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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 17.6

Home Win Probability

Arizona 11%

Market (consensus)

Arizona +7

Edge: California -7 (10.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
00303
ArizonaArizona
003710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q407143-03-310-3
ArizonaCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CALARICALARICALARICALARICALARICALARICALARIARICALARICALARICALARICALARICALARICALARIPUNT34ydTO1071ydPUNT621ydPUNT831ydPUNT30ydTO1140ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT519ydPUNT33ydPUNT3-6ydPUNT31ydPUNT614ydPUNT411ydEND25ydPUNT730ydPUNT57ydFG1061ydFG959ydTO3-4ydPUNT422ydPUNT420ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT34ydPUNT428ydTD855ydDOWNS4-2ydEND3-9yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Arizona
StatisticCaliforniaArizona
Passing11-2916-30
Pass Yards94129
Rush Yards28202
Total Yards122331
Turnovers03
3rd Down1-147-19
Penalties7-537-85
Possession24:4935:11

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Ryan Glover
11/29, 94 YDS
rushing
Christopher Brown Jr.
11 CAR, 31 YDS
receiving
Kekoa Crawford
5 REC, 56 YDS
defense
Arizona
passing
Will Plummer
16/28, 129 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Will Plummer
11 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Dorian Singer
5 REC, 46 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Cal 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cal 33

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Damien Moore run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 49 yds, downed at the Ariz 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 5 yds to the Ariz 27

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Will Plummer run for 8 yds to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.27

Tayvian Cunningham run for 30 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Will Plummer run for 17 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cal 15

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Will Plummer pass complete to Anthony Simpson for 8 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Cal 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.12

Will Plummer pass intercepted return for no gain to the Cal 18

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

MOORE, Damien rush to the right for a gain of 7 yards to the CAL25 (TURNER, Jaxen). PENALTY CAL Holding on JOHNSON, Everett enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the CAL18 to the CAL9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.49

Ryan Glover pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 17 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Ryan Glover pass complete to Justin Richard Baker for 13 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Trevon Clark) to the Cal 33

1st & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the Cal 39

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 37 yds, downed at the Ariz 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 7 yds to the Ariz 31

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 2 yds to the Ariz 33

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.11

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 4 yds to the Ariz 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 34

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.57

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 14 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jalen John run for no gain to the Ariz 48

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Will Plummer run for 7 yds to the Cal 45

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the Cal 20

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvian Cunningham at the Ariz 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Will Plummer pass complete to Drake Anderson for 7 yds to the Ariz 44

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.78

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Will Plummer run for 1 yd to the Cal 49

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Drake Anderson run for 10 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.22

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the Cal 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

run for 3 yds to the Cal 23

3rd & 6Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.69

Luke Ashworth pass intercepted return for no gain to the Cal 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Ryan Glover pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 2 yds to the Cal 36

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 8Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Cal 31

4th & 13Punt+54 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 44 yds ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Treydan Stukes) to the Ariz 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 15

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Michael Wiley run for 11 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Michael Wiley run for 3 yds to the Ariz 29

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 34

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Michael Wiley run for no gain to the Ariz 34

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ryan Glover run for no gain to the Cal 8

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Ryan Glover pass complete to Justin Richard Baker for 3 yds to the Cal 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 56 yds, downed at the Ariz 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jamarye Joiner pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.73

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 30

3rd & 13Sack0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamarye Joiner sacked by Ethan Saunders for 0 yards to the Ariz 27

4th & 16Punt+17 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 50 yds , Kekoa Crawford returns for 17 yds to the Cal 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Glover pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 5 yds to the Cal 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

3rd & 5Sack0 ydsPPA -0.79

Ryan Glover sacked by Kyon Barrs for 0 yards to the Cal 41

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 13

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Stanley Berryhill III run for 1 yd to the Ariz 14

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Will Plummer run for no gain to the Ariz 14

3rd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Will Plummer run for 10 yds to the Ariz 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the Ariz 25

2nd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Plummer sacked by Cameron Goode for 0 yards to the Ariz 20

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 15

3rd & 19Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.14

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds to the Ariz 27 ARIZONA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Josh McCauley) declined

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 52 yds , Kekoa Crawford returns for 1 yd to the Cal 22

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.03

Christopher Brooks run for 13 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Cal 38

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (McKade Mettauer) to the Cal 33

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tayvian Cunningham at the Ariz 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 4 yds to the Ariz 28

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Drake Anderson run for 1 yd to the Ariz 29

0th & 6End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Plummer pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 3 yds to the Ariz 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 11 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 8 yds to the Ariz 47

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.07

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 4 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Plummer run for 5 yds to the Cal 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 45

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 37 yds, downed at the Cal 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Cal 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.64

Ryan Glover pass complete to Jake Tonges for 11 yds to the Cal 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Glover sacked by Kyon Barrs for 0 yards to the Cal 15

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 57 yds, downed at the Ariz 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Will Plummer pass complete to Alex Lines for 3 yds to the Ariz 31

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Stanley Berryhill III run for 14 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Drake Anderson run for no gain to the Ariz 45

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

PLUMMER, Will pass to the left incomplete intended for CASTEEL, BJ thrown to the CAL38. PENALTY CAL Pass Interference on YOUNG, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the CAL40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

run for 2 yds to the Cal 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Michael Wiley run for 4 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.23

Will Plummer run for 21 yds to the Cal 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 14

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cal 13

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Stanley Berryhill III run for 2 yds to the Cal 11

4th & 8Field Goal Good+29 yds

Tyler Loop 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.60

Ryan Glover pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 30 yds to the Ariz 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Ryan Glover pass complete to Monroe Young for 3 yds to the Ariz 42

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Ryan Glover run for 6 yds to the Ariz 36

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.62

Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kyon Barrs) to the Ariz 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Ariz 13

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ryan Glover sacked by Jalen Harris and Jerry Roberts for 0 yards to the Ariz 16

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

Nick Lopez 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Direct snap to WILEY, Michael rush to the right for no gain to the ARI25 (PUSKAS, Ryan). PENALTY ARI Holding on LINES, Alex enforced 10 yards from the ARI25 to the ARI15 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for 6 yds to the Ariz 21

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.27

Will Plummer pass intercepted return for no gain to the Cal 27

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jaxen Turner) to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the Ariz 49

3rd & 3Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.41

Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cal 49

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Will Plummer pass complete to Alex Lines for 13 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 5 yds to the Ariz 26

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Will Plummer run for 2 yds to the Ariz 28

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Kekoa Crawford at the Cal 18

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

DeCarlos Brooks run for no gain to the Cal 18

2nd & 10Penalty-20 yds

BROOKS, DeCarlos rush to the right for a gain of 20 yards to the CAL38 (YOUNG, Jaydin). PENALTY CAL Holding on METTAUER, McKade enforced half the distance from the goal, 9 yards from the CAL18 to the CAL9 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Cal 10

3rd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.02

Ryan Glover pass complete to Justin Richard Baker for 1 yd to the Cal 11

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 49 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for no gain to the Ariz 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Plummer run for 2 yds to the Ariz 42

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

run for 2 yds to the Ariz 44

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 55 yds, downed at the Cal 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (Valentino Daltoso) to the Cal 0

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

GLOVER, Ryan pass to the left incomplete intended for CLARK, Trevon thrown to the CAL25. PENALTY ARI Personal Foul enforced 15 yards from the CAL1 to the CAL16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 30

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Ryan Glover pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 7 yds to the Cal 37

3rd & 4Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.99

Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 8 yards to the Cal 29

4th & 12Punt+25 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 51 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 25 yds to the Ariz 45

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Stanley Berryhill III run for 9 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.71

Will Plummer pass complete to Dorian Singer for 19 yds to the Cal 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Clay Markoff run for 4 yds to the Cal 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jalen John run for 1 yd to the Cal 14

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

run for 4 yds to the Cal 10

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.84

M. Wiley run for 10 yds for a TD, (T. Loop KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ryan Glover sacked by Paris Shand and Kyon Barrs for 0 yards to the Cal 23

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

4th & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.32

Ryan Glover pass incomplete

No play data available

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
17 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
34%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
35%
17 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
4th