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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Utah by 1

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 53%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State +3

Edge: Oregon State +3 (2.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
UtahUtah
14107334
Oregon StateOregon State
7721742

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-147-1714-1721-2428-2435-3142-3142-34
Oregon StateUtah

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20UTAOSUTAOSUTAOSUTAOSUTAOSUTAOSUTAUTAOSUTAOSUTAOSUTAOSTD675ydPUNT3-9ydTD538ydTD1275ydFG1764ydTD375ydDOWNS974ydTO518ydTD419ydPUNT415ydEND1-2ydTD1075ydTD612ydTD675ydTD576ydMISS1141ydTD766ydDOWNS1073ydDOWNS763ydFG550ydEND49yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Utah and Oregon State
StatisticUtahOregon State
Passing22-3614-19
Pass Yards267208
Rush Yards188260
Total Yards455468
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-157-11
Penalties4-3511-114
Possession32:2527:35

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Utah
passing
Cameron Rising
22/36, 267 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tavion Thomas
21 CAR, 74 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Devaughn Vele
3 REC, 69 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
14/19, 208 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
B.J. Baylor
19 CAR, 152 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Trevon Bradford
6 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Avery Roberts
1 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Britain Covey run for 5 yds to the Utah 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the Utah 31

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

RISING, Cameron pass to the left incomplete intended for KUITHE, Brant thrown to the UTA48. PENALTY OSU Pass Interference on OLADAPO, Kitan enforced 15 yards to the UTA46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Utah 41

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Cameron Rising run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.29

TJ Pledger run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+9 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Face mask (9 yards) (Jaydon Grant) to the OrgSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 14 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 9

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.05

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 12

3rd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 1

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 14 yds to the OrgSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 20

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the OrgSt 15

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 11 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for a loss of 2 yards to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 14 yds to the OrgSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Deshaun Fenwick run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 46

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 41

3rd & 6Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.55

Trey Lowe run for 11 yds to the Utah 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Utah 32

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Deshaun Fenwick run for 2 yds to the Utah 30

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.78

Trey Lowe run for 4 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the Utah 19

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.16

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the Utah 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Anthony Gould run for 14 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 4 yds to the Utah 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

TJ Pledger run for 3 yds to the Utah 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.61

Cameron Rising pass complete to Theo Howard for 7 yds to the Utah 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cameron Rising pass complete to Micah Bernard for 5 yds to the Utah 44

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.70

Tavion Thomas run for 2 yds to the Utah 46

3rd & 3Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.30

Tavion Thomas run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Cameron Rising run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 8 yds to the OrgSt 19

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 12

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Cameron Rising run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 11

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Jordan Noyes 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jesiah Irish run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+68 ydsPPA +4.81

B.J. Baylor run for 68 yds to the Utah 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Chance Nolan pass complete to Jack Colletto for 1 yd for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Utah 22

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

3rd & 13Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.78

Cameron Rising run for 21 yds to the Utah 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +2.10

Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 41 yds to the OrgSt 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tavion Thomas run for 6 yds to the OrgSt 2

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -4.15

Cameron Rising pass complete to Brant Kuithe for 1 yd to the OrgSt 1

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 9

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 10

2nd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.15

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 15 yds to the OrgSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 16

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.69

Tavion Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 19

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.95

Cameron Rising run for 16 yds to the OrgSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Tavion Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Chance Nolan run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 4 yds to the OrgSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 55 yds, downed at the Utah 5

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.88

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 36 yds to the Utah 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Trevon Bradford run for 10 yds to the Utah 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 9 yds to the Utah 7

2nd & 1Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.83

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds OREGON ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tre'Shaun Harrison) to the Utah 12

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Utah 11

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 11 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Tavion Thomas run for 5 yds to the Utah 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 1 yd to the Utah 31

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Cameron Rising pass complete to Cole Fotheringham for 6 yds to the Utah 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.76

Brant Kuithe run for a loss of 5 yards to the Utah 32

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Cameron Rising pass complete to TJ Pledger for 5 yds to the Utah 37

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Luke Musgrave blocked by Luke Musgrave for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Targeting on GRANT, Jaydon enforced (Jaydon Grant) to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41

2nd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Cameron Rising pass complete to Devaughn Vele for 10 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.63

Cameron Rising pass complete to Jaylen Dixon for 29 yds to the OrgSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd for a TD (Jordan Noyes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.68

Trey Lowe run for 38 yds to the Utah 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NOLAN, Chance pass to the left incomplete intended for BRADFORD, Trevon thrown to the UTA11 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY UTA Targeting on LLOYD, Devin enforced 15 yards from the UTA31 to the UTA16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the Utah 10

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.39

Trevon Bradford run for 10 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tavion Thomas run for 7 yds to the Utah 32

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Tavion Thomas run for 4 yds to the Utah 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Alexander Skelton) to the OrgSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Tavion Thomas run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 45

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

TJ Pledger run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 41

3rd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.66

Cameron Rising run for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 44

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Cameron Rising run for no gain to the OrgSt 24

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper RISING, Cameron rush to the right for a gain of 13 yards to the OSU11 (JONES, Elijah). PENALTY UTA Holding on DANIELS, Braeden enforced 10 yards from the OSU24 to the OSU34 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

4th & 20Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Jordan Noyes 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Anthony Gould run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.41

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trey Lowe for 11 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +0.87

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 32 yds to the Utah 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Cameron Rising pass complete to Solomon Enis for 15 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 15 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

Cameron Rising run for 11 yds to the OrgSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Micah Bernard run for 13 yds to the OrgSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 9 yds to the OrgSt 12

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Cameron Rising pass complete to Britain Covey for 7 yds to the OrgSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Micah Bernard run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 2

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Cameron Rising run for no gain to the OrgSt 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.23

B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the OrgSt 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +4.05

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 54 yds to the Utah 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Musgrave) to the Utah 45

1st & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Utah 44

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Utah 41

3rd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 6 yds to the Utah 35

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.00

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +2.60

Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 43 yds to the OrgSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

UTAH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 27

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Cameron Rising pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Cameron Rising pass complete to Dalton Kincaid for 12 yds to the OrgSt 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jordan Noyes 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.57

B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the Utah 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Utah

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
55%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
56%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play