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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 17.7

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 87%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -30

Edge: Youngstown State +30 (12.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Youngstown State
00000
KentuckyKentucky
0217331

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-028-031-0
KentuckyYoungstown State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20KENYSKENYSKENYSKENYSKENYSKENYSKENYSYSKENYSKENYSKENYSKENYSKENPUNT423ydPUNT39ydPUNT513ydPUNT36ydTO312ydPUNT34ydTD835ydPUNT33ydTD877ydPUNT517ydTO232ydPUNT31ydTD971ydEND10ydDOWNS542ydTD867ydTO367ydPUNT511ydPUNT57ydTO1053ydPUNT519ydFG870ydDOWNS741ydEND28yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Youngstown State and Kentucky
StatisticYoungstown StateKentucky
Passing9-2427-35
Pass Yards134377
Rush Yards58103
Total Yards192480
Turnovers13
3rd Down0-106-11
Penalties7-4610-74
Possession21:5038:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Youngstown State
passing
Demeatric Crenshaw
7/21, 120 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jaleel McLaughlin
10 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Jaleel McLaughlin
3 REC, 60 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
27/35, 377 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Kavosiey Smoke
18 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Dane Key
6 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 23 yds to the Kent 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.13

Will Levis pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 14 yds to the YngSt 43

3rd & 1Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.73

Will Levis sacked by Dylan Wudke for a loss of 9 yards to the Kent 48

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 3 yds to the YngSt 19

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaleel McLaughlin run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 18

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Jaleel McLaughlin) to the YngSt 13

3rd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 12 yds to the YngSt 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 13 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

La'Vell Wright run for 5 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the Kent 49

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.48

Will Levis sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 45

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.48

Will Levis sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 45

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 50 yds

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 50 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 9 yds to the YngSt 14

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (Devin Johnson) to the YngSt 9

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 2 yds to the YngSt 11

4th & 4Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Martez Thrower blocked by Martez Thrower

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.21

Kavosiey Smoke run for 15 yds to the YngSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.49

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 15

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -3.98

Will Levis pass intercepted

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -3.98

Will Levis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Dra Rushton run for 6 yds to the YngSt 9

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the YngSt 4

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.05

Dra Rushton run for 2 yds to the YngSt 7

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 43 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 15 yds to the YngSt 35

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 43 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 15 yds to the YngSt 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the YngSt 28

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.03

Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the YngSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the YngSt 15

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 1 yard to the YngSt 16

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.16

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 15 yds to the YngSt 1 for a 1ST down

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.16

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 15 yds to the YngSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the YngSt 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the YngSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Will Levis run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 23

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 1 yd to the YngSt 24

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 4 yds to the YngSt 28

4th & 7Punt+13 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 39 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 13 yds to the Kent 41 KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keidron Smith) to the Kent 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.52

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 29 yds to the YngSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.76

Will Levis sacked by Alex Howard and Andres Lehrmann for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 49

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 7 yds to the YngSt 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.05

Will Levis pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 12 yds to the YngSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tayvion Robinson run for 5 yds to the YngSt 27

2nd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.63

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for no gain to the YngSt 27

3rd & 5Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Will Levis run for 24 yds to the YngSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Demeatric Crenshaw run for 4 yds to the YngSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.63

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 13 yds to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the YngSt 42

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.67

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 23 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -2.05

La'Vell Wright run for 9 yds to the Kent 47 La'Vell Wright fumbled, recovered by YngSt Troy Jakubec

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the Kent 46

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Dra Rushton run for 1 yd to the Kent 46

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 17 yds

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 17 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +1.31

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds Dane Key fumbled, recovered by Kent Jordan Dingle for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 13 yds to the YngSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Kavosiey Smoke run for 1 yd to the YngSt 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.37

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the YngSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the YngSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Kavosiey Smoke run for 13 yds to the YngSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the YngSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty+2 yds

LEVIS, Will pass up the middle incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the YSU0. PENALTY YSU Pass Interference on JAKUBEC, Troy enforced 2 yards to the YSU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Will Levis pass complete to Chris Lewis for 2 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 65 yds , Dra Rushton return for 21 yds to the YngSt 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Bryce Oliver for 27 yds to the KENTUCKY 48 for a 1ST down KENTUCKY Penalty, Personal Foul (Deone Walker) to the Kent 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jaleel McLaughlin run for no gain to the Kent 33

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.59

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.95

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 22 yds to the YngSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.80

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 13 yds to the YngSt 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA -0.02

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 9 yds to the YngSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.93

Kavosiey Smoke run for a loss of 3 yards to the YngSt 31

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Will Levis pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 5 yds to the YngSt 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.11

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 13 yds to the YngSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

La'Vell Wright run for 6 yds to the YngSt 7

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Chance Poore kickoff for 58 yds , Dra Rushton return for 24 yds to the YngSt 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+64 ydsPPA +3.72

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for 64 yds to the Kent 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Penalty+3 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Carrington Valentine) to the Kent 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -5.79

Demeatric Crenshaw pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Chris Lewis) to the Kent 15

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Kavosiey Smoke run for no gain to the Kent 15

2nd & 15Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.27

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 23 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.98

Will Levis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 31

4th & 17Punt+8 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds , Randy Smith returns for 8 yds to the YngSt 38

4th & 17Punt+8 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 39 yds , Randy Smith returns for 8 yds to the YngSt 38

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Dra Rushton run for no gain to the YngSt 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.69

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Latrell Fordham for 19 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

Dra Rushton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Dra Rushton for 1 yd to the Kent 43

3rd & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.89

Demeatric Crenshaw sacked by Kahlil Saunders and Keaten Wade for a loss of 12 yards to the YngSt 45

4th & 22Punt-8 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 44 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 37 KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the Kent 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 6

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the Kent 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jeremy Flax) to the Kent 10

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.43

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 14 yds to the Kent 24

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.04

Kavosiey Smoke run for 6 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, fumbled snap, Kneel down by LEVIS, Will at KEN41 Unnecessary Roughness on AUGUSTIN, D'Marco enforced (D'Marco Augustin) to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 8 yds to the Kent 49

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Will Levis pass complete to Dekel Crowdus for 12 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Levis pass complete to Keaton Upshaw for 4 yds to the YngSt 35

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

WRIGHT, La'Vell rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the YSU24 (HOOKER, Marcus). PENALTY KEN Holding on KEY, Dane enforced 10 yards from the YSU35 to the YSU45 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 16Interception+10 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Levis pass intercepted YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Illegal Block (D'Marco Augustin) to the YngSt 20

3rd & 16Interception+15 ydsPPA -0.83

Will Levis pass intercepted for a 1ST down YOUNGSTOWN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (D'Marco Augustin) to the YngSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jaleel McLaughlin run for 6 yds to the YngSt 26

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

CRENSHAW, Demeatric pass to the left complete for 30 yards to OLIVER, Bryce caught at the KEN44 and advanced to the KEN44, End of Play. PENALTY KEN Pass Interference on SMITH, Keidron enforced 15 yards to the YSU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Demeatric Crenshaw pass complete to Jaleel McLaughlin for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 39

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Demeatric Crenshaw pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+8 yds

Paddy Lynch punt for 44 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 8 yds to the Kent 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Levis run for 4 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Will Levis pass complete to Justice Dingle II for 10 yds to the Kent 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+58 ydsPPA +4.50

Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 58 yds to the YngSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Levis run for no gain to the YngSt 3

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the YngSt 5

4th & 5Field Goal Good+15 yds

Matt Ruffolo 15 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mitch Davidson run for 5 yds to the YngSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Randy Smith for 9 yds to the YngSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.76

Mitch Davidson run for 23 yds to the Kent 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Mitch Davidson run for 3 yds to the Kent 35

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Tyreese Fearbry) to the Kent 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Mitch Davidson pass incomplete

4th & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.95

Mitch Davidson pass complete to Brandon Alexander for 5 yds to the Kent 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Dee Beckwith run for 3 yds to the Kent 37

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dee Beckwith run for 5 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dee Beckwith run for 5 yds to the Kent 42

Situational Analysis

Youngstown State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
35%
17 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
4 plays
52%
29 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
50%
6 plays
71%
7 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th