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← Back to GamesNov 27, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Oregon 70%

Market (consensus)

Oregon -7.5

Edge: Oregon -7.5 (1.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 27, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
3062029
OregonOregon
141001438

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-317-324-324-931-931-1538-2138-29
OregonOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OREOSOREOSOREOSOREOSOSOREOSOREOSOSOREOSORETD975ydPUNT513ydTD796ydFG955ydFG1461ydPUNT412ydTD1370ydTO634ydTD964ydPUNT613ydPUNT617ydTD1085ydTD475ydTD648ydTD975ydTD1275ydEND26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and Oregon
StatisticOregon StateOregon
Passing25-3923-28
Pass Yards308275
Rush Yards85231
Total Yards393506
Turnovers10
3rd Down4-1010-13
Penalties3-3010-52
Possession22:5637:04

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
25/39, 308 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
B.J. Baylor
13 CAR, 59 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Luke Musgrave
7 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oregon
passing
Anthony Brown
23/28, 275 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Travis Dye
20 CAR, 99 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Devon Williams
6 REC, 110 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Anthony Brown run for 12 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 5 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.46

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.27

Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Anthony Brown run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 22

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 20

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.36

Travis Dye 20 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.13

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Trey Lowe run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 48

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 48 yds, downed at the Oregn 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 7

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.44

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 20 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Anthony Brown run for 13 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +5.06

Devon Williams 50 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Oregn 49

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford, broken up by Jackson LaDuke

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.69

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 11 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.43

B.J. Baylor run for 15 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Anthony Gould

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Oregn 20

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

4th & 7Field Goal Good+38 yds

Everett Hayes 38 Yd Field Goal

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 65 yds , Mykael Wright return for 21 yds to the Oregn 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Anthony Brown run for 6 yds to the Oregn 27

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 28

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.32

Seven McGee run for 6 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.03

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 13 yds to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.73

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 18 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris Hutson

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 8 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Travis Dye run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 22

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris Hutson

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Jackson Powers-Johnson) to the OrgSt 27

3rd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.78

Anthony Brown pass complete to Dont'e Thornton for 9 yds to the OrgSt 18

4th & 8Field Goal Good+36 yds

Camden Lewis 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Trevon Bradford run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

4th & 9Punt+16 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 49 yds , Seven McGee returns for 16 yds to the Oregn 30

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 29

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.22

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 14 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the Oregn 47

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.04

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Troy Franklin

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.50

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 10 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Travis Dye run for no gain to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.94

Anthony Brown run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris Hutson, broken up by Jaydon Grant

2nd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for 13 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.51

Anthony Brown 10 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 7 yds to the OrgSt 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 9 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 9 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.76

Chance Nolan pass intercepted, touchback. Trikweze Bridges return for no gain

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Camden Lewis kickoff for 65 yds , Jesiah Irish return for 36 yds to the OrgSt 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.82

B.J. Baylor run for 10 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Trey Lowe run for 7 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.20

Trey Lowe run for 8 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.99

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 27 yds to the Oregn 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

Baylor, B.J. rush for 2 yards to the OREGON3, PENALTY OREGONST holding (Eldridge, Nathan) 10 yards to the OREGON15, NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.62

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 12 yds to the Oregn 3

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Jack Colletto run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.98

Luke Musgrave 4 Yd pass from Chance Nolan (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for no gain to the Oregn 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 5 yds to the Oregn 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.59

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Steven Jones) to the Oregn 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 5 yds to the Oregn 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Anthony Brown pass complete to Troy Franklin for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 38

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Tom Snee punt for 36 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 8 yds to the OrgSt 46 OREGON ST Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the OrgSt 19

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.78

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 27

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.08

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 5 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Champ Flemings, broken up by Verone McKinley III

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Seven McGee at the Oregn 15

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 18

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 24

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.76

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 14 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Alex Forsyth) to the Oregn 37

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 12Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.42

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 12 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.81

Travis Dye run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Anthony Brown run for no gain to the OrgSt 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.28

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 25 yds to the OrgSt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Kris Hutson 7 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 35 yds to the Oregn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (Adrian Jackson) to the Oregn 35

1st & 5Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA -0.25

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 21 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 5 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST down OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Kayvon Thibodeaux) to the Oregn 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

B.J. Baylor 4 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Teagan Quitoriano

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.91

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 15 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.31

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 15 yds to the Oregn 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 3 yds to the Oregn 15

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.70

Trevon Bradford 15 Yd pass from Chance Nolan (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (T.J. Bass) to the Oregn 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 5 yds to the Oregn 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.91

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 20 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.31

Travis Dye run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Malaesala Aumavae-Laulu) to the OrgSt 39

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Byron Cardwell run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 33

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 32

3rd & 8Rush+31 ydsPPA +3.14

Byron Cardwell run for 31 yds to the OrgSt 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Travis Dye 1 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 0Penalty-10 yds

Lewis, Camden kick attempt good, PENALTY OREGON holding (Shults, Cooper) 10 yards to the OREGONST13, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 12 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.01

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 10 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 13 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Nolan, Chance pass complete to Beason, Zeriah for 4 yards to the OREGON30, PENALTY OREGON offside (Thibodeaux, Kayvon) 5 yards to the OREGON29, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trey Lowe

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Joshua Gray) to the Oregn 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.02

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 17 yds to the Oregn 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to B.J. Baylor

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trey Lowe

4th & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.02

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 16 yds to the Oregn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chance Nolan 1 Yd Run (Chance Nolan Pass to Zeriah Beason for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

Nolan, Chance pass attempt failed, PENALTY OREGON holding (Manning, Dontae) 2 yards to the OREGON1, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
52%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
28 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
6 plays
75%
12 plays
80%
5 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play