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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 20

Home Win Probability

UNLV 9%

Market (consensus)

UNLV +11

Edge: San Diego State -11 (8.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
7140728
UNLVUNLV
3710020

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-1417-2120-2120-28
UNLVSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UNLSDSUNLUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSUNLSDSFG1072ydPUNT622ydTD2-3ydPUNT513ydPUNT730ydPUNT60ydPUNT35ydTD592ydTD759ydDOWNS529ydTD754ydEND1-6ydPUNT410ydTD694ydPUNT3-14ydFG1060ydTO558ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT35ydTD950ydTO630ydPUNT38yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and UNLV
StatisticSan Diego StateUNLV
Passing18-2521-34
Pass Yards192372
Rush Yards9822
Total Yards290394
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-125-13
Penalties6-295-39
Possession29:5030:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Lucas Johnson
18/24, 192 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Greg Bell
17 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Elijah Kothe
5 REC, 84 YDS
defense
UNLV
passing
Justin Rogers
15/21, 305 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Charles Williams
16 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Steve Jenkins
5 REC, 176 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Cameron Friel pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 4 yds to the UNLV 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Cameron Friel pass complete to Charles Williams for 20 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the SDSt 46

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.28

Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 10 yds to the SDSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.59

Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 27 yds to the SDSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr.

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the SDSt 3

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Daniel Gutierrez 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Lucas Johnson run for 2 yds to the SDSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 14 yds to the SDSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the SDSt 49

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.52

Lucas Johnson sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 41

3rd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 6 yds to the SDSt 47

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 9

2nd & 13Interception Return Touchdown+17 ydsPPA -6.76

Andrew Aleki 17 Yd Interception Return (Matt Araiza Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Cameron Friel pass complete to Kyle Williams for 3 yds to the UNLV 22

2nd & 13Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.42

Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 31

3rd & 4Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY SDS Offside (Hawkins,Tayler) 5 yards from NLV31 to NLV36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UNLV 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

BJ Busbee run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.98

Greg Bell run for 10 yds to the SDSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.76

Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 12 yds to the SDSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Jordan Byrd run for 1 yd to the SDSt 38

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 38

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Lucas Johnson run for 7 yds to the SDSt 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nohl Williams at the UNLV 15

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 16

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Cameron Friel pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 9 yds to the UNLV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cameron Friel pass incomplete to Zyell Griffin

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.26

Cameron Friel sacked by Keshawn Banks for a loss of 10 yards to the UNLV 15

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 2 yds to the UNLV 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Charles Williams run for no gain to the UNLV 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.78

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 12 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.50

Justin Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 36 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 43 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ryan O'Hara kickoff for 31 yds , Connor McBride return for no gain to the SDSt 35 UNLV Penalty, McBride,Connor at SDS36 McBride,Connor return Offside (Marcus Phillips Jr.) to the SDSt 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.11

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 11 yds to the UNLV 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.16

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 37 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDS False Start (Uluave,Alama) 5 yards from NLV11 to NLV16. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.63

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 12 yds to the UNLV 4

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Chance Bell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDS False Start (Martinez,Chris) 5 yards from NLV01 to NLV06. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 21 yds to the UNLV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NLV False Start (Shanks,Tiger) 5 yards from NLV46 to NLV41. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Justin Rogers pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 5 yds to the SDSt 45

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.82

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 46

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.34

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 46

4th & 2Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.61

Lucas Johnson pass complete to BJ Busbee for 9 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.37

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 13 yds to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.12

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 19

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 15 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDS False Start (Crenshaw-Dickson,Brandon) 5 yards from SDS40 to SDS35. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Elijah Kothe

2nd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Greg Bell run for 8 yds to the SDSt 43

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.06

Lucas Johnson sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 8 yards to the SDSt 35 fumbled, recovered by UNLV , return for 0 yards

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Justin Rogers pass complete to Charles Williams for 3 yds to the UNLV 9

2nd & 7Penalty-4 yds

Rogers,Justin pass complete to Griffin,Zyell for 12 yards to the NLV21 (Celestine,Davaughn; McDonald,Caden) PENALTY NLV Holding (McDaniel,Daviyon) 4 yards from NLV09 to NLV05. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.26

Charles Williams run for 9 yds to the UNLV 14

3rd & 2Pass Reception+80 ydsPPA +4.91

Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 80 yds to the SDSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 5

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

Williams,Charles rush for 5 yards gain to the SDS00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:16 PENALTY NLV Holding (McDaniel,Daviyon) 10 yards from SDS05 to SDS15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Justin Rogers run for 7 yds to the SDSt 8

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 8 yds for a TD, (Daniel Gutierrez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Ryan O'Hara kickoff for 63 yds , Kaegun Williams return for 17 yds to the SDSt 19

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY SDS False Start (Bessent,Desmond) 5 yards from SDS19 to SDS14. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to BJ Busbee

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 18

3rd & 11Sack-13 ydsPPA -0.15

Lucas Johnson sacked by Jacoby Windmon for a loss of 13 yards to the SDSt 5

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 59 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Charles Williams run for 1 yd to the UNLV 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.26

Justin Rogers pass complete to Zyell Griffin for 12 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Justin Rogers pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 7 yds to the SDSt 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the SDSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.79

Justin Rogers run for 1 yd to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.66

Justin Rogers pass complete to Steve Jenkins for 39 yds to the SDSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+4 yds

Justin Rogers run for 4 yds to the SDSt 8

2nd & 8Penalty+4 yds

Rogers,Justin pass incomplete to Griffin,Zyell PENALTY SDS Offside (Thompson,Trenton) 4 yards from SDS08 to SDS04. NO PLAY.

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Rogers run for no gain to the SDSt 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Daniel Gutierrez 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 8 yds to the SDSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.50

Jordan Byrd run for 47 yds to the UNLV 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 17

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.20

Lucas Johnson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Justin Rogers run for 3 yds to the UNLV 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.23

Justin Rogers sacked by Cameron Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 14

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Evan Silva punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the UNLV 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 47

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete to Tyrell Shavers

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Rogers run for no gain to the UNLV 1

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 5

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.08

Justin Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 6

4th & 5Punt+10 yds

Evan Silva punt for 54 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 10 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.09

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Elijah Kothe for 9 yds to the UNLV 41

2nd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.10

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Adam Plant Jr.) to the UNLV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 2 yds to the UNLV 18

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the UNLV 13

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the UNLV 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 10

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 3 yds to the UNLV 7

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.84

Lucas Johnson pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 7 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 8 yds to the UNLV 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Justin Rogers pass complete to Marcus Phillips Jr. for 16 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Justin Rogers pass complete to Giovanni Fauolo Sr. for 6 yds to the SDSt 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Justin Rogers pass incomplete to Steve Jenkins

4th & 4Penalty0 yds

UNLV Penalty, Personal Foul (Charles Williams) declined

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the UNLV 45

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the UNLV 42

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 41

4th & 2Blocked Punt+25 yds

Matt Araiza punt blocked by Tyson Player blocked by Tyson Player

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
19 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

UNLV

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
27%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
10 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play