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← Back to GamesDec 25, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Georgia State by 4.7

Home Win Probability

Ball State 36%

Market (consensus)

Ball State +6

Edge: Ball State +6 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 25, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
14628351
Ball StateBall State
760720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-77-147-1710-1713-2013-2713-3413-4820-51
Ball StateGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BSGSBSGSBSBSGSBSGSBSGSBSGSGSBSGSBSGSBSBSGSBSGSPUNT831ydPUNT36ydTD261ydTD1075ydTD612ydDOWNS49ydFG724ydPUNT421ydPUNT35ydFG730ydFG865ydFG1353ydEND16ydTD875ydPUNT33ydTD768ydMISS846ydTD571ydTD5-5ydDOWNS944ydFG838ydTD1575ydUncategorized526yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Ball State
StatisticGeorgia StateBall State
Passing17-2127-46
Pass Yards205293
Rush Yards25974
Total Yards464367
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-118-18
Penalties7-853-32
Possession26:4633:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
15/19, 203 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Darren Grainger
11 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Aubry Payne
8 REC, 109 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Ball State
passing
Drew Plitt
27/46, 293 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Carson Steele
15 CAR, 62 YDS
receiving
Jayshon Jackson
12 REC, 146 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.24

Drew Plitt sacked by Jacob Freeman for a loss of 11 yards to the BalSt 14

2nd & 21Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.11

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 17 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 9 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.00

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Carson Steele run for no gain to the GeoSt 44

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 40 yds, downed at the GeoSt 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.22

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 10

4th & 4Punt-3 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 48 yds , Jayshon Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the BalSt 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 44

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.74

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 56 yds for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 29

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 19 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.13

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for no gain to the BalSt 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.73

Darren Grainger pass complete to Cornelius McCoy for 19 yds to the BalSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Cornelius McCoy run for 1 yd to the BalSt 29

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the BalSt 23

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the BalSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 18 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 4 yds to the BalSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 14 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Will Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 42

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jayshon Jackson run for 6 yds to the BalSt 48

3rd & 5Sack+37 ydsPPA +2.99

Drew Plitt sacked by Jamil Muhammad for a loss of 11 yards Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by Denis,Javon, return for 37 yds for a TD. (Noel Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Carson Steele run for 7 yds to the BalSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carson Steele run for no gain to the BalSt 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 24 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Jamyest Williams run for 9 yds to the BalSt 16

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 10

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the BalSt 10

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+27 yds

Noel Ruiz 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 5 yds to the BalSt 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Darren Grainger pass complete to Jamari Thrash for 5 yds to the GeoSt 20

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 27 yds, downed at the GeoSt 47

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Carson Steele run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.01

Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 25 yds to the GeoSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jacob Lewis 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Darren Grainger run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 12Rush+48 ydsPPA +3.51

Darren Grainger run for 48 yds to the BalSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 12

2nd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.32

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 9 yds to the BalSt 3

3rd & 2Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Tucker Gregg run for a loss of 7 yards to the BalSt 10

4th & 9Field Goal Good+28 yds

Noel Ruiz 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Rico Barfield run for 3 yds to the BalSt 24

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Carson Steele run for 1 yd to the BalSt 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 7 yds to the BalSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Jones run for 3 yds to the BalSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 6 yds to the BalSt 41

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Will Jones run for 2 yds to the BalSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.17

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 15 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Carson Steele run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.92

Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for 16 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayshon Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

4th & 13Field Goal Good+43 yds

Jacob Lewis 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.69

Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the BalSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the BalSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the BalSt 33

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Darren Grainger run for 6 yds to the BalSt 27

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.60

Jamyest Williams run for 17 yds to the BalSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 10 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 22 yds to the BalSt 24

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.67

Drew Plitt run for no gain to the BalSt 24

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 3 yds to the BalSt 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Nathan Snyder punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Terrance Dixon at the GeoSt 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Darren Grainger run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46

2nd & 6Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.54

Tucker Gregg run for 14 yds to the BalSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the BalSt 39

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 44

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Darren Grainger pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 10 yds to the BalSt 34

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.77

Darren Grainger run for 34 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

3rd & 4Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 70 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Carson Steele run for 9 yds to the BalSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.03

Carson Steele run for 5 yds to the BalSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Jayshon Jackson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 45

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Drew Plitt pass complete to Carson Steele for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Drew Plitt pass complete to Will Jones for 2 yds to the GeoSt 29

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Jacob Lewis 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 37

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.04

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 3 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.14

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 40 yds to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the BalSt 16

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.64

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 16 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

2nd & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 25 yds to the BalSt 25

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (-12 Yards) to the BalSt 13

1st & 22Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Carson Steele run for 15 yds to the BalSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 8 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-16 ydsPPA -2.18

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down BALL ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BalSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Yo'Heinz Tyler

2nd & 10Interception Return Touchdown+55 ydsPPA -7.06

Drew Plitt pass intercepted for a TD Antavious Lane return for 55 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 63 yds , Amechi Uzodinma II return for 19 yds to the BalSt 21 Amechi Uzodinma II fumbled, recovered by BalSt Ben Egenolf

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BALL ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the BalSt 16

1st & 15Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Rico Barfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 15

2nd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.09

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 7 yds to the BalSt 22

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.10

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 15 yds to the BalSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 8 yds to the BalSt 45

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Drew Plitt pass complete to Hassan Littles for 11 yds to the GeoSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Carson Steele run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA -1.00

Drew Plitt run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 35

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Marcus Carroll run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamari Thrash run for 5 yds to the BalSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.29

Darren Grainger pass complete to Robert Lewis for 20 yds to the BalSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the BalSt 26

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Darren Grainger run for a loss of 1 yard to the BalSt 27

4th & 8Field Goal Good+45 yds

Noel Ruiz 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Rico Barfield run for 10 yds to the BalSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 7 yds to the BalSt 42

2nd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.23

Drew Plitt sacked by Chris Davis Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the BalSt 36 Drew Plitt fumbled, recovered by BalSt

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the GeoSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 2 yds to the GeoSt 47

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Drew Plitt run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.24

Drew Plitt pass complete to Trevor Hohlt for 5 yds to the GeoSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Drew Plitt pass incomplete to Trevor Hohlt

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Drew Plitt pass complete to Yo'Heinz Tyler for 12 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Donny Marcus run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Drew Plitt pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.17

Drew Plitt pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 17 yds to the GeoSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Drew Plitt sacked by Tre Moore for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSt 9

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Jayshon Jackson run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Drew Plitt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Chanove KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for 3 yds to the GeoSt 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.11

Mikele Colasurdo pass complete to Donavon Grier for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 40

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.72

Antoine Lane run for 11 yds to the BalSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Antoine Lane run for 6 yds to the BalSt 43

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Antoine Lane run for 7 yds to the BalSt 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
28 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
78%
9 plays
29%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Ball State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
35%
17 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays