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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
ArmyArmy
21
-Final
14
Air ForceAir Force

House Prediction

Model Margin

Air Force by 10.8

Home Win Probability

Air Force 73%

Market (consensus)

Air Force -2.5

Edge: Air Force -2.5 (8.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
ArmyArmy
00140721
Air ForceAir Force
00311014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-73-1411-1414-14
Air ForceArmy

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20AFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMAFARMARMAFPUNT34ydPUNT38ydPUNT415ydMISS1276ydPUNT612ydPUNT828ydDOWNS1253ydPUNT37ydEND1-1ydTD764ydFG949ydTD279ydTO650ydDOWNS720ydTD766ydPUNT34ydDOWNS531ydPUNT30ydFG1578ydEND31ydTD625ydDOWNS719yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Army and Air Force
StatisticArmyAir Force
Passing8-1313-23
Pass Yards214226
Rush Yards102175
Total Yards316401
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-146-16
Penalties4-304-30
Possession29:0330:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Army
passing
Christian Anderson
7/12, 175 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tyhier Tyler
15 CAR, 39 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tyrell Robinson
2 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Air Force
passing
Haaziq Daniels
13/22, 226 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Brad Roberts
18 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Brandon Lewis
5 REC, 106 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.54

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 27

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Haaziq Daniels run for 7 yds to the AFA 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the AFA 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 47 yds, downed at the Army 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 28

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the Army 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 40 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.00

Brad Roberts run for 11 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 42

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brad Roberts run for no gain to the AFA 42

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 43

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 14

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 10 yds to the Army 24

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 19

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 24

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.29

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 48 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.59

Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 27

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.63

Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the AFA 17

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.12

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the AFA 12

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Anthony Adkins run for 3 yds to the AFA 9

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the AFA 9

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Cole Talley 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Brad Roberts run for 7 yds to the AFA 28

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.04

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brandon Lewis run for no gain to the AFA 32

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carson Bay punt for 49 yds, downed at the Army 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Brandon Walters run for 2 yds to the Army 21

3rd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.44

Christian Anderson run for 9 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 9 yds to the Army 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 4Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.58

Christian Anderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 47

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 53 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Brad Roberts run for 1 yd to the AFA 21

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Haaziq Daniels run for 10 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

DeAndre Hughes run for 10 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 44

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Haaziq Daniels run for 5 yds to the AFA 49

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.45

Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the Army 44

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Haaziq Daniels run for 8 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Army 32

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the Army 27

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.79

Omar Fattah run for no gain to the Army 27

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.21

Haaziq Daniels run for no gain to the Army 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyrell Robinson run for 2 yds to the Army 29

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 28

3rd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 29

4th & 8Penalty+5 yds

HARDING, Zach punt 40 yards to the AFA31 downed by BARNARD, Cade. PENALTY Before the snap, AFA Illegal Motion on SANFORD, Vince enforced 5 yards from the AWP29 to the AWP34. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 35 yds, downed at the AFA 31

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 30

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+31 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 60 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 31 yds to the Army 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Adkins run for 2 yds to the Army 38

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.61

Tyhier Tyler run for 8 yds to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +1.63

Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Tyrell Robinson for 39 yds to the AFA 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the AFA 14

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

A.J. Howard run for 10 yds to the AFA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.05

Braheam Murphy run for a loss of 5 yards to the AFA 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

T. Tyler run for 9 yds for a TD, (C. Talley KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Cole Talley kickoff for 54 yds , Brandon Lewis return for 19 yds to the AFA 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the AFA 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Haaziq Daniels run for 6 yds to the AFA 39

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Omar Fattah run for no gain to the AFA 39

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.03

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the AFA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +1.91

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 36 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Omar Fattah run for 1 yd to the Army 21

2nd & 9Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.91

Haaziq Daniels run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 24

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Army 21

4th & 9Field Goal Good+39 yds

M. Dapore 39 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Matthew Dapore kickoff for 62 yds , Tyrell Robinson return for 18 yds to the Army 21

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 21

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.92

C. Anderson pass,to T. Robinson for 79 yds for a TD, (C. Talley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 32

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Dane Kinamon run for 3 yds to the AFA 35

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.44

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the AFA 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 16 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.83

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 23 yds to the Army 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.35

Dane Kinamon pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Army 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the Army 46

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.15

Anthony Adkins run for 7 yds to the AFA 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the AFA 41

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the AFA 38

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the AFA 36

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.16

Brandon Walters run for 2 yds to the AFA 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 12 yds to the AFA 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.52

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 31 yds to the Army 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Haaziq Daniels run for 9 yds to the Army 14

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.49

Brad Roberts run for 3 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Omar Fattah run for 5 yds to the Army 6

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Haaziq Daniels run for 2 yds to the Army 4

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

H. Daniels pass,to D. Kinamon for 4 yds for a TD, (D. Hughes Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Christian Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Christian Anderson pass complete to Brandon Walters for 10 yds to the Army 34

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Army 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 57 yds, downed at the AFA 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.51

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 22 yds to the AFA 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

AIR FORCE Penalty, False Start (Everett Smalley) to the AFA 31

3rd & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.91

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 14 yds to the AFA 45

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -0.75

run for no gain to the AFA 45 fumbled, recovered by AFA Haaziq Daniels

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the AFA 45

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

ARMY Penalty, False Start (A.J. Howard) to the 50 yard line

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Christian Anderson run for 5 yds to the AFA 45

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Zach Harding punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dane Kinamon at the AFA 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.82

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 17 yds to the AFA 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to DeAndre Hughes for 1 yd to the AFA 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.78

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Dane Kinamon for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to David Cormier for 8 yds to the Army 42

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Omar Fattah run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 43

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.24

Omar Fattah run for 4 yds to the Army 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete pass complete to David Cormier for 9 yds to the Army 39

4th & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.23

Haaziq Daniels run for 13 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.20

Omar Fattah run for 15 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

QB Keeper DANIELS, Haaziq rush to the right for no gain to the AWP11 (MORRISON, Malkelm). PENALTY AFA Chop Block on WIMMER, Hawk enforced 15 yards from the AWP11 to the AWP26 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Haaziq Daniels run for 3 yds to the Army 23

2nd & 22Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Brad Roberts run for 4 yds to the Army 19

3rd & 18Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Brad Roberts run for 6 yds to the Army 13

4th & 12Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matthew Dapore 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)-3 yds

Brice Honaker kickoff for 25 yds , Marquel Broughton return for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Christian Anderson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Christian Anderson pass complete to Cole Caterbone for 7 yds to the Army 44

3rd & 3Sack0 ydsPPA -0.88

Christian Anderson sacked by Johnathan Youngblood for 0 yards to the Army 38

0th & 3End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Brad Roberts run for 2 yds to the Army 23 Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the AFA 23

2nd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.53

Haaziq Daniels sacked by Andre Carter II for 0 yards to the Army 30 Christian Anderson pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.78

Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 19 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down Haaziq Daniels pass complete to Brandon Lewis for 19 yds to the Army 11 for a 1ST down Christian Anderson pass complete to Isaiah Alston for 12 yds to the AFA 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Omar Fattah run for 2 yds to the Army 9 Christian Anderson run for 2 yds to the AFA 9

2nd & 8placeholder+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the AFA 6 Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the AFA 6 Omar Fattah run for 3 yds to the Army 6

3rd & 5Uncategorized+6 yds

Christian Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD Christian Anderson run for 6 yds for a TD Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

Haaziq Daniels pass incomplete

0th & 0Rushing Touchdown+6 yds

Christian Anderson 6 Yd Run (Cole Talley Kick)

Situational Analysis

Army

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
15%
20 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
38%
13 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
29%
7 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays

Air Force

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
12 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
100%
1 play