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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2022Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Alabama by 20

Home Win Probability

Alabama 89%

Market (consensus)

Alabama -42

Edge: Utah State +42 (22.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Utah StateUtah State
00000
AlabamaAlabama
172414055

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-010-024-031-034-041-055-0
AlabamaUtah State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAUSALAPUNT425ydFG744ydPUNT31ydTD760ydDOWNS49ydTD334ydPUNT36ydTD1182ydPUNT30ydTD477ydPUNT617ydFG1151ydPUNT3-5ydTD562ydEND10ydTD365ydPUNT3-1ydTD444ydPUNT30ydTO518ydPUNT625ydPUNT39ydPUNT1239ydPUNT528ydDOWNS815ydEND630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Utah State and Alabama
StatisticUtah StateAlabama
Passing8-2227-40
Pass Yards57281
Rush Yards79278
Total Yards136559
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-176-10
Penalties11-1106-40
Possession28:0931:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Utah State
passing
Logan Bonner
3/9, 39 YDS
rushing
Robert Briggs
10 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Brian Cobbs
2 REC, 33 YDS
defense
Alabama
passing
Bryce Young
18/28, 195 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Bryce Young
5 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Traeshon Holden
5 REC, 70 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 23 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.60

Logan Bonner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 46 Logan Bonner fumbled, recovered by UthSt Calvin Tyler Jr.

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 47

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 29

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the Alab 32

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.43

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 5 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.75

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 14 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.20

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 37

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Bryce Young pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the UthSt 32

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UthSt 27

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

4th & 3Field Goal Good+45 yds

Will Reichard 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Kyle Van Leeuwen

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 9 yds to the Alab 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Alab 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.20

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 12 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.84

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 17 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +0.79

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 25 yds to the UthSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Jase McClellan run for 1 yd to the UthSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to NyNy Davis

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 6 yds to the UthSt 34

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Justin McGriff

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Burton, Jermaine, PENALTY UTAHST pass interference 15 yards to the UTAHST19, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 10 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the UthSt 9

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 9 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Pailate Makakona run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Logan Bonner pass complete to Brian Cobbs for 10 yds to the UthSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 16 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.50

Bryce Young pass complete to Kobe Prentice for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 9 yds to the UthSt 41

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Robbie Ouzts

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.91

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Jase McClellan run for 10 yds to the UthSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jase McClellan run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 27

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

3rd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Bryce Young run for 18 yds to the UthSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Bryce Young pass complete to Roydell Williams for 7 yds to the UthSt 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Bryce Young pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 2 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Logan Bonner pass incomplete to Brian Cobbs

3rd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.16

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 23

1st & 10Rush+63 ydsPPA +3.66

Bryce Young run for 63 yds to the UthSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Kobe Prentice

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.20

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 14 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Cooper Legas pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cooper Legas pass complete to Kyle Van Leeuwen for 3 yds to the UthSt 26

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.83

Cooper Legas run for 9 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 7 yds to the UthSt 42

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.26

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Xavier Williams

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Alab 34

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Roydell Williams run for no gain to the Alab 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.23

Bryce Young pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 13 yds to the Alab 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.85

Roydell Williams run for 12 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Roydell Williams run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Jermaine Burton

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the UthSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Jase McClellan run for 3 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Young, Bryce pass complete to Williams, Roydell for 5 yards to the UTAHST25, PENALTY UTAHST holding 10 yards to the UTAHST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Bryce Young pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 13 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 8

3rd & 8Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.33

Bryce Young sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 15

4th & 15Field Goal Good+33 yds

Will Reichard 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 23

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 18

3rd & 17Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Cooper Legas pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 2 yds to the UthSt 20

4th & 15Punt+9 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 51 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 9 yds to the Alab 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Ja'Corey Brooks

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Bryce Young pass complete to Traeshon Holden for 17 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Young, Bryce pass incomplete to Law, Kendrick, PENALTY UTAHST personal foul 15 yards to the UTAHST30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN ALABAMA.

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.49

Bryce Young run for 22 yds to the UthSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryce Young pass incomplete to Traeshon Holden

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Bryce Young pass complete to Jase McClellan for 8 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 25

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 48 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks return for 18 yds to the Alab 35

1st & 10Rush+58 ydsPPA +3.05

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 58 yds to the UthSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the UthSt 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Bryce Young run for 4 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cooper Legas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Justin McGriff

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for no gain to the UthSt 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.51

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 11 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Jase McClellan run for 11 yds to the UthSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jermaine Burton for 5 yds to the UthSt 17

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Jase McClellan for 17 yds for a TD, (Will Reichard KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Levi Williams run for 1 yd to the UthSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Levi Williams pass incomplete to NyNy Davis

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 25

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 60 yds , Kool-Aid McKinstry returns for 2 yds to the Alab 17

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 12

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen Milroe pass incomplete to Isaiah Bond

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Christian Leary for 6 yds to the Alab 18

3rd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.35

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Trey Sanders for 10 yds to the Alab 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Jalen Milroe run for 7 yds to the Alab 35

2nd & 3Pass Interception Return+28 ydsPPA -1.79

Jalen Milroe pass intercepted Ike Larsen return for 18 yds to the ALABAMA 47 UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the UthSt 32

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

NyNy Davis run for 6 yds to the UthSt 38

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Robert Briggs run for no gain to the UthSt 38

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.66

Terrell Vaughn run for 10 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the Alab 48

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the Alab 44

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Robert Briggs run for 1 yd to the Alab 43

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds, downed at the Alab 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trey Sanders run for 5 yds to the Alab 13

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Alab 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Miles Kitselman for 5 yds to the Alab 13

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 4 yds to the Alab 17

4th & 1Punt+61 yds

James Burnip punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Cooper Jones at the ALABAMA 32 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UthSt 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 25

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Pailate Makakona run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Levi Williams pass complete to Terrell Vaughn for 6 yds to the UthSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Pailate Makakona run for 7 yds to the UthSt 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Levi Williams pass complete to NyNy Davis for 9 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Pailate Makakona run for 7 yds to the Alab 45

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Levi Williams run for 2 yds to the Alab 43

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Levi Williams pass incomplete to NyNy Davis

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.31

Levi Williams run for 9 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Pailate Makakona run for no gain to the Alab 34

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Alab 29

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Levi Williams pass incomplete to Xavier Williams

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -2.86

Levi Williams run for a loss of 10 yards to the Alab 39 Levi Williams fumbled, recovered by UthSt NyNy Davis

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Kool-Aid McKinstry at the Alab 13

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen Milroe run for 3 yds to the Alab 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.53

Jalen Milroe pass complete to Kendrick Law for 18 yds to the Alab 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamarion Miller run for 5 yds to the Alab 39

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 41

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Ty Simpson pass incomplete to Kendrick Law

4th & 3Blocked Punt+10 yds

James Burnip punt blocked by Ike Larsen blocked by Ike Larsen

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Robert Briggs run for 3 yds to the Alab 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Robert Briggs run for 6 yds to the Alab 22

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Jalen Royals

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Robert Briggs run for 2 yds to the Alab 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to Jalen Royals

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Robert Briggs run for no gain to the Alab 20

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Robert Briggs run for 4 yds to the Alab 16

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.44

Cooper Legas pass incomplete to NyNy Davis

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.72

Jamarion Miller run for 23 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.13

Jamarion Miller run for 2 yds to the Alab 41 ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 31

1st & 18Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ty Simpson pass complete to Isaiah Bond for 10 yds to the Alab 41 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Alab 31

1st & 18Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.67

Jamarion Miller run for 4 yds to the Alab 35 for a 1ST down UTAH ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.58

Jamarion Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 48

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Jamarion Miller run for a loss of 2 yards to the Alab 46

Situational Analysis

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
25%
20 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play

Alabama

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
36 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
80%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th