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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 3.4

Home Win Probability

Washington 40%

Market (consensus)

Washington +7

Edge: Washington +7 (3.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

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Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
OregonOregon
377926
WashingtonWashington
900716

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-39-39-109-1716-2416-26
WashingtonOregon

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OREWASOREWASOREWASOREWASOREWASOREWASOREWASOREWASWASOREWASOREWASOREWASOREWASORETO627ydTD26ydFG747ydPUNT39ydSAF1-1ydPUNT39ydPUNT613ydPUNT37ydPUNT37ydTO318ydPUNT35ydDOWNS727ydTD776ydPUNT522ydPUNT836ydEND1-1ydPUNT38ydTD670ydPUNT36ydPUNT832ydPUNT3-3ydTD222ydTD1175ydPUNT1543ydSAF4-10ydEND530yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon and Washington
StatisticOregonWashington
Passing10-2015-27
Pass Yards98111
Rush Yards32955
Total Yards427166
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-163-12
Penalties8-705-43
Possession36:3323:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon
passing
Anthony Brown
10/20, 98 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Travis Dye
28 CAR, 211 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Devon Williams
2 REC, 32 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Washington
passing
Dylan Morris
15/27, 111 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Sean McGrew
15 CAR, 48 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Cade Otton
4 REC, 30 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Anthony Brown run for 11 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the Oregn 45

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.08

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Wash 48

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+50 ydsPPA -2.53

Anthony Brown pass intercepted Carson Bruener return for 50 yds to the Oregn 6

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the Oregn 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Sean McGrew 1 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the Oregn 34 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominique Hampton) to the Oregn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Byron Cardwell run for 4 yds to the Wash 47

2nd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.33

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down WASHINGTON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Lolohea) to the Wash 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis Dye

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 24

3rd & 7Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Steven Jones) to the Wash 29

3rd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.78

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 1 yd to the Wash 28

4th & 11Field Goal Good+46 yds

Camden Lewis 46 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for no gain to the Wash 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the Wash 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 65 yds, downed at the Oregn 1

1st & 10Safety0 ydsPPA -2.01

Team Safety

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 48

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Oregn 48

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Oregn 46

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 44 yds, downed at the Oregn 2

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 7

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 10

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.41

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Oregn 20

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Dawson Jaramillo) to the Oregn 15

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis Dye

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis Dye

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 42 yds, downed at the Wash 43

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Cameron Davis run for 2 yds to the Wash 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt+8 yds

Race Porter punt for 41 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 8 yds to the Oregn 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Spencer Webb

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.10

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the Oregn 24

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 12 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.64

Dylan Morris pass intercepted Jordan Happle return for no gain to the Oregn 24

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 29

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+21 yds

Tom Snee punt for 43 yds , Giles Jackson returns for 21 yds to the Wash 49

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Devin Culp) to the Wash 44

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 9 yds to the Oregn 47

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Oregn 47

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.35

Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 15 yds to the Oregn 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.88

Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for no gain to the Oregn 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.99

Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 10 yds to the Oregn 23

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.48

Sean McGrew run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.96

Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 22 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Moliki Matavao

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Travis Dye run for 13 yds to the Wash 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Wash 35

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Byron Cardwell run for no gain to the Wash 35

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Byron Cardwell run for 4 yds to the Wash 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Devon Williams 31 Yd pass from Anthony Brown (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 38

2nd & 4Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.45

Sean McGrew run for 14 yds to the Oregn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Oregn 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 2 yds to the Oregn 46

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade Otton

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Oregn 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 15

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Anthony Brown run for 3 yds to the Oregn 18

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Oregn 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Oregn 26

2nd & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)+17 ydsPPA +2.02

Travis Dye run for 17 yds to the Oregn 43 Travis Dye fumbled, forced by Dominique Hampton, recovered by Oregn Jaylon Redd for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Oregn 45

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Oregn 46

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Oregn 49

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Wash 13

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 12

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 27

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.64

Dylan Morris sacked by Jeffrey Bassa for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 24

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 9 yds to the Wash 33

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Race Porter punt for 43 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 6 yds to the Oregn 30

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Travis Dye run for 11 yds to the Oregn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 45

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+45 ydsPPA +2.83

Travis Dye run for 45 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Anthony Brown 2 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cameron Davis run for 6 yds to the Oregn 49

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.23

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for no gain to the Oregn 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Rome Odunze

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

Race Porter punt for 39 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 5 yds to the Oregn 15

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Travis Dye run for 7 yds to the Oregn 22

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Byron Cardwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 25

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 33

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.46

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 42

2nd & 6Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.62

Anthony Brown pass complete to Byron Cardwell for a loss of 4 yards to the Oregn 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Anthony Brown pass complete to Terrance Ferguson for 9 yds to the Oregn 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Giles Jackson at the Wash 7

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 9

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan Morris run for 3 yds to the Wash 12

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

WASHINGTON Penalty, False Start (Ulumoo Ale) to the Wash 7

3rd & 10Penalty-3 yds

WASHINGTON Penalty, Delay of Game (Dylan Morris) to the Wash 4

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade Otton

4th & 13Punt+33 yds

Race Porter punt for 51 yds , Mycah Pittman returns for 33 yds to the Wash 22

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Travis Dye run for 3 yds to the Wash 19

2nd & 7Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.77

Travis Dye 19 Yd Run (Camden Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 7 yds to the Wash 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Dylan Morris pass complete to Cade Otton for 15 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.75

Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 19 yds to the Oregn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Davis, Cameron rush for 1 yard to the OREGON25, PENALTY OREGON offside 5 yards to the OREGON21, NO PLAY.

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Cameron Davis run for 1 yd to the Oregn 20

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Morris, Dylan pass incomplete to Bynum, Terrell, PENALTY OREGON pass interference (Manning, Dontae) 15 yards to the OREGON5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WASHINGTON.

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Davis run for 3 yds to the Oregn 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Sean McGrew 2 Yd Run (Peyton Henry Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (Steven Jones) to the Oregn 24

2nd & 11Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.19

Travis Dye run for 28 yds to the Wash 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 47

1st & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Anthony Brown pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 4 yds to the Wash 49

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Wash 48

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.84

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 13 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Travis Dye run for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 36

2nd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Byron Cardwell run for 10 yds to the Wash 26

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.26

Byron Cardwell run for 1 yd to the Wash 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Wash 20

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Wash 16

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.11

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Wash 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.27

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Wash 9 OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Alex Forsyth) to the Wash 24

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Wash 22

2nd & 18Penalty-15 yds

OREGON Penalty, Personal Foul (Mycah Pittman) to the Wash 37

2nd & 33Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

3rd & 33Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Byron Cardwell run for 5 yds to the Wash 32

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 22 yds, downed at the Wash 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Cade Otton

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Dylan Morris pass incomplete to Jalen McMillan

4th & 10Safety-10 ydsPPA -1.64

TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Byron Cardwell run for 3 yds to the Wash 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.43

Anthony Brown run for 10 yds to the Wash 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Byron Cardwell run for 5 yds to the Wash 13

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Byron Cardwell run for 2 yds to the Wash 11

3rd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Byron Cardwell run for 10 yds to the Wash 1 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
37%
30 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
42%
12 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
35%
17 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play