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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Kentucky by 9.3

Home Win Probability

Kentucky 71%

Market (consensus)

Kentucky -15

Edge: Miami (OH) +15 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Miami (OH)Miami (OH)
733013
KentuckyKentucky
7617737

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256700-77-710-1013-1048-2130-1337-13
KentuckyMiami (OH)

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20M(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENM(KENTD1375ydTD579ydPUNT418ydDOWNS1481ydPUNT36ydFG516ydFG745ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT37ydFG1077ydTO26ydTD28ydFG1165ydPUNT615ydPUNT31ydFG617ydPUNT727ydTD984ydDOWNS1341ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Miami (OH) and Kentucky
StatisticMiami (OH)Kentucky
Passing22-3221-32
Pass Yards179303
Rush Yards11150
Total Yards290353
Turnovers11
3rd Down3-142-8
Penalties7-454-30
Possession31:5328:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Miami (OH)
passing
Brett Gabbert
20/28, 166 YDS
rushing
Tyre Shelton
7 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mac Hippenhammer
7 REC, 85 YDS
defense
Kentucky
passing
Will Levis
21/32, 303 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kavosiey Smoke
7 CAR, 32 YDS
receiving
Tayvion Robinson
6 REC, 136 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.08

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 12 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.27

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 8 yds to the Kent 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 2 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 4 yds to the Kent 36

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the Kent 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 4 yds to the Kent 31

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.32

Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Kent 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the Kent 22

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.44

Tyre Shelton run for 22 yds for a TD, (Graham Nicholson KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Graham Nicholson kickoff for 65 yds , Barion Brown return for 21 yds to the Kent 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+45 ydsPPA +3.39

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 45 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Kavosiey Smoke run for 9 yds to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 1Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.15

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 19 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Will Levis pass complete to Brenden Bates for 6 yds for a TD, (Matt Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 13 yds to the MiaOh 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyre Shelton run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 42

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Kevin Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 5 yds to the MiaOh 43

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.49

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 18 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kavosiey Smoke run for 3 yds to the Kent 34

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.32

Kavosiey Smoke run for 7 yds to the Kent 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Kent 46

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.34

Ramon Jefferson run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ramon Jefferson run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for 11 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Barion Brown) to the MiaOh 38

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 25

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

JuTahn McClain run for no gain to the MiaOh 25

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Personal Foul (Matthew Salopek) to the MiaOh 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Levis run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 4

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.11

Will Levis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 7

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brett Gabbert run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 12

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

4th & 4Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by J.J. Weaver blocked by J.J. Weaver

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 17 yds to the MiaOh 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kavosiey Smoke run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Penalty0 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 11Field Goal Good+34 yds

Matt Ruffolo 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 28

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Brett Gabbert run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.69

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 24 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Brett Gabbert sacked by Jacquez Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 39

3rd & 14Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.92

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 9 yds to the Kent 30

4th & 5Field Goal Good+48 yds

Graham Nicholson 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Levis pass complete to Jordan Dingle for no gain to the Kent 25

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Will Levis sacked by Brian Ugwu for a loss of 10 yards to the Kent 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 38

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 4 yds to the MiaOh 42

3rd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jack Coldiron for 3 yds to the MiaOh 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the Kent 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Will Levis pass complete to DeMarcus Harris for 15 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.77

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 41 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 4 yds to the Kent 20

2nd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.63

Will Levis sacked by Caiden Woullard for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Will Levis pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 10 yds to the MiaOh 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

JuTahn McClain run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 13

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yds to the MiaOh 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Matt Ruffolo 25 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Barion Brown 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brett Gabbert run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 8 Jaylon Bester fumbled, recovered by Kent Keidron Smith

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaylon Bester run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 8 Jaylon Bester fumbled, recovered by Kent Keidron Smith

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Levis pass incomplete

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

W. Levis pass,to C. Magwood for 8 yds for a TD, (M. Ruffolo KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (John Brekke) to the MiaOh 20

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

GABBERT, Brett pass to the right incomplete intended for HIPPENHAMMER, Mac thrown to the UKY15. PENALTY UKY Pass Interference on VALENTINE, Carrington enforced 15 yards to the UKY25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.96

Tyre Shelton run for 19 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Keyon Mozee for 2 yds to the MiaOh 41

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Brett Gabbert run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 48

4th & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.62

Keyon Mozee run for 8 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the Kent 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.19

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Miles Marshall for 15 yds to the Kent 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Kenny Tracy run for 3 yds to the Kent 7

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

GABBERT, Brett pass up the middle incomplete intended for MUERSCH, Nate thrown to the UKY0. PENALTY UKY Pass Interference on VALENTINE, Carrington Before the snap, MIA Illegal Formation , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, False Start (John Brekke) to the Kent 12

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Brett Gabbert run for 2 yds to the Kent 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Graham Nicholson 27 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kavosiey Smoke run for 4 yds to the Kent 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kavosiey Smoke run for 5 yds to the Kent 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Will Levis run for 1 yd to the Kent 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

LEVIS, Will pass to the right incomplete intended for CUMMINGS, Izayah thrown to the MIA48; QB hurried by DOWELL, Michael. PENALTY MIA Holding on WARREN, Jacquez enforced 10 yards from the UKY35 to the UKY45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the Kent 48

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Will Levis pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.38

Will Levis sacked by Corey Suttle and Ryan McWood for a loss of 8 yards to the Kent 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Colin Goodfellow punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brett Gabbert pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Keyon Mozee run for no gain to the MiaOh 37

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Brett Gabbert run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38

4th & 9Punt+23 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 33 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 23 yds to the MiaOh 48

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

JuTahn McClain run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.38

Will Levis pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 13 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

JuTahn McClain run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 30

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

JuTahn McClain run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 26

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Will Levis pass incomplete

4th & 3Penalty-5 yds

KENTUCKY Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the MiaOh 31

4th & 8Field Goal Good+50 yds

Matt Ruffolo 50 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenny Tracy run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 40

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyre Shelton run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 45

3rd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Jalen Walker for 8 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.84

Brett Gabbert sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 44

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Tyre Shelton for 8 yds to the Kent 48

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

MIAMI OH Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DAVIS, Kevin ( Yards) declined

4th & 11Punt+2 yds

Dom Dzioban punt for 34 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 2 yds to the Kent 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

JuTahn McClain run for 1 yd to the Kent 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.27

Will Levis pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 13 yds to the Kent 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 3 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.29

La'Vell Wright run for 7 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the Kent 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.23

Will Levis pass complete to Barion Brown for 38 yds to the MiaOh 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.60

Will Levis pass complete to Dane Key for 16 yds to the MiaOh 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Penalty+4 yds

LEVIS, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for KEY, Dane thrown to the MIA0. PENALTY MIA Pass Interference on SAUNDERS JR., John enforced at the spot of the foul for 4 yards to the MIA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

LEVIS, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for DINGLE, Justice thrown to the MIA0. PENALTY Before the snap, UKY Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the MIA2 to the MIA7. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Will Levis pass complete to Kavosiey Smoke for 6 yds to the MiaOh 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dane Key 1 Yd pass from Will Levis (Matt Ruffolo Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Keyon Mozee run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Nate Muersch for 7 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Keyon Mozee run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37

2nd & 9Penalty-4 yds

GABBERT, Brett pass to the left complete for 12 yards to MUERSCH, Nate caught at the MIA49 and advanced to the MIA49 (VALENTINE, Carrington). PENALTY MIA Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 4 yards from the MIA37 to the MIA33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 13Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Keyon Mozee run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.12

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Nate Muersch for 6 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyre Shelton run for no gain to the MiaOh 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Brett Gabbert pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 8 yds to the Kent 46

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Aveon Smith pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Aveon Smith pass complete to Mac Hippenhammer for 9 yds to the Kent 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aveon Smith run for 4 yds to the Kent 33

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Aveon Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.04

Aveon Smith sacked by Alex Afari Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Kent 38

4th & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.03

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 4 yds to the Kent 34

4th & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -1.03

Aveon Smith pass complete to Jalen Walker for 4 yds to the Kent 34

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Miami (OH)

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
10 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays

Kentucky

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
29%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
64%
14 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play