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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 7.3

Home Win Probability

Air Force 67%

Market (consensus)

Air Force -5.5

Edge: Air Force -5.5 (1.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WyomingWyoming
0140014
Air ForceAir Force
777324

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-014-1421-1424-14
Air ForceWyoming

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOAFWYOTD1575ydPUNT3-5ydTO526ydTO310ydTD1138ydPUNT30ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT38ydTD697ydPUNT411ydTD573ydEND1-1ydPUNT1139ydTD885ydPUNT1019ydFG1567ydPUNT33ydPUNT618ydTO718ydDOWNS41ydEND1-12yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wyoming and Air Force
StatisticWyomingAir Force
Passing11-287-10
Pass Yards143110
Rush Yards114211
Total Yards257321
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-127-16
Penalties6-401-5
Possession21:1238:48

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wyoming
passing
Sean Chambers
11/28, 143 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Xazavian Valladay
8 CAR, 96 YDS
receiving
Isaiah Neyor
3 REC, 55 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
7/10, 110 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brad Roberts
33 CAR, 140 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brandon Lewis
5 REC, 77 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Brad Roberts run for 18 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 46

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Emmanuel Michel run for 5 yds to the Wyom 49

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Wyom 49

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.50

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 39

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Micah Davis run for 2 yds to the Wyom 37

4th & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.00

Micah Davis run for 3 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.40

Brad Roberts run for 21 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 8

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Wyom 9

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.66

Micah Davis run for 7 yds to the Wyom 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the Wyom 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WYO Delay Of Game 5 yards from WYO25 to WYO20. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Chambers run for no gain to the Wyom 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton Welch

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the AFA 45

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the Wyom 48

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.91

Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Garrett Crall) to the Wyom 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Wyom 31

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Dawaiian McNeely run for 1 yd to the Wyom 30

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 33

3rd & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+8 ydsPPA -0.18

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 38 Sean Chambers fumbled, forced by Vince Sanford, recovered by AFA Corvan Taylor

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Wyom 32

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 30

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.50

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Wyom 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Wyom 25

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the Wyom 20

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Haaziq Daniels run for 1 yd to the Wyom 19

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.75

Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Emmanuel Michel run for 8 yds to the Wyom 7

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +0.65

Emmanuel Michel run for 4 yds to the Wyom 3 Emmanuel Michel fumbled, forced by Rome Weber, recovered by AFA Omar Fattah for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Omar Fattah run for 1 yd to the Wyom 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Dane Kinamon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Anthony Rodriguez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Parker Christensen

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Xazavian Valladay run for no gain to the Wyom 25

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 45

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Brandon Lewis run for 1 yd to the AFA 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wyom 27

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 30

2nd & 7Penalty0 yds

WYOMING Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Sean Chambers) to the Wyom 22

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brandon Lewis run for 3 yds to the AFA 49

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 48

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+74 ydsPPA +4.29

Xazavian Valladay run for 74 yds to the AFA 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Titus Swen run for 13 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the AFA 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the AFA 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Brad Roberts run for 10 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Dane Kinamon sacked by C.J. Coldon for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 30

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the AFA 32

3rd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Haaziq Daniels run for 4 yds to the AFA 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Charles Bein punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ayden Eberhardt at the Wyom 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.94

Sean Chambers run for 13 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 13 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.10

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 37 yds to the AFA 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 10 yds for a TD, (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

John Hoyland kickoff for 42 yds , Omar Fattah return for no gain to the AFA 23

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.73

run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 22

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.18

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 12 yds to the Wyom 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Sean Chambers pass complete to for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.14

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the AFA 43

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.23

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 11 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.29

Sean Chambers sacked by Demonte Meeks for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 36

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Garrett Crall

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Keonte Glinton

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 21 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 7 yds to the AFA 22

2nd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.12

Brad Roberts run for 15 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 40

2nd & 7Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.66

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 30 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Wyom 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 14 yds to the Wyom 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Wyom 13

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.67

Micah Davis 13 Yd pass from Haaziq Daniels (Anthony Rodriguez Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.13

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 9 yds to the Wyom 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 8 yds to the Wyom 47

2nd & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Sean Chambers pass complete to Titus Swen for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 48

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.88

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 12 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the AFA 36

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY WYO False Start (Velazquez,Alonzo) 5 yards from AF 36 to AF 41. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

run for 5 yds to the AFA 46

3rd & 18Penalty+10 yds

Chambers,Sean rush for 19 yards gain to the AF 27 (Mack II,Michael) PENALTY WYO Holding (Harris,Logan) 10 yards from AF 46 to WYO44. NO PLAY.

3rd & 28Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex Brown

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AFA 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 28

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.63

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 7 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Adam Karas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.78

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Micah Davis for 20 yds to the Wyom 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Wyom 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the Wyom 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.34

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 19 yds to the Wyom 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Emmanuel Michel run for 1 yd to the Wyom 22

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Micah Davis

3rd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the Wyom 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Emmanuel Michel run for 3 yds to the Wyom 10

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete to Micah Davis

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Micah Davis run for 1 yd to the Wyom 9

4th & 6Field Goal Good+26 yds

Anthony Rodriguez 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 63 yds , Titus Swen return for 17 yds to the Wyom 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 22

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex Brown

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 76 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 5

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 9

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.40

Micah Davis run for 4 yds to the AFA 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 13

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY AF False Start (Spiewak,Jake) 5 yards from AF 13 to AF 08. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Jorden Gidrey run for 7 yds to the AFA 15

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Brad Roberts run for 5 yds to the AFA 20

4th & 3Punt+6 yds

Charles Bein punt for 49 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 6 yds to the Wyom 37

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Sean Chambers run for 19 yds to the AFA 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Parker Christensen

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.68

Sean Chambers pass complete to Alex Brown for 19 yds to the AFA 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex Brown

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt

4th & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-20 ydsPPA -2.36

Sean Chambers sacked by Vince Sanford for a loss of 20 yards to the AFA 48 Sean Chambers fumbled, recovered by AFA Vince Sanford , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 45

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.89

run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 44

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WYO Offside (Bertagnole,Jordan) 5 yards from AF 44 to AF 49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the AFA 49

4th & 9Penalty0 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, Encroachment ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.12

Sean Chambers sacked by Jordan Jackson for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 39

Situational Analysis

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
26%
27 plays
2nd
100%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
50%
14 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
3 plays