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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2021Week 13
UNLVUNLV
14
-Final
48
Air ForceAir Force
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 28.9

Home Win Probability

Air Force 96%

Market (consensus)

Air Force -18.5

Edge: Air Force -18.5 (10.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UNLVUNLV
007714
Air ForceAir Force
141017748

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-014-017-031-041-748-748-14
Air ForceUNLV

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFUNLAFTD314ydTO817ydTD946ydDOWNS1457ydFG1062ydPUNT55ydPUNT518ydPUNT34ydTD141ydEND214ydTD875ydPUNT36ydTD368ydTD375ydFG952ydPUNT3-9ydTD1463ydTD275ydEND957yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing UNLV and Air Force
StatisticUNLVAir Force
Passing8-180-0
Pass Yards1270
Rush Yards87511
Total Yards214511
Turnovers20
3rd Down2-85-10
Penalties1-105-55
Possession19:0340:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

UNLV
passing
Justin Rogers
8/18, 127 YDS
rushing
Charles Williams
16 CAR, 137 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zyell Griffin
1 REC, 55 YDS
defense
Air Force
rushing
Emmanuel Michel
12 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Milton Bugg III
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 64 yds , Nohl Williams return for 13 yds to the UNLV 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the UNLV 11

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.71

Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 4 yds to the UNLV 33

4th & 2Penalty+5 yds

Silva,Evan punt 38 yards to the AF 29 fair catch by Spiewak,Jake at AF 29 PENALTY AF Illegal Substitution (Spiewak,Jake) 5 yards from NLV33 to NLV38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.

2nd & 10Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.12

Justin Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 4 yds to the UNLV 42 UNLV Penalty, Illegal Block (Walker Hardan) to the UNLV 32

2nd & 16Penalty+15 yds

Hill,Phillip pass incomplete to Jenkins,Steve PENALTY AF Pass Interference (Taylor,Trey) 15 yards from NLV32 to NLV47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -3.25

Justin Rogers sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 16 yards to the UNLV 46 Justin Rogers fumbled, recovered by AFA Alec Mock , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the UNLV 37

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.20

Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Warren Bryan run for 8 yds to the UNLV 20

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.29

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UNLV 11

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Warren Bryan run for 5 yds to the UNLV 6

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Warren Bryan run for 3 yds to the UNLV 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Warren Bryan run for no gain to the UNLV 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.13

Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 7 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 37

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.46

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 9 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Williams,Charles rush for 4 yards gain to the NLV50 (Jackson,Jordan; Bugg III,Tre) PENALTY AF Offside 5 yards from NLV46 to AF 49. NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Chad Magyar run for 2 yds to the UNLV 49

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.58

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 12 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Courtney Reese run for 3 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 13Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.03

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 28 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the AFA 11

2nd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Rogers sacked by Camby Goff for a loss of 7 yards to the AFA 18

3rd & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Justin Rogers run for 7 yds to the AFA 11

4th & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.68

Evan Silva run for 7 yds to the AFA 18

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.71

Brandon Lewis run for 11 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Zachary Larrier run for 15 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.28

Zachary Larrier run for 18 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the UNLV 37

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zachary Larrier run for 4 yds to the UNLV 33

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the UNLV 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Zachary Larrier run for 2 yds to the UNLV 24

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

John Lee Eldridge III run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20

4th & 3Field Goal Good+37 yds

Matthew Dapore 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UNLV 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Justin Rogers sacked by Bo Richter for a loss of 7 yards to the UNLV 30

4th & 17Punt+7 yds

Evan Silva punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 33 , Jake Spiewak returns for 7 yds to the AFA 33

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 39

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.76

Brandon Lewis run for 6 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 44

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Zachary Larrier run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Zachary Larrier run for 1 yd to the UNLV 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 4

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 8

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 8

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Jake Spiewak at the UNLV 41

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Brandon Lewis run for 41 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

Charles Williams run for 10 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brandon Lewis run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 1Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.99

Brad Roberts run for 24 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the UNLV 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

John Lee Eldridge III run for 1 yd to the UNLV 28

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.01

Ben Jefferson run for 12 yds to the UNLV 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the UNLV 12

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Zachary Larrier run for 12 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Justin Rogers sacked by Vince Sanford for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

3rd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.22

Justin Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 10 yds to the UNLV 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jake Spiewak at the AFA 32

1st & 10Rush+64 ydsPPA +3.83

Emmanuel Michel run for 64 yds to the UNLV 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the UNLV 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST down AIR FORCE Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Taylor) to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+55 ydsPPA +3.43

Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 55 yds to the AFA 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Charles Williams run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Brad Roberts run for 8 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.42

Zachary Larrier run for 18 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the UNLV 35

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Emmanuel Michel run for 6 yds to the UNLV 19

2nd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Terry,Amari rush for 1 yard gain to the NLV18 (Lewis,Aaron) PENALTY AF Chop Block 15 yards from NLV19 to NLV34. NO PLAY.

2nd & 19Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Emmanuel Michel run for 9 yds to the UNLV 25

3rd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Zachary Larrier run for 4 yds to the UNLV 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Matthew Dapore 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Justin Rogers pass complete to Kilinahe Mendiola-Jensen for 2 yds to the UNLV 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.

3rd & 8Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.38

Justin Rogers sacked for a loss of 11 yards to the UNLV 16

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jake Spiewak at the AFA 37

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.21

Emmanuel Michel run for 7 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Owen Burk run for 7 yds to the UNLV 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Warren Bryan run for 2 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Owen Burk run for 1 yd to the UNLV 42

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Owen Burk run for 6 yds to the UNLV 36

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Owen Burk run for 2 yds to the UNLV 34

4th & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.98

Conner Carey run for 11 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Elijah Robinson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 20

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jensen Jones run for 2 yds to the UNLV 18

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Elijah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UNLV 16

4th & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Conner Carey run for 8 yds to the UNLV 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Jensen Jones run for 8 yds for a TD, (Tevye Schuettpelz-Rohl KICK)

1st & 10Rush+72 ydsPPA +4.61

Charles Williams run for 72 yds to the AFA 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Charles Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jet Harris run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jet Harris run for 6 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jet Harris run for 8 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Jensen Jones run for 12 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

CJ McNeal run for 13 yds to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jensen Jones run for 5 yds to the UNLV 24

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

CJ McNeal run for 4 yds to the UNLV 20

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Jet Harris run for 3 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 18

Situational Analysis

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
22%
18 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
61%
31 plays
2nd
71%
7 plays
86%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays