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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Florida State by 3.9

Home Win Probability

Florida State 60%

Market (Bovada)

Florida State +4.5

Edge: Florida State +4.5 (8.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LSULSU
3071323
Florida StateFlorida State
0710724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-73-1010-1710-2417-2423-24
Florida StateLSU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LSUFSLSUFSLSUFSFSLSUFSLSUFSLSUFSLSUFSFSLSUFG846ydMISS946ydPUNT30ydTD1485ydMISS1352ydTO617ydDOWNS48ydEND421ydFG1468ydPUNT33ydTD857ydTD1082ydTD1279ydTD1575ydTO320ydTO37ydTD1199yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing LSU and Florida State
StatisticLSUFlorida State
Passing25-3520-33
Pass Yards209260
Rush Yards139132
Total Yards348392
Turnovers21
3rd Down5-1111-17
Penalties3-306-65
Possession25:5434:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

LSU
passing
Jayden Daniels
25/34, 209 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Jayden Daniels
16 CAR, 114 YDS
receiving
Jaray Jenkins
5 REC, 46 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Florida State
passing
Jordan Travis
20/33, 260 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Treshaun Ward
16 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Ontaria Wilson
7 REC, 102 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+40 yds

Jayden Daniels run for 25 yds to the FLORIDAST 40 for a 1ST down FLORIDA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Renardo Green) to the FlaSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jayden Daniels run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Armoni Goodwin run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Armoni Goodwin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 5

2nd & 5Rush-14 yds

TEAM run for a loss of 14 yards to the FlaSt 19

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 19Field Goal Good+37 yds

Damian Ramos 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Travis sacked by BJ Ojulari for 0 yards to the FlaSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 10 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 21 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Ward, Treshaun rush for 20 yards to the LSU22, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding (Gibbons, Dillan) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST48, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.27

Jordan Travis run for 23 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Lawrance Toafili run for 3 yds to the LSU 26

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.68

Lawrance Toafili run for a loss of 3 yards to the LSU 29

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.14

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Armoni Goodwin for a loss of 4 yards to the LSU 25

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 5 yds to the LSU 30

3rd & 9Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Jayden Daniels sacked by Dennis Briggs Jr. and Kalen DeLoach for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 29

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 56 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for no gain to the FlaSt 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Trey Benson run for no gain to the FlaSt 15

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan Travis run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 16

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.76

Jordan Travis pass complete to Camren McDonald for 13 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Mycah Pittman run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 36

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 6 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Malik McClain

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Trey Benson run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 49

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.42

Jordan Travis pass complete to Deuce Spann for 3 yds to the LSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Travis pass complete to Deuce Spann for 3 yds to the LSU 45

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Treshaun Ward run for 5 yds to the LSU 40

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.34

Jordan Travis run for 3 yds to the LSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Treshaun Ward run for a loss of 2 yards to the LSU 39

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +6.18

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 39 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Daniels sacked by Tatum Bethune for a loss of 1 yard to the LSU 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.11

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Noah Cain run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 35

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Daniels, Jayden pass complete to Jenkins, Jaray for 9 yards to the FLORIDAST26, PENALTY LSU holding (Taylor, Kole) 10 yards to the FLORIDAST45, NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden Daniels run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 34

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.06

Jayden Daniels run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Jayden Daniels run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 19

2nd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 7 yds to the FlaSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Daniels run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 10

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.13

Josh Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 8

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

LSU Penalty, False Start (Cameron Wire) to the FlaSt 13

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

4th & 11Blocked Field Goal+30 yds

Damian Ramos 30 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jared Verse

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonald

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 9 yds to the FlaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Lawrance Toafili run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Trey Benson run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 37

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Malik Nabers returns for no gain to the LSU 16 Malik Nabers fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Wyatt Rector

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Treshaun Ward run for 2 yds to the LSU 14

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Jordan Travis pass complete to Treshaun Ward for 6 yds to the LSU 8

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the LSU 8

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.26

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 yds

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kole Taylor for 8 yds to the LSU 16

2nd & 2Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.27

Jayden Daniels run for 15 yds to the LSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.89

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 12 yards to the LSU 19

2nd & 22Pass Reception+10 yds

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 10 yds to the LSU 29

0th & 22End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 12 yds to the FlaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 6 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.28

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the LSU 49

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.36

Jordan Travis pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 10 yds to the LSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Travis, Jordan pass incomplete, PENALTY FLORIDAST ineligible downfield on pass (Turnetine, Jazston) 5 yards to the LSU44, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Jordan Travis run for no gain to the LSU 44

2nd & 15Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.23

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 24 yds to the LSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the LSU 13

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.02

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the LSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Trey Benson run for 3 yds to the LSU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonald

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Ryan Fitzgerald 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Armoni Goodwin run for no gain to the LSU 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the LSU 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jay Bramblett punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 3 yds to the FlaSt 46

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.00

Treshaun Ward run for 7 yds to the LSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Johnny Wilson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonald

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +3.07

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 14 yds to the LSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Deuce Spann

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 6 yds to the LSU 27

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +6.77

Jordan Travis pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 27 yds for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

Daniels, Jayden pass incomplete to Thomas Jr., Brian, PENALTY FLORIDAST roughing passer (Dent, Akeem) 15 yards to the LSU33, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Daniels, Jayden pass incomplete to Boutte, Kayshon, PENALTY FLORIDAST pass interference (Robinson, Jammie) 15 yards to the LSU48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LSU.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Noah Cain run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.44

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 14 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 13 yds to the FlaSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaSt 13

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.07

Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 5

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Noah Cain run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.14

Noah Cain run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +7.26

Noah Cain run for 1 yd for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the FlaSt 21

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Treshaun Ward run for 8 yds to the FlaSt 29

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Lawrance Toafili run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (Jazston Turnetine) to the FlaSt 31

1st & 15Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.18

Jordan Travis pass complete to Mycah Pittman for 25 yds to the LSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Trey Benson run for no gain to the LSU 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.29

Jordan Travis pass complete to Johnny Wilson for 15 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Deuce Spann run for 16 yds to the LSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Trey Benson run for 1 yd to the LSU 12

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.32

Jordan Travis pass complete to Markeston Douglas for 8 yds to the LSU 4

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.14

Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the LSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the LSU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +6.58

DJ Lundy run for 1 yd for a TD (Ryan Fitzgerald KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 9 yds to the LSU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Noah Cain

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Noah Cain run for 9 yds to the LSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jack Bech for 5 yds to the LSU 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Noah Cain

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.82

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 5 yds to the FlaSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Armoni Goodwin run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jayden Daniels run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 38

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.95

Armoni Goodwin run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaSt 39

4th & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.49

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 7 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 4 yds to the FlaSt 28

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Kayshon Boutte

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 6 yds to the FlaSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jayden Daniels pass incomplete to Noah Cain

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +6.89

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 22 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

LSU Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the FlaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Treshaun Ward run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 41

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Deuce Spann run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Ontaria Wilson

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alex Mastromanno punt for 47 yds , Malik Nabers returns for no gain to the LSU 8 Malik Nabers fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Brendan Gant

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Treshaun Ward run for 4 yds to the LSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Treshaun Ward run for 3 yds to the LSU 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -4.55

Treshaun Ward run for no gain to the LSU 1 Treshaun Ward fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by LSU Mekhi Wingo

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 yds

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 8

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Malik Nabers for 7 yds to the LSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Jayden Daniels run for 14 yds to the LSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.22

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Kayshon Boutte for 13 yds to the LSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the FlaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Jayden Daniels sacked by Jared Verse for a loss of 5 yards to the LSU 47

2nd & 15Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.65

Jayden Daniels run for 24 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Brian Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.29

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Mason Taylor for 17 yds to the FlaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +5.74

Jayden Daniels pass complete to Jaray Jenkins for 2 yds for a TD

Situational Analysis

LSU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
100%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Florida State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
20%
25 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
53%
17 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play