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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Air ForceAir Force
41
-Final
39
NevadaNevada
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Nevada 63%

Market (consensus)

Nevada +1.5

Edge: Nevada +1.5 (7.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Air ForceAir Force
017701741
NevadaNevada
307141539

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-73-1710-2424-24
NevadaAir Force

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFNEVAFPUNT3-2ydTO637ydFG1065ydTD1975ydTO833ydPUNT415ydPUNT31ydTD666ydPUNT4-5ydFG728ydDOWNS1258ydTD783ydTD975ydPUNT815ydPUNT621ydDOWNS523ydTO17ydTD161ydPUNT37ydTD1267ydPUNT522ydPUNT513ydEND13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Air Force and Nevada
StatisticAir ForceNevada
Passing1-527-44
Pass Yards23351
Rush Yards47618
Total Yards499369
Turnovers21
3rd Down9-176-15
Penalties7-804-20
Possession37:3822:22

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
1/5, 23 YDS
rushing
DeAndre Hughes
23 CAR, 221 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Brandon Lewis
1 REC, 23 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Carson Strong
27/44, 351 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Toa Taua
15 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Romeo Doubs
11 REC, 159 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 2 yds to the Nevad 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.99

Dane Kinamon run for 7 yds to the Nevad 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AFA False Start (Cochran,Isaac) 5 yards from NEV43 to NEV48. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.59

DeAndre Hughes run for 20 yds to the Nevad 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

run for 1 yd to the Nevad 29

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Toa Taua run for 15 yds to the Nevad 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.43

Carson Strong sacked by Jayden Thiergood for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 36

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 40

3rd & 14Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.97

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 27 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 15 yds to the AFA 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.90

Toa Taua run for 14 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Toa Taua run for no gain to the AFA 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Brandon Talton 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

DeAndre Hughes run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dane Kinamon run for 4 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Emmanuel Michel run for no gain to the AFA 48

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.27

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

DeAndre Hughes run for 2 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.27

DeAndre Hughes run for 14 yds to the Nevad 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brandon Lewis run for 6 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Nevad 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the Nevad 16

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Emmanuel Michel run for no gain to the Nevad 16

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.61

Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the Nevad 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Nevad 10

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

DeAndre Hughes run for 2 yds to the Nevad 8

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Dane Kinamon run for 4 yds to the Nevad 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Ben Jefferson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 59 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 22 yds to the Nevad 28

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 26

2nd & 12Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.01

Carson Strong run for 13 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 5 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 14 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Devonte Lee run for no gain to the AFA 42

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Davis,Gray) 5 yards from AFA42 to AFA47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 17 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

NEVADA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Carson Strong) to the AFA 39

2nd & 19Interception0 ydsPPA -1.99

Carson Strong pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Emmanuel Michel run for 11 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Ben Jefferson run for 1 yd to the AFA 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Lewis

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Toa Taua run for no gain to the Nevad 16

2nd & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.31

Carson Strong sacked by Christopher Herrera for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 11

3rd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.02

Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 6 yds to the Nevad 17

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 56 yds , Dane Kinamon returns for 7 yds to the AFA 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 4Rush+52 ydsPPA +2.62

DeAndre Hughes run for 52 yds to the Nevad 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Penalty-15 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Chop Block (Dalton King) to the Nevad 20

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Nevad 14

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

DeAndre Hughes run for 4 yds to the Nevad 10

3rd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

DeAndre Hughes run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+32 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 65 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 32 yds to the NEVADA 33 NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Avery Carrington) to the Nevad 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.76

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 14 yds to the Nevad 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

2nd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.62

Carson Strong sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 7 yards to the Nevad 20

3rd & 17Penalty0 yds

NEVADA Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 29Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 40

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

DeAndre Hughes run for 9 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to David Cormier

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to DeAndre Hughes

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the Nevad 40

4th & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.61

DeAndre Hughes run for 8 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Field Goal Good+49 yds

Matthew Dapore 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brad Roberts run for 9 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the Nevad 46

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

DeAndre Hughes run for 2 yds to the Nevad 44

3rd & 4Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.91

Haaziq Daniels run for 18 yds to the Nevad 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Nevad 21

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Nevad 18

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Nevad 17

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.79

Dane Kinamon run for no gain to the Nevad 17

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -0.80

Carson Strong sacked by Vince Sanford for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 10 Carson Strong fumbled, recovered by Nevad Toa Taua , return for 0 yards

2nd & 17Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.06

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for no gain to the Nevad 10

3rd & 17Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.12

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 25 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +2.67

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 49 yds to the AFA 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 3 yds to the AFA 13

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.01

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 13 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

DeAndre Hughes run for 17 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 48

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.80

Dane Kinamon run for 5 yds to the Nevad 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Emmanuel Michel run for 2 yds to the Nevad 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.55

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 23 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

DeAndre Hughes run for 12 yds to the Nevad 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Nevad 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

DeAndre Hughes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew Dapore KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 62 yds , Jamaal Bell return for 10 yds to the Nevad 13

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 20

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa Taua

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 2 yds to the Nevad 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 16 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Melquan Stovall run for 6 yds to the Nevad 34

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Cole Turner

3rd & 16Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Strong sacked by Christopher Herrera for a loss of 6 yards to the Nevad 28

4th & 22Punt+2 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 51 yds , Dane Kinamon returns for 2 yds to the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 25

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 30

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.81

DeAndre Hughes run for 10 yds to the AFA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the AFA 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Brandon Lewis

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 33 yds , Romeo Doubs returns for no gain to the Nevad 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 8 yds to the Nevad 31

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

Strong,Carson pass incomplete to Horton,Tory PENALTY AFA Pass Interference (Bugg III,Tre) 15 yards from NEV31 to NEV46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+7 ydsPPA -3.46

Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the Nevad 39 Haaziq Daniels fumbled, forced by AJ King, recovered by Nevad Jordan Lee

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+61 ydsPPA +4.86

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 61 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

DeAndre Hughes run for no gain to the AFA 25

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Kinamon,Dane rush for 3 yards gain to the AFA28 (Lee,Jordan), out of bounds PENALTY AFA Holding (King,Dalton) 10 yards from AFA25 to AFA15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

DeAndre Hughes run for 4 yds to the AFA 19

3rd & 16Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.33

DeAndre Hughes run for 13 yds to the AFA 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 5 yds to the Nevad 38

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.05

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the Nevad 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for no gain to the Nevad 45

4th & 10Penalty+15 yds

Strong,Carson pass incomplete to Doubs,Romeo broken up by Bugg III,Tre PENALTY AFA Pass Interference (Bugg III,Tre) 15 yards from NEV45 to AFA40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin Lockhart

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the AFA 33

3rd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.95

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 13 yds to the AFA 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Toa Taua run for 18 yds to the AFA 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Toa Taua run for no gain to the AFA 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 2 yds for a TD, (Brandon Talton KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

DeAndre Hughes run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

DeAndre Hughes run for 11 yds to the AFA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Hughes,DeAndre rush for 1 yard gain to the AFA49 (Dedman,Jaden) PENALTY AFA Illegal Motion 5 yards from AFA48 to AFA43. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

run for 4 yds to the AFA 42

3rd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

DeAndre Hughes run for 5 yds to the AFA 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Toa Taua run for 4 yds to the Nevad 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 10 yds to the Nevad 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Toa Taua

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.33

Carson Strong sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the Nevad 8

3rd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Toa Taua run for 7 yds to the Nevad 15

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

DeAndre Hughes run for 3 yds to the Nevad 49

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
47%
30 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
55%
11 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
46%
26 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
22%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
6 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play