Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 10, 2022Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wake Forest by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Vanderbilt 20%

Market (consensus)

Vanderbilt +13.5

Edge: Vanderbilt +13.5 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 10, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wake ForestWake Forest
147141045
VanderbiltVanderbilt
378725

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-2110-2810-3518-4218-4525-45
VanderbiltWake Forest

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VANWFVANWFVANVANWFVANWFVANVANWFVANWFVANWFVANWFWFVANWFVANWFVANWFVANWFVANWFPUNT434ydPUNT32ydFG836ydDOWNS1153ydTD416ydPUNT30ydTD168ydTO16ydTD332ydPUNT35ydTD524ydPUNT39ydPUNT35ydPUNT531ydPUNT38ydPUNT36ydPUNT39ydEND23ydTD775ydPUNT67ydPUNT34ydTO2-11ydTD218ydTD875ydTD875ydPUNT3-5ydFG1449ydTD575ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wake Forest and Vanderbilt
StatisticWake ForestVanderbilt
Passing18-2716-26
Pass Yards300181
Rush Yards151113
Total Yards451294
Turnovers13
3rd Down4-122-13
Penalties5-313-23
Possession30:1329:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wake Forest
passing
Sam Hartman
18/27, 300 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Quinton Cooley
9 CAR, 57 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
A.T. Perry
5 REC, 142 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Vanderbilt
passing
AJ Swann
8/11, 146 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Re'Mahn Davis
18 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jayden McGowan
3 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.21

Re'Mahn Davis run for 28 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 49

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Mike Wright run for 2 yds to the WFrst 49

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line Re'Mahn Davis fumbled, recovered by WFrst Ray Davis , return to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 14

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 16

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 47

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for no gain to the Vandy 47

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.46

Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 24 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 5 yds to the WFrst 24

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mike Wright run for 5 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the WFrst 17

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Gavin Schoenwald

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Joseph Bulovas 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the WFrst 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.19

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 7 yds to the Vandy 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Christian Turner run for 4 yds to the Vandy 40

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.67

Christian Turner run for 8 yds to the Vandy 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the Vandy 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Vandy 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Vandy 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Justice Ellison run for no gain to the Vandy 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.33

Mike Wright pass complete to Will Sheppard for 13 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST down

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Mike Wright run for 3 yds to the Vandy 17

3rd & 7Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -6.84

Coby Davis 31 Yd Interception Return (Matthew Dennis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mike Wright pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 2 yds to the Vandy 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Quincy Skinner Jr.

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 32

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +5.52

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 68 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -0.99

Mike Wright run for 6 yds to the Vandy 32 Mike Wright fumbled, recovered by WFrst Chelen Garnes

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 30 yds to the Vandy 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Mike Wright run for no gain to the Vandy 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Ben Bresnahan

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the WFrst 19

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.92

Re'Mahn Davis run for 15 yds to the WFrst 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Re'Mahn Davis run for 1 yd to the WFrst 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Ellison,Justice rush middle for 6 yards gain to the Wake36 (Orji,Anfernee; Worship,Max) PENALTY Wake Holding (Maginn,Sean) 10 yards from Wake30 to Wake20. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 10 yds to the WFrst 30

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Sam Hartman sacked by Christian James for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 29

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Sam Hartman run for 10 yds to the WFrst 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Vandy 15

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Chase Gillespie run for 6 yds to the Vandy 21

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Chase Gillespie run for no gain to the Vandy 21

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 57 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.51

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 25 yds to the Vandy 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Vandy 43

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Christian Turner run for 2 yds to the Vandy 41

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.03

Sam Hartman sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Vandy 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.15

Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 10

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.11

Re'Mahn Davis run for 8 yds to the Vandy 18

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 36

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.14

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Ke'Shawn Williams

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake Whiteheart

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Sheppard at the Vandy 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Mike Wright pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 6 yds to the Vandy 21

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 22

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Re'Mahn Davis run for 2 yds to the Vandy 24

4th & 1Punt+15 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 43 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 15 yds to the WFrst 48

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Christian Turner run for no gain to the WFrst 48

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the Vandy 49

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Hartman,Sam pass complete deep middle to Greene,Donavon for 15 yards to the Wake40 (Harris,Justin) PENALTY Wake Holding (Maginn,Sean) 10 yards from Wake25 to Wake15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 4 yds to the WFrst 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 7 yds to the WFrst 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +4.37

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 49 yds to the Vandy 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Justice Ellison run for 11 yds to the Vandy 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Justice Ellison run for 5 yds to the Vandy 9

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.82

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Re'Mahn Davis run for 5 yds to the Vandy 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jayden McGowan run for 4 yds to the Vandy 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Re'Mahn Davis run for 4 yds to the Vandy 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Mike Wright pass incomplete to Jayden McGowan

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Re'Mahn Davis run for 3 yds to the Vandy 41

3rd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Mike Wright run for 1 yd to the Vandy 32

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Christian Turner run for 6 yds to the WFrst 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Christian Turner run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Wake False Start (Ngassam Nya,Loic) 5 yards from Wake27 to Wake22. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Wake Delay Of Game 5 yards from Wake22 to Wake17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Christian Turner run for 5 yds to the WFrst 22

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ivan Mora punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Mike Wright pass complete to Mike Wright for 11 yds to the Vandy 18

2nd & 21Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA +0.29

Re'Mahn Davis run for no gain to the Vandy 18 Re'Mahn Davis fumbled, recovered by WFrst Kobie Turner

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sam Hartman run for 1 yd to the Vandy 17

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.86

Sam Hartman pass complete to Cameron Hite for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Gillespie run for 1 yd to the Vandy 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.98

AJ Swann pass complete to Jayden McGowan for 50 yds to the WFrst 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Gillespie run for no gain to the WFrst 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Will Sheppard

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Jayden McGowan

4th & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.50

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 18 yds to the WFrst 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

AJ Swann pass incomplete to Justin Ball

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Swann Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Swann,AJ pass attempt failed PENALTY Wake Pass Interference (Carson,Caelen) 1 yard from Wake03 to Wake03. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 6 yds to the WFrst 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to A.T. Perry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Sam Hartman pass complete to Blake Whiteheart for 14 yds to the Vandy 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Quinton Cooley run for 7 yds to the Vandy 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 6 yds to the Vandy 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 12 yds to the Vandy 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Quinton Cooley run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dennis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

AJ Swann pass complete to Will Sheppard for 8 yds to the Vandy 33

2nd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.91

AJ Swann sacked by Kobie Turner for a loss of 7 yards to the Vandy 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

AJ Swann pass complete to Re'Mahn Davis for 6 yds to the Vandy 20

4th & 15Punt+10 yds

Matt Hayball punt for 42 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 10 yds to the WFrst 48

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Quinton Cooley run for 4 yds to the Vandy 48

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.86

Quinton Cooley run for 6 yds to the Vandy 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.53

Sam Hartman pass complete to Jahmal Banks for 14 yds to the Vandy 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 29

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Quinton Cooley run for 10 yds to the Vandy 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Quinton Cooley run for no gain to the Vandy 19

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.71

Quinton Cooley run for 1 yd to the Vandy 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 6 yds to the Vandy 12

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Vandy 11

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.41

Justice Ellison run for 3 yds to the Vandy 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the Vandy 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Vandy 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Matthew Dennis 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Ivan Mora kickoff for 63 yds , Cooper Lutz return for 23 yds to the Vandy 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cooper Lutz run for 2 yds to the Vandy 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.99

AJ Swann pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 27 yds to the WFrst 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.03

AJ Swann pass complete to Justin Ball for 36 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Cooper Lutz run for 3 yds to the WFrst 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

AJ Swann pass complete to Gavin Schoenwald for 7 yds for a TD, (Joseph Bulovas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Will Towns run for 12 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Will Towns run for 1 yd to the WFrst 36

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Mitch Griffis run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 34

Situational Analysis

Wake Forest

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
54%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Vanderbilt

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
55%
22 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play