Skip to main content
← Back to GamesDec 4, 2021Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 6.2

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 65%

Market (consensus)

Louisiana +2.5

Edge: Louisiana +2.5 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
073616
LouisianaLouisiana
7100724

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-717-1024-1024-16
LouisianaApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUASLOUTD975ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT3-14ydPUNT621ydPUNT57ydPUNT37ydTD792ydPUNT518ydPUNT612ydTD675ydPUNT35ydPUNT48ydEND538ydFG1557ydDOWNS1261ydPUNT30ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT35ydTD772ydPUNT412ydPUNT36ydTD1283ydDOWNS1040ydTO19ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Louisiana
StatisticApp StateLouisiana
Passing12-3015-32
Pass Yards119210
Rush Yards171188
Total Yards290398
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-156-15
Penalties7-476-55
Possession27:2332:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Chase Brice
12/30, 119 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Camerun Peoples
8 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
6 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Kaiden Smith
0.5 TFL, 1 PD
Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
15/30, 210 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Emani Bailey
14 CAR, 117 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Peter Leblanc
4 REC, 67 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.88

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the AppSt 30

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

Chris Smith run for no gain to the AppSt 30

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.66

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 10 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Smith, Chris rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE19, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE holding (Vallot, Shane) 10 yards to the APP STATE30, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 17Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.77

Michael Jefferson 27 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Brice, Chase pass complete to Sutton, Corey for 40 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE33, PENALTY APP STATE ineligible downfield on pass (Hardy, Anderson) 5 yards to the APP STATE22, NO PLAY.

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the AppSt 17

2nd & 13Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.25

Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the AppSt 8

3rd & 22Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 45

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

3rd & 12Sack-12 ydsPPA -0.74

Levi Lewis sacked by D'Marco Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 31

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the AppSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.64

Chase Brice sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 46

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalen Virgil

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 12

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 16Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.08

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 26

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 21

3rd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.10

Levi Lewis sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 46 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the AppSt 35

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 42

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Levi Lewis pass complete to Pearse Migl for 14 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 8 yds to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.00

Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jacob Bernard

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Emani Bailey run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +4.37

Levi Lewis 56 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

3rd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 43

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 19

3rd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 14 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 25

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 31

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.95

Chase Brice run for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.31

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.29

Camerun Peoples 43 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 26

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 55 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 19

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Chase Brice run for 11 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 3Penalty-10 yds

Brice, Chase rush for 15 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE48, PENALTY APP STATE holding 10 yards to the APP STATE27, NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 27

3rd & 13Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 27

4th & 13Punt+10 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 46

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.66

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 30 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 3 yds to the AppSt 21

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the AppSt 16

3rd & 2Field Goal Good+33 yds

Nate Snyder 33 Yd Field Goal

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Noel, Nate rush for 1 yard to the APP STATE25, PENALTY APP STATE personal foul 12 yards to the APP STATE12, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.39

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 12 yds to the AppSt 24 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.33

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.33

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brice run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 46

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.12

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Corey Sutton

4th & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.37

Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.67

Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 19

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaLaf 19

4th & 1Field Goal Good+36 yds

Chandler Staton 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Hunter Bergeron

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Emani Bailey run for 15 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Emani Bailey run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Emani Bailey run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.73

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.35

Emani Bailey run for 13 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 2 yds to the AppSt 21

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 20

4th & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.55

Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian Wells

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Daetrich Harrington

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42

2nd & 9Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.46

Levi Lewis sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 36

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 22

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt-2 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 25

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.55

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 16 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.65

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 23 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35

3rd & 9Rushing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +4.46

Emani Bailey 35 Yd Run (Nate Snyder Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Brice pass complete to Mike Evans for 3 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 23

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Montrell Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 19

2nd & 14Penalty+5 yds

Lewis, Levi pass incomplete to Stephens Jr., John, PENALTY APP STATE offside 5 yards to the ULLAFAYTTE24, NO PLAY.

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Levi Lewis run for no gain to the LaLaf 29

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 54 yds, downed at the AppSt 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Daetrich Harrington run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.75

Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Chase Brice run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Daetrich Harrington

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun Davis

3rd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.97

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 14 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Chase Brice run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for no gain to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Malik Williams

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Chase Brice pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan

4th & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +4.55

Thomas Hennigan 24 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.81

Levi Lewis pass complete to Emani Bailey for 13 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Emani Bailey run for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Emani Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 47

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.34

Emani Bailey run for 8 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 37

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Emani Bailey run for 2 yds to the AppSt 35

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Errol Rogers Jr.

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Brice, Chase pass incomplete, PENALTY ULLAFAYTTE unsportsmanlike conduct 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Chase Brice sacked by Chauncey Manac for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 44 Chase Brice fumbled, forced by Chauncey Manac, recovered by LaLaf Chauncey Manac , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 45

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
20%
10 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
18 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
67%
6 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play