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← Back to GamesSep 3, 2021Week 1
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Carolina by 2.5

Home Win Probability

Virginia Tech 43%

Market (consensus)

Virginia Tech +5.5

Edge: Virginia Tech +5.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 3, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North CarolinaNorth Carolina
007310
Virginia TechVirginia Tech
770317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40147-014-017-717-10
Virginia TechNorth Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20VTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTNCVTTD875ydPUNT510ydTO1256ydPUNT1052ydTD1280ydPUNT38ydPUNT3-8ydEND543ydPUNT38ydPUNT38ydTO640ydPUNT3-2ydTD661ydFG845ydDOWNS618ydTO10ydTO21ydMISS623ydFG966ydPUNT424ydTO947ydEND4-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Carolina and Virginia Tech
StatisticNorth CarolinaVirginia Tech
Passing17-3312-19
Pass Yards208169
Rush Yards146127
Total Yards354296
Turnovers32
3rd Down2-106-13
Penalties5-442-25
Possession25:0334:57

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Carolina
passing
Sam Howell
17/32, 208 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Ty Chandler
10 CAR, 66 YDS
receiving
Josh Downs
8 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Virginia Tech
passing
Braxton Burmeister
12/19, 169 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jalen Holston
13 CAR, 49 YDS
receiving
Raheem Blackshear
3 REC, 66 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 9 yds to the VTech 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Braxton Burmeister run for 3 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.24

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 33 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jalen Holston run for 4 yds to the NCaro 26

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the NCaro 25

3rd & 5Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.90

Tayvion Robinson run for 16 yds to the NCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Holston run for 5 yds to the NCaro 4

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Braxton Burmeister run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Antoine Green

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 13 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Antoine Green) to the NCaro 33

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Sam Howell run for 2 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Josh Downs

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

4th & 13Punt+29 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 44 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 34 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Obi Egbuna) to the VTech 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to James Mitchell for 5 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.37

Raheem Blackshear run for 11 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the NCaro 44

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Keshawn King run for no gain to the NCaro 44

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.69

Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the NCaro 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the NCaro 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.32

Jalen Holston run for 1 yd to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.50

Jalen Holston run for 8 yds to the NCaro 20

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the NCaro 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Braxton Burmeister run for 7 yds to the NCaro 10

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -4.73

Keshawn King run for 1 yd to the NCaro 9 Keshawn King fumbled, forced by Trey Morrison, recovered by NCaro Ja'Qurious Conley

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.30

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 23 yds to the NCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.19

Ty Chandler run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 30

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.77

Sam Howell run for 14 yds to the NCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.77

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 10 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Ty Chandler run for 9 yds to the VTech 35

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.31

Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Howell sacked by Alan Tisdale for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 30

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the VTech 26

3rd & 7Sack-13 ydsPPA -3.18

Sam Howell sacked by Mario Kendricks for a loss of 13 yards to the VTech 39

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 39 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.86

TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by VTech

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the VTech 17

3rd & 13Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.05

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 18 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.48

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 16 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the NCaro 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the NCaro 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 42

2nd & 14Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.38

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 34 yds to the NCaro 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tre Turner

2nd & 8Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.48

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 11 Raheem Blackshear fumbled, recovered by VTech Raheem Blackshear

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.15

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to James Mitchell for 11 yds for a TD, (John Parker Romo KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Sam Howell sacked by Dax Hollifield and Amare Barno for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 20

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

3rd & 15Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 13 yds to the NCaro 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the VTech 31

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the VTech 31

3rd & 9Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.42

Braxton Burmeister sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 22

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 27

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sam Howell run for 5 yds to the NCaro 32

2nd & 5Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.39

Sam Howell sacked by Amare Barno for a loss of 8 yards to the NCaro 24 Sam Howell fumbled, forced by Amare Barno, recovered by NCaro

3rd & 13Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Sam Howell run for 17 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.98

D.J. Jones run for 29 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Howell sacked by Amare Barno for a loss of 4 yards to the NCaro 21 Sam Howell fumbled, forced by TyJuan Garbutt, recovered by NCaro Sam Howell, return for 0 yards to the NCaro 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Sam Howell pass complete to Antoine Green for 10 yds to the NCaro 31

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ty Chandler run for 2 yds to the NCaro 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Ben Kiernan punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 18

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the VTech 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tre Turner for 5 yds to the VTech 26

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Sam Howell run for 17 yds to the NCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Sam Howell pass complete to D.J. Jones for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Sam Howell run for 12 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Caleb Hood run for 2 yds to the VTech 36

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.49

Sam Howell pass intercepted Jermaine Waller return for no gain to the VTech 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jalen Holston run for 6 yds to the VTech 31

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

Holston, Jalen rush for 6 yards to the VATECH37, PENALTY VATECH holding (Hoffman, Brock) 10 yards to the VATECH21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the VTech 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 39

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the NCaro 40

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Sam Howell run for 3 yds to the NCaro 43

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 5 yds to the NCaro 48

4th & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.68

D.J. Jones run for 9 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 6 yds to the VTech 37

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.06

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 37 yds for a TD, (Grayson Atkins KICK)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Braxton Burmeister run for 18 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Tayvion Robinson run for 9 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jalen Holston run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 15 yds to the NCaro 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.01

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 33

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.71

Braxton Burmeister run for 1 yd to the NCaro 32

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 2 yds to the NCaro 30

4th & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

John Parker Romo 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Khafre Brown

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Ed Montilus) to the NCaro 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.00

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 16 yds to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.70

Sam Howell pass complete to D.J. Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 31

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.60

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 12 yds to the NCaro 43

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.65

Braxton Burmeister pass intercepted Ja'Qurious Conley return for no gain to the NCaro 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the NCaro 31

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.59

Sam Howell pass intercepted Dax Hollifield return for no gain to the NCaro 36

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jalen Holston run for 2 yds to the NCaro 34

2nd & 8Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.85

Braxton Burmeister run for 6 yds to the NCaro 28 for a 1ST down NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Cam'Ron Kelly) to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to Drake DeIuliis for 1 yd to the NCaro 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Tre Turner

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+31 yds

John Parker Romo 31 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.11

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 25 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston

2nd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.57

Ty Chandler run for 23 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the VTech 31

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Howell, Sam pass incomplete to Simmons, Emery, PENALTY VATECH pass interference (Daley, Tae) 15 yards to the VATECH16, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN UNC.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 6 yds to the VTech 10

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

D.J. Jones run for no gain to the VTech 10

3rd & 4Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.81

Sam Howell sacked by TyJuan Garbutt for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 14

4th & 8Field Goal Good+31 yds

Grayson Atkins 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Braxton Burmeister pass complete to James Mitchell for 20 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the NCaro 49

2nd & 4Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.70

Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 49

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Braxton Burmeister pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Peter Moore punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Josh Downs at the NCaro 13

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Ty Chandler run for 12 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ty Chandler run for 4 yds to the NCaro 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Garrett Walston

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Howell pass incomplete to Emery Simmons

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

Howell, Sam pass complete to Green, Antoine for 14 yards to the UNC43, PENALTY UNC ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UNC24, NO PLAY.

4th & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Sam Howell pass complete to Emery Simmons for 18 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ty Chandler run for 6 yds to the NCaro 48

2nd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Sam Howell pass complete to Ty Chandler for 9 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the VTech 40

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.34

Sam Howell pass intercepted Chamarri Conner return for no gain to the VTech 32

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Tre Turner run for 12 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.08

TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 39

2nd & 15Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.72

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 35

3rd & 19Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.18

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 31

Situational Analysis

North Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Virginia Tech

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
57%
28 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
4th