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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wyoming by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Wyoming 55%

Market (consensus)

Wyoming -19

Edge: Montana State +19 (16.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Montana State
700916
WyomingWyoming
0301619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-63-79-712-16
WyomingMontana State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSWYOMSPUNT60ydTO30ydTD235ydPUNT40ydTO70ydPUNT50ydPUNT50ydPUNT70ydPUNT40ydDOWNS40ydDOWNS80ydFG80ydMISS50ydPUNT40ydEND10ydPUNT50ydPUNT90ydTD965ydPUNT40ydTD1065ydFG70ydFG130ydTD635ydTD965ydUncategorized50yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Montana State and Wyoming
StatisticMontana StateWyoming
Passing19-2915-26
Pass Yards200196
Rush Yards121151
Total Yards321347
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-126-17
Penalties4-324-50
Possession26:1633:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Montana State
passing
Matt McKay
19/28, 200 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaiah Ifanse
16 CAR, 103 YDS
receiving
Lance McCutcheon
5 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Wyoming
passing
Sean Chambers
15/26, 196 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Xazavian Valladay
19 CAR, 77 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ayden Eberhardt
4 REC, 71 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon, broken up by C.J. Coldon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Matthew McKay pass complete to Charles Brown for 13 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Charles Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 35

2nd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Matthew McKay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Coy Steel

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 45 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex Brown

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 7Interception0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Chambers pass intercepted

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.97

Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 15 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Isaiah Neyor run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Chambers pass complete to Xazavian Valladay for 5 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Willie Patterson run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.62

Matthew McKay pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 1 yd to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, roughing passer (Azizi Hearn) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91
3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.91

Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 12 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Matthew McKay pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+12 ydsPPA -3.66

Matthew McKay pass complete to Willie Patterson for 12 yds Matthew McKay fumbled, recovered by Wyom Chad Muma

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.64

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch WYOMING Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 35

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Xazavian Valladay run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Ayden Eberhardt

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Sean Chambers run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 54 yds , Willie Patterson returns for no gain to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matthew McKay pass complete to R.J. Fitzgerald for 5 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 35

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 49 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for no gain to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Sean Chambers run for 13 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Xazavian Valladay run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.28

Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 14 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaiah Neyor run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.28

Titus Swen run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35

3rd & 6Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.59

Sean Chambers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wyom 35

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Sean Chambers run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Isaiah Ifanse run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Matthew McKay pass complete to Derryk Snell for 1 yd to the Wyom 35

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Isaiah Ifanse run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Matthew McKay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.13

Matthew McKay sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Titus Swen run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Titus Swen run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.32

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 11 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.83

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 21 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Titus Swen run for 7 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Joshua Cobbs

4th & 7Field Goal Good+37 yds

John Hoyland 37 yd FG GOOD

2nd & 3Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 35

0th & 3End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+44 yds

Isaiah Ifanse run for 29 yds to the Wyom 6 WYOMING Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.45

Isaiah Ifanse run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 35

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Jaden Smith, broken up by C.J. Coldon

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+47 yds

Blake Glessner 47 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Sean Chambers run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.05

Matthew McKay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.63

Xazavian Valladay run for 18 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Chambers run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.35

Matthew McKay pass complete to Willie Patterson for 15 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Matthew McKay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon, broken up by C.J. Coldon

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.08

Matthew McKay pass complete to Derryk Snell for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Cameron Gardner run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Cameron Gardner

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Xazavian Valladay run for 9 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30
3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.18

Titus Swen run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Sean Chambers pass complete to Titus Swen for 9 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Sean Chambers sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 35

2nd & 12Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Sean Chambers pass complete to Isaiah Neyor for 7 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Alex Brown

4th & 5Punt+3 yds

Ralph Fawaz punt for 47 yds , Willie Patterson returns for 3 yds MONTANA ST Penalty, illegal block (8 Yards) to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03
4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Bryce Leighton punt for 45 yds , Ayden Eberhardt returns for 8 yds to the Wyom 35

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Xazavian Valladay run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.89

Trey Smith run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.89

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 22 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Xazavian Valladay

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Sean Chambers run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Xazavian Valladay for a 1ST down MONTANA ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (5 Yards) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.52

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +4.98

Xazavian Valladay run for 2 yds for a TD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Ryan Marquez pass incomplete to Treyton Welch

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Isaiah Ifanse run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35

2nd & 9Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Isaiah Ifanse run for 21 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.42

Isaiah Ifanse run for 21 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaiah Ifanse run for 2 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Matthew McKay run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 35

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Lance McCutcheon

4th & 13Field Goal Good+53 yds

Blake Glessner 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Sean Chambers run for 10 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.85

Sean Chambers pass complete to Alex Brown for 7 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Trey Smith run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Chambers run for 5 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.81

Xazavian Valladay run for 3 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.31

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 31 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Treyton Welch, broken up by Eric Zambrano

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Xazavian Valladay run for 1 yd to the Wyom 35

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Parker Christensen, broken up by Troy Andersen

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 yds

John Hoyland 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Isaiah Ifanse run for 5 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST down WYOMING Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.41

Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 20 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +1.34

Matthew McKay pass complete to Lance McCutcheon for 30 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.39

Matthew McKay pass complete to Treyton Pickering for 1 yd for a TD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69
1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Sean Chambers run for 8 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 2Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.74

Sean Chambers pass complete to Joshua Cobbs for 24 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Sean Chambers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Sean Chambers pass complete to Ayden Eberhardt for 7 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.93

Sean Chambers pass complete to Parker Christensen for 9 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Sean Chambers run for 6 yds to the Wyom 35

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Sean Chambers pass incomplete to Isaiah Neyor

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +6.41

Sean Chambers pass complete to Treyton Welch for 21 yds for a TD (John Hoyland KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MONTANA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 35

1st & 15Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Matthew McKay sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 35

2nd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Matthew McKay pass complete to Coy Steel for 12 yds to the Wyom 35

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.28

Matthew McKay pass complete to Isaiah Ifanse for 20 yds to the Wyom 35 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Montana State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
40%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play

Wyoming

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
46%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
17%
12 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
75%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays