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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

Nevada by 23.2

Home Win Probability

Nevada 91%

Market (consensus)

Nevada -35

Edge: Idaho State +35 (11.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Idaho State
703010
NevadaNevada
14772149

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-714-721-1028-1042-1049-10
NevadaIdaho State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NEVISNEVISNEVISNEVISNEVISISNEVISNEVISNEVISISNEVISTD1475ydTD1075ydTD690ydPUNT30ydPUNT826ydTO519ydDOWNS837ydPUNT727ydTD778ydEND11ydFG1250ydPUNT30ydPUNT731ydTD880ydPUNT620ydTD790ydTD3-13ydFG758ydTD480ydEND927yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Idaho State and Nevada
StatisticIdaho StateNevada
Passing15-2537-46
Pass Yards142441
Rush Yards141145
Total Yards283586
Turnovers20
3rd Down7-176-10
Penalties1-510-59
Possession32:4927:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Idaho State
passing
Tyler Vander Waal
10/17, 107 YDS
rushing
Malakai Rango
10 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Xavier Guillory
5 REC, 54 YDS
defense
Nevada
passing
Carson Strong
34/43, 381 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Toa Taua
9 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Elijah Cooks
7 REC, 89 YDS, 2 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 3 yds to the Nevad 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the Nevad 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Devonte Lee

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.66

Devonte Lee run for no gain to the Nevad 37

3rd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.73

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 26 yds to the IdaSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Carson Strong pass complete to Toa Taua for 3 yds to the IdaSt 34

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Devonte Lee run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 29

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.61

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 10 yds to the IdaSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Toa Taua run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 18

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 7 yds to the IdaSt 11

4th & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.01

Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Malakai Rango run for 10 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 11 yds to the IdaSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Christian Fredrickson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Raiden Hunter for 4 yds to the Nevad 48

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

Vander Waal,Tyler sacked for loss of 6 yards to the ISU46 (Nichols,Tristan) PENALTY NEV Offside (Grzesiak,Daniel) 5 yards from NEV48 to NEV43. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Raiden Hunter run for no gain to the Nevad 43

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.05

Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.25

Malakai Rango run for 39 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST down

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.05

Raiden Hunter run for 3 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.25

Malakai Rango run for 39 yds to the Nevad 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Oshea Trujillo 1 Yd Run (Kevin Ryan Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

PENALTY NEV Offside 2 yards from NEV03 to NEV01. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+59 ydsPPA +3.95

Toa Taua run for 59 yds to the IdaSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Gardner,Jacob) 5 yards from ISU31 to ISU36. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

Strong,Carson pass incomplete to Cooks,Elijah PENALTY NEV Holding (Gardner,Jacob) 10 yards from ISU36 to ISU46. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 7 yds to the IdaSt 39

2nd & 18Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.21

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 11 yds to the IdaSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the IdaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 13 yds to the IdaSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.42

Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 13 yds to the IdaSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV Delay Of Game (Strong,Carson) 5 yards from ISU07 to ISU12. NO PLAY.

1st & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Elijah Cooks 12 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kevin Ryan punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Toa Taua run for 3 yds to the Nevad 24

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Carson Strong pass complete to Devonte Lee for 8 yds to the Nevad 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 41

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.42

Avery Morrow run for no gain to the Nevad 41

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Cooks,Elijah) 5 yards from NEV43 to NEV38. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Tory Horton

3rd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 9 yds to the Nevad 47

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson Strong punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Daniel Grzesiak for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 21

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 8 yds to the IdaSt 29

3rd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.59

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 17 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Tyler Vander Waal run for 2 yds to the IdaSt 48

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Vander Waal,Tyler pass complete to Scott,Jared for 0 yards to the ISU48 (Robins,Berdale), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Perko,John) 5 yards from ISU48 to ISU43. NO PLAY.

2nd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.71

Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Lawson Hall for 0 yards to the IdaSt 43 Tyler Vander Waal fumbled, recovered by Nevad Jordan Lee , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Toa Taua run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 37

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Devonte Lee run for 7 yds to the IdaSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.69

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the IdaSt 21

2nd & 1Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA -0.41

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 8 yds to the IdaSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 2 yds to the IdaSt 11

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Toa Taua run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 6

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Melquan Stovall

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.02

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Vander Waal run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Jared Scott for 3 yds to the IdaSt 10

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Mike Davis for 7 yds to the IdaSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.51

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 15 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST down

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kevin Ryan punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Carson Strong pass complete to Jamaal Bell for 8 yds to the Nevad 30

2nd & 2Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.66

Devonte Lee run for 21 yds to the IdaSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Carson Strong pass complete to Romeo Doubs for 9 yds to the IdaSt 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.21

Carson Strong pass complete to Avery Morrow for 7 yds to the IdaSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.29

Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 13 yds to the IdaSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start (Orsini,Tyler) 5 yards from ISU20 to ISU25. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 13 yds to the IdaSt 12

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.16

Elijah Cooks 12 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Vander Waal run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Tanner Conner

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tanner Conner for 14 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.32

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 18 yds to the Nevad 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the Nevad 38

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Malakai Rango run for 6 yds to the Nevad 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Tyler Vander Waal pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

4th & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.81

Tyler Vander Waal pass complete to Tanner Conner for 10 yds to the Nevad 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.81

Tyler Vander Waal sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 10 yards to the Nevad 32

2nd & 20Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Hunter Hays sacked by Tristan Nichols for a loss of 1 yard to the Nevad 33

3rd & 21Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Raiden Hunter run for 8 yds to the Nevad 25

4th & 13Field Goal Good+42 yds

Kevin Ryan 42 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for no gain to the Nevad 48

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Romeo Doubs

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Justin Lockhart

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Julian Diaz punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.99

Malakai Rango run for 13 yds to the IdaSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Hunter Hays run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 4 yds to the IdaSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Malakai Rango run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 49

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Hunter Hays pass complete to Xavier Guillory for 6 yds to the Nevad 45

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.94

Malakai Rango run for 3 yds to the Nevad 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kevin Ryan punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Toa Taua run for 2 yds to the Nevad 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.84

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 17 yds to the Nevad 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Carson Strong pass complete to Cole Turner for 9 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Devonte Lee run for 2 yds to the Nevad 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.55

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 17 yds to the IdaSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.03

Carson Strong pass complete to Elijah Cooks for 39 yds to the IdaSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Carson Strong pass incomplete to Elijah Cooks

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Devonte Lee 2 Yd Run (Brandon Talton Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Hunter Hays pass complete to Shane Dailey Jr. for 6 yds to the IdaSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.86

Hunter Hays pass complete to Christian Fredrickson for 9 yds to the IdaSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Shane Dailey Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Raiden Hunter run for 4 yds to the IdaSt 44

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kevin Ryan punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Romeo Doubs at the Nevad 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Carson Strong run for 4 yds to the Nevad 14

2nd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.00

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 36 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Carson Strong pass complete to Tory Horton for 7 yds to the IdaSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 7 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.29

Carson Strong pass complete to Justin Lockhart for 10 yds to the IdaSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Carson Strong pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 11 yds to the IdaSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Devonte Lee 15 Yd pass from Carson Strong (Brandon Talton Kick)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Hunter Hays sacked by Christopher Love for a loss of 3 yards to the IdaSt 22

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Malakai Rango run for 1 yd to the IdaSt 23

3rd & 12Fumble Return Touchdown+12 ydsPPA -6.79

Dom Peterson 12 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Talton Kick)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NEV False Start 5 yards from ISU03 to ISU08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.07

Benjamin Omayebu run for 39 yds to the Nevad 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Raiden Hunter run for 1 yd to the Nevad 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.02

Hunter Hays pass complete to Mike Davis for 10 yds to the Nevad 25 for a 1ST down NEVADA Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Breylon Garcia) to the Nevad 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the Nevad 10

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Soujah Gasu run for 2 yds to the Nevad 8

3rd & 5Sack-9 ydsPPA -1.54

Hunter Hays sacked by Tyson Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the Nevad 17

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Kevin Ryan 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Toa Taua run for 20 yds to the Nevad 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Cox pass complete to Avery Morrow for 5 yds to the Nevad 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.29

Nate Cox pass complete to Tory Horton for 12 yds to the IdaSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +3.35

Harry Ballard 43 Yd pass from Nate Cox (Brandon Talton Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Hunter Hays run for 3 yds to the IdaSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Hunter Hays pass incomplete to Benjamin Omayebu

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Soujah Gasu run for 8 yds to the IdaSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Soujah Gasu run for 6 yds to the IdaSt 42

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.65

Hunter Hays run for 5 yds to the IdaSt 37

3rd & 9Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.95

Soujah Gasu run for 14 yds to the Nevad 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Soujah Gasu run for 5 yds to the Nevad 44

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Soujah Gasu run for 1 yd to the Nevad 43

3rd & 4Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Hunter Hays sacked by Christopher Love for a loss of 5 yards to the Nevad 48

Situational Analysis

Idaho State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
27 plays
2nd
20%
5 plays
50%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
67%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays

Nevada

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
64%
28 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
100%
3 plays
57%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays