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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Utah State by 5.1

Home Win Probability

Utah State 63%

Market (consensus)

Utah State +3

Edge: Utah State +3 (8.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Colorado StateColorado State
01401024
Utah StateUtah State
0203326

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-713-717-1423-1426-1726-24
Utah StateColorado State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSCSUSPUNT520ydPUNT833ydTO420ydTO323ydPUNT34ydPUNT727ydTO531ydTD466ydTD1478ydTD676ydTD775ydFG713ydFG511ydEND1-1ydFG1255ydPUNT514ydPUNT511ydPUNT32ydPUNT725ydDOWNS936ydPUNT39ydFG769ydFG948ydTD573ydPUNT617ydMISS761ydEND1-4yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado State and Utah State
StatisticColorado StateUtah State
Passing18-3017-30
Pass Yards282233
Rush Yards190111
Total Yards472344
Turnovers21
3rd Down6-135-18
Penalties9-864-45
Possession26:0733:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado State
passing
Todd Centeio
18/29, 282 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
David Bailey
30 CAR, 159 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Gary Williams
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Utah State
passing
Logan Bonner
17/30, 233 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Elelyon Noa
26 CAR, 97 YDS
receiving
Deven Thompkins
6 REC, 104 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the ColSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.34

David Bailey run for 10 yds to the ColSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.11

Todd Centeio sacked by Patrick Joyner Jr. for 0 yards to the ColSt 32

2nd & 17Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

David Bailey run for 7 yds to the ColSt 39

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the ColSt 45

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.34

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 19 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UthSt 43

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.39

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Thomas Pannunzio at the ColSt 8

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.84

David Bailey run for 18 yds to the ColSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 27

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ColSt 28

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -0.02

Todd Centeio pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Pailate Makakona run for 13 yds to the ColSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.17

Savon Scarver run for 10 yds to the ColSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.41

Logan Bonner pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

David Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 34

2nd & 12Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

David Bailey run for 5 yds to the ColSt 39

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the ColSt 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 13

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the UthSt 15

3rd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 15 yds to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Logan Bonner run for 13 yds to the UthSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the UthSt 43

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Logan Bonner pass complete to Elelyon Noa for no gain to the UthSt 43

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.49

Logan Bonner sacked by Mohamed Kamara for 0 yards to the UthSt 36

4th & 17Punt+45 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 45 yds , returns for no gain to the ColSt 35 , returns for no gain to the ColSt 35

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.48

David Bailey run for 16 yds to the UthSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

David Bailey run for 5 yds to the UthSt 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

David Bailey run for 4 yds to the UthSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaylen Thomas run for 3 yds to the UthSt 34

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Pailate Makakona run for 10 yds to the UthSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 47

2nd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.61

John Gentry run for 13 yds to the ColSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BONNER, Logan pass to the right incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Derek thrown to the CSU0. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on CAMERON, Marshaun enforced 15 yards to the CSU25 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 25 yds for a TD (Connor Coles KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the ColSt 25

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.96

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 12 yds to the ColSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

David Bailey run for no gain to the ColSt 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 3 yds to the ColSt 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +3.21

Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 20 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.04

David Bailey run for a loss of 5 yards to the UthSt 45

3rd & 15Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.34

Todd Centeio pass complete to Jordan Kress for 18 yds to the UthSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

David Bailey run for 9 yds to the UthSt 18

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the UthSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 15

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.14

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 11 yds to the UthSt 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

David Bailey run for 4 yds for a TD (Cayden Camper KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.77

Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 23

2nd & 11Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +3.56

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 34 yds to the ColSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the ColSt 38

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the ColSt 38

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +5.30

Logan Bonner pass complete to Derek Wright for 38 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

David Bailey run for 5 yds to the ColSt 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.44

Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 24 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.95

David Bailey run for 26 yds to the UthSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the UthSt 17

2nd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.52

Todd Centeio pass complete to Justice McCoy for 15 yds to the UthSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

David Bailey run for 2 yds for a TD (Cayden Camper KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Pailate Makakona run for no gain to the ColSt 41

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.04

Logan Bonner sacked by Manny Jones for 0 yards to the ColSt 49

3rd & 18Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Logan Bonner pass complete to Pailate Makakona for 10 yds to the ColSt 39

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) to the ColSt 29

1st & 15Sack0 ydsPPA -0.58

Logan Bonner sacked by Manny Jones and Scott Patchan for 0 yards to the ColSt 35

2nd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 21Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Logan Bonner pass complete to John Gentry for 7 yds to the ColSt 28

4th & 14Field Goal Good+45 yds

Connor Coles 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+11 yds

BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BOWLING, Brandon thrown to the CSU10. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on FLOYD, Robert enforced at the spot of the foul for 11 yards to the CSU13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the ColSt 13

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

Connor Coles 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Elelyon Noa run for 13 yds to the UthSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Elelyon Noa run for 7 yds to the UthSt 40

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Derek thrown to the CSU15. PENALTY CSU Pass Interference on CAMERON, Marshaun enforced 15 yards to the CSU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 2 yards to the ColSt 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Logan Bonner pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 8 yds to the ColSt 34

4th & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.08

Elelyon Noa run for 9 yds to the ColSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Logan Bonner pass complete to Elelyon Noa for 6 yds to the ColSt 19

2nd & 4Penalty0 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Targeting Roughing the Passer on AMINA, Bam enforced half the distance from the goal ( Yards) to the ColSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.32

Logan Bonner sacked by Tywan Francis for 0 yards to the ColSt 23

2nd & 23Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the ColSt 22

3rd & 22Sack0 ydsPPA -0.99

Logan Bonner sacked by Mohamed Kamara and Troy Golden for 0 yards to the ColSt 25

4th & 25Field Goal Good+42 yds

Connor Coles 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

David Bailey run for 9 yds to the ColSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

David Bailey run for 6 yds to the ColSt 41

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.92

run for a loss of 5 yards to the ColSt 36

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the ColSt 39

4th & 6Punt+3 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 55 yds , Jordan Nathan returns for 3 yds to the UthSt 9

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Pailate Makakona run for 3 yds to the UthSt 12

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.40

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 30 yds to the UthSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Deven Thompkins) to the UthSt 27

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Pailate Makakona run for no gain to the UthSt 27

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.18

Logan Bonner sacked by Cam'Ron Carter for 0 yards to the UthSt 20

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

David Bailey run for 2 yds to the ColSt 41

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Stonehouse punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.71

Elelyon Noa run for 18 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Logan Bonner pass complete to Justin McGriff for 7 yds to the UthSt 30

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.71

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for 9 yds to the UthSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.11

Logan Bonner sacked by Scott Patchan for 0 yards to the UthSt 37

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.71

Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 2 yards to the UthSt 35

3rd & 14Sack0 ydsPPA -0.21

Logan Bonner sacked by Toby McBride for 0 yards to the UthSt 30

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the ColSt 30

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

David Bailey run for 3 yds to the ColSt 33

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.68

Todd Centeio pass complete to Dante Wright for 15 yds to the ColSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

David Bailey run for 7 yds to the UthSt 45

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.15

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 4 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jaylen Thomas run for 5 yds to the UthSt 36

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.90

Todd Centeio run for 1 yd to the UthSt 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

John Gentry run for 2 yds to the UthSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 38

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

BONNER, Logan pass to the right complete for 6 yards to THOMPKINS, Deven caught at the USU44 and advanced to the USU44 (PANNUNZIO, Thomas). PENALTY Before the snap, CSU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the USU38 to the USU43. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

John Gentry run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44

4th & 1Punt+46 yds

Stephen Kotsanlee punt for 46 yds , Thomas Pannunzio returns for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 9

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

David Bailey run for 6 yds to the ColSt 15

2nd & 4Penalty+10 yds

UTAH ST Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marcus Moore) to the ColSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.67

Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 43 yds to the UthSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

David Bailey run for 1 yd to the UthSt 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

Cayden Camper 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Logan Bonner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 36

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.48

Logan Bonner pass complete to Brandon Bowling for 9 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO ST Penalty, Offsides (TEAM) to the 50 yard line

1st & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.48

Elelyon Noa run for 6 yds to the ColSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Logan Bonner pass complete to Carson Terrell for 20 yds to the ColSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BONNER, Logan pass up the middle incomplete intended for BOWLING, Brandon thrown to the CSU10. PENALTY CSU Offsides on FRANCIS, Tywan enforced 5 yards from the CSU24 to the CSU19 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Elelyon Noa run for no gain to the ColSt 19

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Elelyon Noa run for 3 yds to the ColSt 16

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Elelyon Noa run for a loss of 1 yard to the ColSt 17

4th & 3Field Goal Good+34 yds

Connor Coles 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Todd Centeio pass complete to David Bailey for 11 yds to the ColSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Todd Centeio pass complete to Trey McBride for 4 yds to the ColSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.88

Todd Centeio run for 17 yds to the UthSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.70

Todd Centeio pass complete to David Bailey for 28 yds to the UthSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Todd Centeio pass complete to Gary Williams for 13 yds for a TD (Cayden Camper KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Elelyon Noa run for 1 yd to the UthSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Elelyon Noa run for 8 yds to the UthSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Elelyon Noa run for 4 yds to the UthSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Elelyon Noa run for 2 yds to the UthSt 40

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Elelyon Noa run for 5 yds to the UthSt 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.27

Logan Bonner pass complete to Deven Thompkins for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Todd Centeio pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.28

Todd Centeio pass complete to Ty McCullouch for 15 yds to the UthSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Cayden Camper 42 yd FG MISSED

No play data available

Situational Analysis

Colorado State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
43%
30 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
36%
11 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Utah State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
38%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
3 plays
38%
13 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
2 plays