ray Davis

4th & 10Punt+27 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 27 yds to the Alab 47

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jamarion Miller run for 3 yds to the Vandy 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.63

Ty Simpson pass complete to Thaiu Jones-Bell for 5 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Vandy 40

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.79

Jamarion Miller run for 40 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Jack Martin kickoff for 64 yds , Cooper Lutz return for 16 yds to the Vandy 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Patrick Smith run for 9 yds to the Vandy 26

Situational Analysis

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
41%
22 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
56%
36 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play