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← Back to GamesNov 13, 2021Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 15.3

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 85%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State -12.5

Edge: Oregon State -12.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 13, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
StanfordStanford
007714
Oregon StateOregon State
7714735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-728-735-14
Oregon StateStanford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSSTAOSPUNT33ydTD1675ydPUNT721ydMISS1159ydTO32ydPUNT523ydMISS843ydTD1063ydEND11ydTD375ydTD775ydDOWNS48ydTO3-4ydTD1280ydTO49ydTD634ydTD1475ydEND1056yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stanford and Oregon State
StatisticStanfordOregon State
Passing10-2219-25
Pass Yards94257
Rush Yards136218
Total Yards230475
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-1111-16
Penalties7-586-55
Possession23:1336:47

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stanford
passing
Ari Patu
7/14, 51 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Isaiah Sanders
9 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Michael Wilson
5 REC, 50 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
19/25, 257 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
B.J. Baylor
23 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trevon Bradford
3 REC, 80 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 64 yds , Nathaniel Peat return for 36 yds to the Stanf 37

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Stanf 40

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Ari Patu pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Ari Patu pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 47 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 12 yds to the OrgSt 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.50

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 37

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Chance Nolan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.22

run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 1 yd to the OrgSt 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Stanf 48

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.03

Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 12 yds to the Stanf 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Anthony Gould run for 4 yds to the Stanf 23

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.88

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 14 yds to the Stanf 9 for a 1ST down pass incomplete to Teagan Quitoriano for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the Stanf 5

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Tre'Shaun Harrison run for 1 yd to the Stanf 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Chance Nolan run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ari Patu pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 2 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Nathaniel Peat run for 6 yds to the Stanf 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.96

Nathaniel Peat run for 10 yds to the Stanf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Austin Jones run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Ari Patu pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

SANBORN, Ryan punt 37 yards to the OSU12 downed by ARCHER, Bradley. PENALTY Before the snap, STA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the OSU49 to the STA46. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Sanborn punt for 51 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 5

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.50

Chance Nolan pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 10 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.57

Deshaun Fenwick run for 22 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 44

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Chance Nolan pass complete to B.J. Baylor for 13 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for MUSGRAVE, Luke thrown to the STA18. PENALTY OSU Holding on KEOBOUNNAM, Nous enforced 10 yards from the STA38 to the STA48 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.90

Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the Stanf 39

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 6 yds to the Stanf 33

3rd & 5Penalty-10 yds

BAYLOR, B.J. rush to the right for a gain of 33 yards to the STA0, TOUCHDOWN OSU, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY OSU Holding on KIPPER, Brandon enforced 10 yards from the STA33 to the STA43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+56 yds

Everett Hayes 56 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Austin Jones run for 2 yds to the Stanf 40

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Ari Patu pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.51

Ari Patu pass intercepted return for no gain to the OrgSt 33

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36

2nd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.13

Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 16 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

FENWICK, Deshaun rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the STA44 (DICOSMO, Aeneas). PENALTY OSU Holding on HARRISON, Tre'Shaun enforced 10 yards from the STA48 to the OSU42. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the Stanf 49

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 5 yds to the Stanf 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Chance Nolan punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ari Patu run for 2 yds to the Stanf 22

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Ari Patu pass complete to Michael Wilson for 10 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Ari Patu pass complete to Michael Wilson for 15 yds to the Stanf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Isaiah Sanders run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ari Patu pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.67

Austin Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 13Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Ari Patu run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 37

4th & 5Blocked Field Goal0 yds

Joshua Karty 55 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by , return for no gain to the OrgSt 37

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.08

Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Nolan pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for 4 yds to the Stanf 38

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the Stanf 39

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Nolan run for 4 yds to the Stanf 35

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.95

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 6 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Chance Nolan run for 4 yds to the Stanf 25

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Stanf 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.94

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 20 yds to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+8 yds

NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for HARRISON, Tre'Shaun thrown to the STA0. PENALTY STA Pass Interference on WYRICK, Jimmy enforced 8 yards to the STA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jack Colletto 2 Yd Run (Everett Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nathaniel Peat run for 1 yd to the Stanf 26

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 10 yds to the OrgSt 33

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +6.30

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 67 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Ari Patu pass complete to Austin Jones for 8 yds to the Stanf 33

2nd & 2Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Kitan Oladapo) to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.48

Ari Patu run for 21 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ari Patu pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.49

Ari Patu pass complete to Michael Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 17

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Ari Patu pass complete to Michael Wilson for 9 yds to the OrgSt 8

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.98

Ari Patu pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 8 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 34

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 33

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

STANFORD Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 38

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Austin Jones run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 37

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dylan Plautz pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.75

Dylan Plautz pass intercepted return for no gain to the OrgSt 20

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for HARRISON, Tre'Shaun broken up by BONNER, Ethan at the OSU50. PENALTY STA Personal Foul on DAMUNI, Levani enforced 15 yards from the OSU20 to the OSU35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 8 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.70

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.90

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 10 yds to the Stanf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the Stanf 35

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.70

run for 3 yds to the Stanf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the Stanf 24

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.28

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Stanf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Chance Nolan run for 14 yds to the Stanf 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the Stanf 27

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Isaiah Sanders run for 4 yds to the Stanf 31

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.47

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -1.85

Austin Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 34 fumbled, recovered by OrgSt Keonte Schad

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.41

Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 22 yds to the Stanf 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Stanf 8

3rd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Chance Nolan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Stanf 10 for a 1ST down STANFORD Penalty, Personal Foul (Gabe Reid) to the Stanf 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the Stanf 5

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Teagan Quitoriano 5 Yd pass from Chance Nolan (Everett Hayes Kick)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Isaiah Sanders run for 8 yds to the Stanf 33 OREGON ST Penalty, Targeting (15 Yards) to the Stanf 33

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Austin Jones run for 5 yds to the Stanf 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Austin rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the STA43 (FRANKE, Ryan). PENALTY STA Holding on HORNIBROOK, Jake enforced 10 yards from the STA38 to the STA28 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the Stanf 31

3rd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.19

Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Michael Wilson for 17 yds to the Stanf 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.25

Dylan Plautz pass complete to Benjamin Yurosek for 19 yds to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Dylan Plautz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Austin Jones run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 27

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the OrgSt 27

4th & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.49

Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Dylan Plautz pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 7 yds to the OrgSt 15

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.78

Dylan Plautz run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 18

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.11

Nathaniel Peat run for 18 yds for a TD, (Joshua Karty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 27

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Trey Lowe run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.40

Trey Lowe run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.25

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 19 yds to the Stanf 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.51

Deshaun Fenwick run for 13 yds to the Stanf 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Stanf 26

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.36

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the Stanf 18 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Stanford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
37%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
44%
9 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
37%
27 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
86%
7 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays