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← Back to GamesOct 9, 2021Week 6
Boise StateBoise State
26
-Final
17
BYUBYU

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 12.8

Home Win Probability

BYU 77%

Market (consensus)

BYU -6

Edge: BYU -6 (6.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 9, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Boise StateBoise State
3173326
BYUBYU
1000717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-310-1710-2317-26
BYUBoise State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BYUBSBYUBSBYUBSBYUBSBSBYUBSBSBYUBSBYUBSBYUBSBYUBSFG1062ydTO35ydTD584ydFG1459ydPUNT610ydPUNT829ydTO515ydTD424ydTD523ydDOWNS48ydEND943ydFG1354ydTO1073ydPUNT34ydDOWNS1459ydPUNT524ydTD470ydFG971ydTO736ydEND57yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Boise State and BYU
StatisticBoise StateBYU
Passing18-2922-37
Pass Yards172302
Rush Yards140111
Total Yards312413
Turnovers04
3rd Down7-164-10
Penalties6-549-75
Possession33:3426:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Boise State
passing
Hank Bachmeier
18/29, 172 YDS
rushing
Cyrus Habibi-Likio
18 CAR, 75 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Khalil Shakir
5 REC, 66 YDS
defense
BYU
passing
Jaren Hall
22/37, 302 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
19 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Gunner Romney
4 REC, 102 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 23 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.06

Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 14 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 8 yds to the BoiSt 16

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for no gain to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 8

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 13

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

4th & 9Field Goal Good+30 yds

Jake Oldroyd 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius Evans

3rd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 1 yd to the BoiSt 30

4th & 5Punt-4 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 50 yds , Hobbs Nyberg returns for a loss of 4 yards to the BYU 16 Hobbs Nyberg fumbled, recovered by BYU

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.97

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 37 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaren Hall pass complete to Chris Jackson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.32

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Davis Koetter for 8 yds to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.03

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for no gain to the BoiSt 29

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.75

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 10 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Hank Bachmeier run for 11 yds to the BYU 46

3rd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.04

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 12 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BYU 31

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 36

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Tyneil Hopper

3rd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 13 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the BYU 23

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for a loss of 1 yard Stefan Cobbs fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Stefan Cobbs

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius Evans

4th & 11Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jonah Dalmas 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Lopini Katoa run for no gain to the BYU 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.30

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for no gain to the BYU 35

4th & 10Punt+8 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 8 yds to the BoiSt 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 7 yds to the BoiSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 43

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.76

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 6 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BYU 45

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BYU 42

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Octavius Evans

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 9

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaren Hall pass complete to Dallin Holker for 6 yds to the BYU 15

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 18

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.41

Neil Pau'u run for 2 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson Nacua

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 24 Tyler Allgeier fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Scott Matlock

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BYU 20

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.19

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 9 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.81

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 7 yds to the BYU 16

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BYU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+11 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the BYU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hank Bachmeier run for no gain to the BYU 2

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Hank Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonah Dalmas KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 41

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 5 yds to the BYU 46

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 6 yds to the BYU 40

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 2 yds to the BYU 38

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Andrew Van Buren run for 3 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 10 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.76

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Octavius Evans for 24 yds to the BYU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Riley Smith

4th & 3Field Goal Good+20 yds

Jonah Dalmas 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Andrew Van Buren run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Andrew Van Buren run for 8 yds to the BYU 45

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Illegal Motion (-5 Yards) to the BYU 46

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 4 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 6 yds to the BYU 36

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.24

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 6 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Cyrus Habibi-Likio for 6 yds to the BYU 24

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Cyrus Habibi-Likio run for 3 yds to the BYU 21

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BYU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyler Crowe run for 1 yd to the BYU 16

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 5 yds to the BYU 11

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+28 yds

Jonah Dalmas 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.74

Puka Nacua run for 16 yds to the BYU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 17 yds to the BYU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.15

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for no gain to the BYU 42

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.03

Tyler Allgeier run for 10 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Jaren Hall sacked by Scott Matlock for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 49

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Lopini Katoa run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Puka Nacua

4th & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.46

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 15 yds to the BoiSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Isaac Rex

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -3.58

Lopini Katoa run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 10 Lopini Katoa fumbled, recovered by BoiSt Alexander Teubner , return for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Andrew Van Buren run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 14

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+2 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 52 yds , Talmage Gunther returns for 2 yds to the BYU 36

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.36

Tyler Allgeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 34

2nd & 12Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.82

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 18 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 16 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 7 yds to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Jaren Hall pass complete to Isaac Rex for 3 yds to the BoiSt 18

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 16

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 16

1st & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 12

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

BYU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 17

2nd & 16Penalty+14 yds

BOISE ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (14 Yards) to the BoiSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BoiSt 3

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 5

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.95

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Neil Pau'u

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Andrew Van Buren run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 6

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 8

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the BoiSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 25

2nd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.71

Hank Bachmeier sacked by Pepe Tanuvasa for a loss of 9 yards to the BoiSt 16

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.25

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyler Eiguren for 13 yds to the BoiSt 29

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Joel Velazquez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Hobbs Nyberg at the BYU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+59 ydsPPA +3.17

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 59 yds to the BoiSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 10 yds to the BoiSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Samson Nacua

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Andrew Van Buren for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41

2nd & 4Penalty+5 yds

BYU Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Andrew Van Buren run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 48

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BYU 46

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 8 yds to the BYU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.63

Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 35 yds to the BYU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Andrew Van Buren run for no gain to the BYU 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Khalil Shakir

4th & 4Field Goal Good+22 yds

Jonah Dalmas 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Gunner Romney

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.70

Jaren Hall pass complete to Neil Pau'u for 19 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.75

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 17 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Tyler Allgeier

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BYU Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 39

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Jaren Hall pass incomplete to Keanu Hill

3rd & 20Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaren Hall pass intercepted Kaonohi Kaniho return for no gain to the BoiSt 11

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Andrew Van Buren run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 17

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyler Crowe run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 20

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.26

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 19

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.10

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 18

Situational Analysis

Boise State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
44%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
29%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
29%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
54%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
1 play
25%
4 plays
0%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play