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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Utah State by 16

Home Win Probability

New Mexico 16%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico +17

Edge: New Mexico +17 (1.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Utah StateUtah State
7217035
New MexicoNew Mexico
003710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-210-283-3510-35
New MexicoUtah State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSNMUSUSNMUSNMUSPUNT3-13ydPUNT32ydPUNT38ydTD466ydDOWNS733ydPUNT38ydPUNT519ydTD480ydPUNT419ydTD886ydPUNT3-1ydTD380ydDOWNS1125ydPUNT3-1ydEND1-7ydPUNT39ydPUNT920ydTD866ydFG1051ydPUNT5-3ydMISS614ydPUNT519ydPUNT30ydTD748ydEND748yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Utah State and New Mexico
StatisticUtah StateNew Mexico
Passing18-2512-19
Pass Yards32485
Rush Yards116101
Total Yards440186
Turnovers02
3rd Down4-135-15
Penalties7-707-67
Possession24:4135:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Utah State
passing
Logan Bonner
16/23, 312 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Calvin Tyler Jr.
10 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Derek Wright
4 REC, 150 YDS, 2 TD
defense
New Mexico
passing
Bryson Carroll
8/10, 57 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Peyton Dixon
23 CAR, 95 YDS
receiving
Trace Bruckler
3 REC, 23 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 62 yds , Donte Martin return for 28 yds to the NMex 31

1st & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -1.60

Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 22

2nd & 19Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Trace Bruckler for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 21

3rd & 20Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.06

Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 18

4th & 23Punt-2 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 45 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 40 yds , returns for no gain to the NMex 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Peyton Dixon run for 2 yds to the NMex 21

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 19

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.17

Connor Genal pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 8 yds to the NMex 27

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 34

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.89

Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 32 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the NMex 27

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.89

Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 27 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the UthSt 48

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UthSt 43

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UthSt 35

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.44

Peyton Dixon run for 8 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Peyton Dixon run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Peyton Dixon run for 5 yds to the UthSt 21

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the UthSt 18

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.74

Peyton Dixon run for no gain to the UthSt 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Deven Thompkins run for 2 yds to the UthSt 20

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 5 yds to the UthSt 26

4th & 2Punt+50 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 50 yds , Andrew Erickson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 23

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Bobby Wooden run for 6 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Peyton Dixon run for 7 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Bobby Wooden run for 1 yd to the NMex 37

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.98

Austin Erickson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 34

3rd & 12Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

Connor Genal run for 8 yds to the NMex 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 14 yds to the UthSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 9 yds to the UthSt 43

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joey Noble) to the NMex 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Logan Bonner pass complete to Jordan Nathan for 39 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)

0th & 0Penalty0 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) to the NMex 1

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Elliott Nimrod kickoff for 65 yds , Michael Buckley return for 32 yds to the NMex 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 12 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Bryson Carroll run for 4 yds to the NMex 48

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Peyton Dixon run for no gain to the NMex 48

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Bobby Wooden run for 3 yds to the UthSt 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 14

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.56

Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 11

2nd & 13Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Bryce Santana) to the UthSt 16

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 6 yds to the UthSt 22

3rd & 2Penalty0 yds

NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides Pass Interference on ODUMS, A.J. enforced ( Yards) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 4 yds to the UthSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Logan Bonner run for 4 yds to the UthSt 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.76

Logan Bonner pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 8 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Elelyon Noa run for 11 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 36 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 24

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the NMex 24

3rd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.13

Peyton Dixon run for no gain to the NMex 24

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 56 yds, downed at the UthSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Logan Bonner pass complete to Calvin Tyler Jr. for 2 yds to the UthSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 2 yds to the UthSt 24

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+76 ydsPPA +6.99

Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 76 yds for a TD, (Connor Coles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryson Carroll pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.54

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Bobby Wooden for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 21

3rd & 15Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Peyton Dixon run for 16 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

DIXON, Peyton rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the UNM44 (RICE, Justin). PENALTY USU Offsides on GILLIAM, Cash enforced 5 yards from the UNM37 to the UNM42 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.59

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 15 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -2.05

Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 48 fumbled, recovered by NMex Bryson Carroll

2nd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.17

Peyton Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line

3rd & 17Penalty+15 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Byron Vaughns) to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Genal pass complete to Austin Erickson for 5 yds to the UthSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bobby Wooden run for 4 yds to the UthSt 26

4th & 1Rush-23 ydsPPA -3.28

Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 23 yards to the UthSt 49

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BOWLING, Brandon broken up by PEEK, Patrick at the UNM10. PENALTY UNM Offsides on HARRIS, Justin enforced 5 yards from the USU49 to the UNM46 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.97

Logan Bonner sacked by Joey Noble for 0 yards to the UthSt 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.40

Logan Bonner pass complete to John Gentry for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DIXON, Peyton rush to the right for a gain of 15 yards to the UNM35 (REYNOLDS, Hunter), out of bounds. PENALTY UNM Holding on STAPLEY, Kyle enforced 10 yards from the UNM20 to the UNM10 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the NMex 13

0th & 20End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+28 yds

George Steinkamp kickoff for 65 yds , Savon Scarver return for 28 yds to the UthSt 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 3 yds to the UthSt 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 6 yds to the UthSt 37

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Andrew Erickson at the NMex 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Peyton Dixon run for 4 yds to the NMex 19

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Bryson Carroll run for 2 yds to the NMex 21

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.87

Connor Genal run for 4 yds to the NMex 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Connor Genal pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 6 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.26

Bryson Carroll run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 27 fumbled, recovered by NMex Kyle Stapley

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Connor Genal pass complete to Trace Bruckler for 9 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Peyton Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Genal pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 34

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.99

Logan Bonner sacked by Jaden Phillips for 0 yards to the UthSt 31

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 4 yds to the UthSt 35

3rd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.96

Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for 8 yds to the NMex 42

2nd & 2Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +0.58

Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 33 yds to the NMex 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Calvin Tyler Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 10

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Justin McGriff 10 Yd pass from Logan Bonner (Connor Coles Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryson Carroll run for 6 yds to the NMex 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 3 yds to the NMex 34

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.44

Peyton Dixon run for 7 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Bobby Wooden run for 5 yds to the NMex 46

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Bryson Carroll run for 9 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.63

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Austin Erickson for 14 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Peyton Dixon run for 4 yds to the UthSt 27

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Peyton Dixon run for 3 yds to the UthSt 24

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Bryson Carroll run for no gain to the UthSt 24

4th & 3Field Goal Good+41 yds

Andrew Shelley 41 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 30

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.84

Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.97

run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 31 fumbled, recovered by UthSt Logan Bonner

3rd & 15Penalty-15 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Personal Foul on ALI'IFUA, Demytrick enforced (-15 Yards) to the UthSt 22

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 35 yds , Andrew Erickson returns for no gain to the NMex 43

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the NMex 37

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Andrew Peasley run for 8 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.53

Andrew Peasley sacked by Joey Noble for 0 yards to the NMex 38

2nd & 19Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Andrew Peasley pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 6 yds to the NMex 32

3rd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the NMex 29

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Connor Coles 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Bryson Carroll pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.56

Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 49

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Bobby Wooden run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Aaron Rodriguez punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Nathan at the UthSt 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

John Gentry run for 4 yds to the UthSt 25

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

John Gentry run for 4 yds to the UthSt 29

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

GENTRY, John rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the USU39 (REED II, Jerrick). PENALTY USU Holding on BUCHANAN, Parker enforced 10 yards from the USU29 to the USU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UthSt 21

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 39 yds , Andrew Erickson returns for 12 yds to the UthSt 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Bryson Carroll pass complete to Blake Wells for 7 yds to the UthSt 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Peyton Dixon run for 2 yds to the UthSt 39

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.67

Peyton Dixon run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Peyton Dixon run for 2 yds to the UthSt 35

2nd & 8Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.92

Peyton Dixon run for 23 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Bobby Wooden run for no gain to the UthSt 12

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Kyle Jarvis 12 Yd pass from Bryson Carroll (Andrew Shelley Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

John Gentry run for 6 yds to the UthSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.84

Andrew Peasley run for 36 yds to the NMex 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

John Gentry run for 4 yds to the NMex 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

John Gentry run for 4 yds to the NMex 25

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.52

Cooper Legas run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 29

4th & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.89

John Gentry run for 6 yds to the NMex 23 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
23 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

New Mexico

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
28%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
57%
7 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
4th
0%
2 plays