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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Florida 80%

Market (consensus)

Florida -23.5

Edge: South Florida +23.5 (8.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
South FloridaSouth Florida
768728
FloridaFlorida
3210731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-710-1017-1024-1324-2124-2831-28
FloridaSouth Florida

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFSFFLOFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOSFFLOTO637ydFG845ydTD1281ydTD375ydFG970ydTD1288ydTD311ydFG1243ydEND1-1ydTO619ydTD418ydPUNT31ydPUNT513ydPUNT34ydTD1151ydTO770ydTO3-1ydTD428ydMISS1239ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing South Florida and Florida
StatisticSouth FloridaFlorida
Passing12-2810-18
Pass Yards116112
Rush Yards286217
Total Yards402329
Turnovers32
3rd Down8-153-8
Penalties9-736-48
Possession36:1923:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

South Florida
passing
Gerry Bohannon
12/28, 116 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Brian Battie
17 CAR, 150 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Xavier Weaver
8 REC, 82 YDS
defense
Florida
passing
Anthony Richardson
10/18, 112 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
6 CAR, 103 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justin Shorter
2 REC, 33 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for 22 yds to the SFla 22

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Chris Carter

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.99

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 12 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the SFla 41

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.12

Gerry Bohanon run for 15 yds to the Fla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 3 yds Xavier Weaver fumbled, recovered by Fla Shemar James

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Nay'Quan Wright run for 8 yds to the Fla 49

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Nay'Quan Wright run for 7 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 5 yds to the SFla 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.72

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 20 yds to the SFla 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 3 yds to the SFla 22

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the SFla 16

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the SFla 14

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

Adam Mihalek 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for 19 yds to the SFla 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the SFla 24

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Omarion Dollison for 7 yds to the SFla 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Brian Battie

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaren Mangham run for 2 yds to the SFla 33

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bohanon,Gerry rush middle for 13 yards gain to the USF46 (Torrence II,Rashad; Helm,Avery), out of bounds PENALTY USF Holding (Hall,Dustyn) 10 yards from USF33 to USF23. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.93

Brian Battie run for 21 yds to the SFla 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USF False Start 5 yards from USF44 to USF39. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.06

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 9 yds to the SFla 48

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Michel Dukes run for 3 yds to the Fla 49

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.49

Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Khafre Brown

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.83

Jaren Mangham run for 23 yds to the Fla 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Gerry Bohanon run for 12 yds to the Fla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

B. Battie run for 10 yds for a TD, (S. Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Fla 34

2nd & 1Penalty-15 yds

PENALTY UFL UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Barber,Austin) 15 yards from UFL34 to UFL19. NO PLAY.

2nd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Ricky Pearsall for 14 yds to the Fla 33

3rd & 2Penalty+2 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Antonio Grier) to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson Jr.,Montrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UFL35 (Grier,Antonio) PENALTY USF Offside (Cheney Jr.,Rashad) 5 yards from UFL33 to UFL38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Johnson Jr.,Montrell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UFL35 (Grier,Antonio) PENALTY USF Offside (Cheney Jr.,Rashad) 5 yards from UFL33 to UFL38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+62 ydsPPA +4.95

M. Johnson Jr. run for 62 yds for a TD, (A. Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Khafre Brown

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Michel Dukes run for 5 yds to the SFla 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Brian Battie for 4 yds to the SFla 34

4th & 1Rush+51 ydsPPA +4.24

Brian Battie run for 51 yds to the Fla 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Gerry Bohanon run for 11 yds to the Fla 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Jaren Mangham run for 1 yd to the Fla 5

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

4th & 5Field Goal Good+22 yds

Spencer Shrader 22 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.88

Trevor Etienne run for 16 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Etienne,Trevor rush left for 8 yards gain to the UFL36 (Grier,Antonio) PENALTY UFL Holding (Gouraige,Richard) 10 yards from UFL28 to UFL18. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.51

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Trent Whittemore for 33 yds to the SFla 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the SFla 42

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.05

Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the SFla 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Richardson,Anthony pass incomplete short left to Shorter,Justin PENALTY USF Pass Interference (Brown,Aamaris) 15 yards from USF39 to USF24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Xzavier Henderson for 3 yds to the SFla 21

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Anthony Richardson run for 8 yds to the SFla 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the SFla 14

2nd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.81

Anthony Richardson sacked by Mekhi LaPointe for a loss of 4 yards to the SFla 18

3rd & 15Penalty+8 yds

SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Dwayne Boyles) to the SFla 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

N. Wright run for 7 yds for a TD, (A. Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 65 yds , Brian Battie return for 24 yds to the SFla 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the SFla 28

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.01

Brian Battie run for 7 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+39 ydsPPA -8.76

Jalen Kimber 39 Yd Interception Return (Adam Mihalek Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaren Mangham run for 7 yds to the SFla 32

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.20

Gerry Bohanon run for 13 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.87

Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Fla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Atkins run for 3 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 7Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bohanon,Gerry pass incomplete short right to Carter,Chris broken up by Johnson,Tre'Vez PENALTY USF Pass Interference (Carter,Chris) 15 yards from UFL42 to USF43. NO PLAY.

2nd & 22Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.54

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 18 yds to the Fla 39

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Michel Dukes run for 4 yds to the Fla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Gunnar Greenwald

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Gunnar Greenwald

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Jimmy Horn Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Brian Battie for 3 yds to the Fla 32

4th & 7Field Goal Good+49 yds

S. Shrader 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 24

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 3 yds to the Fla 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Fla 26

3rd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Anthony Richardson run for 16 yds to the Fla 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Justin Shorter

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Anthony Richardson run for 2 yds to the Fla 44

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Gunnar Greenwald

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the Fla 13

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Gerry Bohanon run for 7 yds to the Fla 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

G. Bohanon run for 6 yds for a TD, (X. Weaver pass to for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Trevor Etienne run for 2 yds to the Fla 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UFL False Start (Leonard IV,Richie) 5 yards from UFL27 to UFL22. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Keon Zipperer for 4 yds to the Fla 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Ricky Pearsall

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 32 yds

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 6 yds to the SFla 48

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the Fla 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brian Battie run for 5 yds to the Fla 38

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Fla 37

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the Fla 35

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USF False Start (Harris,Demetris) 5 yards from UFL35 to UFL40. NO PLAY.

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY USF Delay Of Game 5 yards from UFL40 to UFL45. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Andrew Stokes punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Fla 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Nay'Quan Wright run for 3 yds to the Fla 16

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Nay'Quan Wright run for 6 yds to the Fla 22

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY UFL False Start (Zipperer,Keon) 5 yards from UFL22 to UFL17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Trent Whittemore

4th & 6Punt+20 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 20 yds to the SFla 49

4th & 6Punt+20 yds

Jeremy Crawshaw punt for 54 yds , Xavier Weaver returns for 20 yds to the SFla 49

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Gerry Bohanon run for 9 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Xavier Weaver

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Michel Dukes run for no gain to the Fla 42

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.96

Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the Fla 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the Fla 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the Fla 42

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.69

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 14 yds to the Fla 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Brian Battie run for 1 yd to the Fla 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.61

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 13 yds to the Fla 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Brian Battie run for 13 yds to the Fla 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty0 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Bohanon,Gerry rush middle for 0 yards to the UFL01 (Dexter Sr.,Gervon; Torrence II,Rashad) PENALTY UFL Offside (Marshall Jr.,Jason). NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Michel Dukes run for no gain to the Fla 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Michel Dukes run for 1 yd for a TD, (Spencer Shrader KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Richardson pass incomplete to Dante Zanders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +3.30

Anthony Richardson pass complete to Justin Shorter for 30 yds to the SFla 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the SFla 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Richardson run for 1 yd to the SFla 34

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the SFla 28

3rd & 3Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.39

Montrell Johnson Jr. run for 18 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down SOUTH FLORIDA Penalty, Personal Foul (Antonio Grier) to the SFla 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -5.12

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -5.12

Anthony Richardson pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Omarion Dollison

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the SFla 19

3rd & 11Interception0 ydsPPA +0.24

Gerry Bohanon pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Trevor Etienne run for 3 yds to the SFla 25

2nd & 7Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.41

Trevor Etienne run for 15 yds to the SFla 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Trevor Etienne run for 7 yds to the SFla 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

T. Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD, (A. Mihalek KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Adam Mihalek kickoff for 63 yds , Brian Battie return for 28 yds to the SFla 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Michel Dukes run for 1 yd to the SFla 29

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the SFla 30

3rd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.17

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Khafre Brown for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Brian Battie run for 9 yds to the Fla 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Gerry Bohanon pass incomplete to Brian Battie

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.87

Gerry Bohanon run for 5 yds to the Fla 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Brian Battie run for 6 yds to the Fla 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Xavier Weaver for 7 yds to the Fla 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gerry Bohanon run for 4 yds to the Fla 19

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +0.81

run for 14 yds to the Fla 33 fumbled, recovered by SFla Brian Battie

3rd & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brian Battie run for 2 yds to the Fla 31

4th & 18Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Spencer Shrader 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 30

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.47

Anthony Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Fla 29

Situational Analysis

South Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
40%
30 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
56%
9 plays
56%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Florida

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
39%
23 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
57%
7 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
33%
6 plays
4th