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← Back to GamesDec 30, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 1.9

Home Win Probability

South Carolina 40%

Market (consensus)

South Carolina +12.5

Edge: South Carolina +12.5 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
0138021
South CarolinaSouth Carolina
1877638

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284215-018-018-718-1025-1032-1332-2135-2138-21
South CarolinaNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCSCNCSCNCSCNCSCNCPUNT521ydTD393ydPUNT39ydTD378ydPUNT36ydFG954ydTD675ydPUNT65ydFG850ydTD675ydFG856ydEND12ydTD975ydTD675ydPUNT1123ydPUNT46ydFG1177ydPUNT66ydFG1061ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and South Carolina
StatisticNorth CarolinaSouth Carolina
Passing12-2112-15
Pass Yards205242
Rush Yards128301
Total Yards333543
Turnovers00
3rd Down1-106-11
Penalties4-374-20
Possession20:5839:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
12/20, 205 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
British Brooks
5 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Antoine Green
4 REC, 73 YDS
defense
South Carolina
passing
Dakereon Joyner
9/9, 160 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kevin Harris
31 CAR, 182 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaheim Bell
5 REC, 159 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 14 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Ty Chandler run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ty Chandler run for 1 yd to the SCaro 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the SCaro 44

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.39

Sam Howell sacked by Jabari Ellis for a loss of 10 yards to the NCaro 46

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 47 yds, downed at the SCaro 7

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaheim Bell run for 20 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Kevin Harris run for 9 yds to the SCaro 36

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jaylen Nichols) to the SCaro 31

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +6.06

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 69 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Hank Manos) to the NCaro 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Ty Chandler

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 9 yds to the NCaro 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds, downed at the SCaro 22

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Juju McDowell run for 11 yds to the SCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Dakereon Joyner run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.22

Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 66 yds for a TD, (Kai Kroeger pass to Nick Muse for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.66

British Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 17

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

British Brooks run for 6 yds to the NCaro 23

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 25

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 34

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Dakereon Joyner run for 8 yds to the SCaro 42

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the NCaro 40

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Kevin Harris run for 6 yds to the NCaro 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.36

Dakereon Joyner run for 17 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.77

Jaheim Bell run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 22

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 18

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Jaheim Bell run for 6 yds to the NCaro 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Parker White 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

British Brooks run for 2 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 34 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NCaro Sam Howell

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.75

Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +6.12

British Brooks run for 63 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 1 yd to the SCaro 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.70

Zeb Noland pass complete to Xavier Legette for 7 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 39

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.86

Zeb Noland sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 9 yards to the SCaro 30

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 43 yds, downed at the NCaro 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Ty Chandler run for 3 yds to the NCaro 30

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.24

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 34 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Sam Howell run for no gain to the SCaro 36

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.19

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 23 yds to the SCaro 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the SCaro 13

2nd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.74

Sam Howell sacked by Zacch Pickens and Jordan Strachan for a loss of 10 yards to the SCaro 23

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs

4th & 20Field Goal Good+40 yds

Grayson Atkins 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Juju McDowell for 8 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.53

Kevin Harris run for 17 yds to the NCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the NCaro 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.46

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 11 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Juju McDowell run for 35 yds for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (2 Yards) to the NCaro 1

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Sam Howell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 15 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Sam Howell run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Sam Howell pass complete to Bryson Nesbit for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.18

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 27 yds to the SCaro 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 1 yd to the SCaro 22

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Sam Howell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 14

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the SCaro 14

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Jordan Tucker) to the SCaro 19

4th & 6Field Goal Good+36 yds

Grayson Atkins 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Juju McDowell run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the SCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the SCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to E.J. Jenkins for 7 yds to the SCaro 43

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.25

Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.42

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 26 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.88

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 23 yds to the NCaro 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker White KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Howell run for 7 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 7 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.77

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 21 yds to the SCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Sam Howell pass complete to Stephen Gosnell for 3 yds to the SCaro 37

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.46

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 37 yds for a TD, (T. Chandler Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kevin Harris run for 8 yds to the SCaro 33

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the SCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the SCaro 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 3 yds to the SCaro 43

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Kevin Harris run for 5 yds to the SCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Kevin Harris run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.52

Zeb Noland pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 9 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.78

O'Mega Blake sacked by Cedric Gray for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 19Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 45

2nd & 24Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Dakereon Joyner run for 8 yds to the NCaro 47

4th & 16Penalty-5 yds

SOUTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SCaro 48

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to E.J. Jenkins

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Kai Kroeger punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 12

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Sam Howell run for 14 yds to the NCaro 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ty Chandler run for no gain to the NCaro 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Kamari Morales

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.27

Sam Howell sacked by Jordan Strachan for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 18

4th & 18Punt-2 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 61 yds , Josh Vann returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SCaro 19

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Kevin Harris run for 7 yds to the SCaro 26

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.24

Dakereon Joyner run for 4 yds to the SCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Dakereon Joyner pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 12 yds to the SCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+38 ydsPPA +1.94

Kevin Harris run for 38 yds to the NCaro 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 18

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Dakereon Joyner run for 3 yds to the NCaro 15

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Dakereon Joyner run for 6 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the NCaro 8

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Zeb Noland pass incomplete to Xavier Legette

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Parker White 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ty Chandler run for 5 yds to the NCaro 34

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

British Brooks run for 3 yds to the NCaro 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.85

Sam Howell sacked by Damani Staley for a loss of 6 yards to the NCaro 31

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Justin Olson

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 24

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.05

Kevin Harris run for 23 yds to the SCaro 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kevin Harris run for no gain to the SCaro 47

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kevin Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.49

Dakereon Joyner run for 11 yds to the NCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 40

2nd & 11Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.61

Kevin Harris run for 11 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Chris Collins) to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.60

Juju McDowell run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 18

2nd & 14Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.64

Kevin Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 19

3rd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Harris run for 4 yds to the NCaro 15

4th & 11Field Goal Good+33 yds

Parker White 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Drake Maye pass incomplete to British Brooks

2nd & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -0.58

Drake Maye run for 5 yds to the NCaro 30 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (J.J. Jones) to the NCaro 15

3rd & 20Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Drake Maye run for 19 yds to the NCaro 34

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
27%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
64%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

South Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
53%
32 plays
2nd
86%
7 plays
100%
1 play
30%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th