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← Back to GamesOct 30, 2021Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 4.5

Home Win Probability

California 39%

Market (consensus)

California +2

Edge: Oregon State -2 (2.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 30, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Oregon StateOregon State
0107825
CaliforniaCalifornia
10714839

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-010-317-324-1024-1731-2539-27
CaliforniaOregon State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20OSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSCALOSTO1-3ydTD622ydPUNT31ydPUNT34ydPUNT39ydFG853ydFG1274ydTD975ydTO1035ydPUNT39ydTD772ydEND456ydTD875ydPUNT33ydFG839ydTD770ydPUNT37ydPUNT417ydTD138ydTD675ydTD1175ydTO10ydDOWNS1174ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Oregon State and California
StatisticOregon StateCalifornia
Passing15-2617-26
Pass Yards243262
Rush Yards134255
Total Yards377517
Turnovers30
3rd Down6-1213-19
Penalties5-471-15
Possession26:0133:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
15/26, 243 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Deshaun Fenwick
10 CAR, 48 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trevon Bradford
6 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TD
defense
California
passing
Chase Garbers
17/26, 262 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Damien Moore
11 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trevon Clark
5 REC, 90 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.92

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 22 B.J. Baylor fumbled, forced by Marqez Bimage, recovered by Cal Marqez Bimage

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 18

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 15

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.30

Chase Garbers pass complete to Collin Moore for 5 yds to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 8

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 2

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Chase Garbers run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 3 yds to the OrgSt 42

3rd & 3Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.32

Chance Nolan sacked by Trey Paster for a loss of 6 yards to the OrgSt 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Cal 24

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Champ Flemings

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 4 yds to the OrgSt 34

3rd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the OrgSt 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cal 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Chris Street run for 3 yds to the Cal 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Cal 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.23

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 16 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.59

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 25 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chris Street run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Chris Street run for no gain to the OrgSt 27

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter

4th & 5Field Goal Good+45 yds

Dario Longhetto 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Dario Longhetto kickoff for 64 yds , Champ Flemings return for 33 yds to the CALIFORNIA 32 OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the OrgSt 15

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.75

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 35

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.24

Chance Nolan run for 13 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +0.75

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 28 yds to the Cal 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the Cal 9

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the Cal 11

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

4th & 7Field Goal Good+29 yds

Everett Hayes 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the Cal 29

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Cal 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.05

Chase Garbers run for 22 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

2nd & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.11

Damien Moore run for 20 yds to the OrgSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Damien Moore run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 8

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.25

Damien Moore run for 8 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Zeriah Beason

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 9 yds to the OrgSt 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.09

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Jack Colletto run for 4 yds to the Cal 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Champ Flemings run for 11 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tyjon Lindsey

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Baylor,B.J. rush for 5 yards gain to the CAL30 (Scott,Daniel) PENALTY OSU Holding offsetting CAL Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Cal 34

3rd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -2.63

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 8 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Cal 33

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.71

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 10 yds to the Cal 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Luke Musgrave

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 6 yds to the Cal 43

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds to the Cal 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 32 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the Cal 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 6 yds to the Cal 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.15

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 41 yds to the OrgSt 19 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Cal 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien Moore

3rd & 9Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.07

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 22 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 2 yds to the Cal 46

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 6 yds to the OrgSt 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 7 yds to the OrgSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.52

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 38 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Tre'Shaun Harrison

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 4 yds to the Cal 35

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Garbers run for 4 yds to the Cal 39

3rd & 2Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.48

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 17 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.54

Chase Garbers pass complete to Marcel Dancy for 12 yds to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the OrgSt 30

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Dario Longhetto 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.88

Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 40 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Trevon Bradford run for 5 yds to the Cal 21

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.19

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Cal 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Cal 15

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Trey Lowe run for 11 yds to the Cal 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 15 yds to the OrgSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Champ Flemings

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chance Nolan pass incomplete to Trevon Bradford

4th & 8Blocked Punt+1 yds

Luke Loecher punt blocked by Nick Alftin, punt out-of-bounds at the OrgSt 38 blocked by Nick Alftin

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 38 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Deshaun Fenwick run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.23

B.J. Baylor run for 11 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Nolan,Chance pass incomplete to Lindsey,Tyjon PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (Lindsey,Tyjon) 15 yards from CAL44 to OSU41. NO PLAY.

1st & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 6 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 19Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.61

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 17 yds to the Cal 36

3rd & 2Penalty-10 yds

Colletto,Jack rush for 24 yards gain to the CAL12 (Hicks,Elijah) PENALTY OSU Holding (Musgrave,Luke) 10 yards from CAL36 to CAL46. NO PLAY.

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.86

Trevon Bradford 46 Yd pass from Chance Nolan (Chance Nolan Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Christopher Brooks run for 5 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.51

Chase Garbers run for 6 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Chase Garbers pass complete to Monroe Young for 17 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Chase Garbers run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.56

Chase Garbers run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +0.42

Christopher Brooks run for 14 yds to the OrgSt 20 for a 1ST down OREGON ST Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rejzohn Wright) to the OrgSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 7

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 2

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.54

Christopher Brooks 2 Yd pass from Chase Garbers (Christopher Brooks Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Penalty+2 yds

Garbers,Chase pass attempt Failed PENALTY OSU Holding (Grant,Jaydon) 2 yards from OSU03 to OSU01. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Dario Longhetto kickoff for 63 yds , Champ Flemings return for 18 yds to the OrgSt 20

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chance Nolan pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Damien Moore) to the Cal 20

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Cal 26

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Damien Moore run for no gain to the Cal 26

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the Cal 37

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Cal 38

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.86

Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+56 ydsPPA +3.53

Damien Moore run for 56 yds for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 2

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

run for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 4

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcel Dancy run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 6

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.87

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.33

run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 5

Situational Analysis

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
38%
26 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
56%
9 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
38%
29 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
64%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
82%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play