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← Back to GamesSep 18, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Texas A&M by 5.4

Home Win Probability

Texas A&M 56%

Market (consensus)

Texas A&M -6.5

Edge: Miami +6.5 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
MiamiMiami
30339
Texas A&MTexas A&M
1007017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-03-310-317-617-9
Texas A&MMiami

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TAMIATATAMIATAMIATAMIATAMIATAMIATAMIATAMIATAMIATAFG855ydFG1265ydTO33ydTD328ydMISS844ydPUNT33ydMISS1273ydPUNT938ydPUNT625ydEND924ydPUNT512ydTD476ydFG1271ydPUNT634ydFG1683ydPUNT36ydTO617ydPUNT410ydDOWNS517ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami and Texas A&M
StatisticMiamiTexas A&M
Passing21-4110-20
Pass Yards217140
Rush Yards175124
Total Yards392264
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-144-12
Penalties7-525-55
Possession34:2025:40

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami
passing
Tyler Van Dyke
21/41, 217 YDS
rushing
Henry Parrish Jr.
16 CAR, 85 YDS
receiving
Will Mallory
6 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Texas A&M
passing
Max Johnson
10/20, 140 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Devon Achane
18 CAR, 88 YDS
receiving
Ainias Smith
4 REC, 74 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 65 yds , Devon Achane return for 36 yds to the TexAM 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.60

Max Johnson pass complete to Donovan Green for 18 yds to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Devon Achane run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 41

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Devon Achane run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.23

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 16 yds to the MiaFl 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Devon Achane

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+26 yds

Randy Bond 26 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 7 yds to the MiaFl 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 20 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Elijah Arroyo

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.59

Jaylan Knighton run for 9 yds to the TexAM 21

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the TexAM 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 16

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 21

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Henry Parrish Jr.

3rd & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Jaylan Knighton run for 11 yds to the TexAM 10

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 yds

Andres Borregales 28 Yd Field Goal

4th & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Andres Borregales kickoff for 65 yds , Devon Achane return for 18 yds to the TexAM 18

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.75

Max Johnson sacked by Keontra Smith and Darrell Jackson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 13

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Max Johnson run for 8 yds to the TexAM 21

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt-3 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 48 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 28 Tyrique Stevenson fumbled, recovered by TexAM Chris Russell Jr.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 25

2nd & 7Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.98

Devon Achane run for 22 yds to the MiaFl 3 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

LJ Johnson Jr. 1 Yd Run (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 26 for a 1ST down TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Brian George) to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.05

Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the TexAM 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.79

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 15 yds to the TexAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Jacolby George

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 1 yd to the TexAM 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Henry Parrish Jr.

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Andres Borregales 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Max Johnson pass incomplete to Devon Achane

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 57 yds, downed at the MiaFl 9

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASAM personal foul 15 yards to the MIAMI24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaylan Knighton run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the TexAM 45

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.15

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Elijah Arroyo for 29 yds to the TexAM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Van Dyke, Tyler pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASAM17, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 18

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

4th & 16Blocked Field Goal+36 yds

Andres Borregales 36 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Albert Regis

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Max Johnson sacked by Mitchell Agude and Darrell Jackson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.63

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 12 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 30

2nd & 11Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Devon Achane run for 13 yds to the TexAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.28

Devon Achane run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Devon Achane run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Max Johnson pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaFl 8

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 15

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.05

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Jaylan Knighton run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 29

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Van Dyke run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 33

4th & 7Punt+3 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 3 yds to the TexAM 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Amari Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Amari Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexAM 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Amari Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexAM 32

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 3 yds to the TexAM 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.50

Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Max Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Max Johnson pass complete to Devon Achane for 2 yds to the TexAM 49

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.21

Max Johnson sacked by Jahfari Harvey for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 44

0th & 8End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Henry Parrish Jr. run for no gain to the MiaFl 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Michael Redding III for 10 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 36

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Tyler Van Dyke run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 37

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+9 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 48 yds , Ainias Smith returns for 9 yds to the TexAM 24

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Max Johnson run for 11 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.54

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 25 yds to the TEXASAM 40 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Devon Achane run for no gain to the MiaFl 25

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Devon Achane 25 Yd pass from Max Johnson (Randy Bond Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Van Dyke run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 27

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.48

Jaylan Knighton run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete to Key'Shawn Smith

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 42

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.08

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 17 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Romello Brinson for no gain to the TexAM 36

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexAM 34

3rd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.74

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 24 yds to the TexAM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TexAM 8

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Van Dyke run for 2 yds to the TexAM 6

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the TexAM 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Andres Borregales 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Max Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Devon Achane run for 1 yd to the TexAM 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.93

Max Johnson pass complete to Ainias Smith for 21 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

TEXAS A&M Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexAM 47

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.24

Max Johnson run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 43

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devon Achane run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Devon Achane run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 41

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds, downed at the MiaFl 1

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 8

2nd & 3Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.62

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 17 yds to the MiaFl 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.39

Thaddius Franklin Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.93

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 11 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.44

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 21 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the TexAM 41

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the TexAM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.89

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 11 yds to the TexAM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 3 yds to the TexAM 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 1 yd to the TexAM 18

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 2 yds to the TexAM 16

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 yds

Andres Borregales 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Devon Achane run for no gain to the TexAM 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Max Johnson pass complete to Chase Lane for 6 yds to the TexAM 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Max Johnson pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyrique Stevenson at the MiaFl 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Key'Shawn Smith for 16 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Henry Parrish Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Will Mallory for 12 yds to the TexAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 43

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 20Penalty-10 yds

MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MiaFl 33

2nd & 30Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jacolby George for 6 yds to the MiaFl 39

3rd & 24Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Tyler Van Dyke run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 44

4th & 19Penalty-5 yds

Hedley, Lou punt 55 yards to the TEXASAM1, downed, PENALTY MIAMI illegal formation 5 yards to the MIAMI39, NO PLAY.

4th & 24Punt-5 yds

Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds , Ainias Smith returns for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 7 Ainias Smith fumbled, recovered by TexAM Ainias Smith

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.39

Devon Achane run for 11 yds to the TexAM 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Devon Achane run for 2 yds to the TexAM 20

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.47

Devon Achane run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 16

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.47

Devon Achane run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexAM 16

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.06

LJ Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the TexAM 17

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Nik Constantinou punt for 40 yds , Tyrique Stevenson returns for no gain to the MiaFl 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Brashard Smith for 11 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyler Van Dyke pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 6 yds to the TexAM 40

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.64

Tyler Van Dyke pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 39

Situational Analysis

Miami

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
33 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
53%
19 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Texas A&M

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th