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← Back to GamesOct 23, 2021Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

California by 7.9

Home Win Probability

California 72%

Market (consensus)

California -8.5

Edge: Colorado +8.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 23, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ColoradoColorado
03003
CaliforniaCalifornia
10130326

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-013-020-323-326-3
CaliforniaColorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLCALCOLPUNT523ydFG853ydDOWNS625ydTD350ydPUNT924ydFG1468ydFG618ydTD666ydPUNT611ydFG750ydPUNT616ydPUNT415ydPUNT938ydPUNT34ydPUNT46ydTO10ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-15ydFG1157ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-12ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Colorado and California
StatisticColoradoCalifornia
Passing9-1822-30
Pass Yards69225
Rush Yards35213
Total Yards104438
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-126-15
Penalties2-157-75
Possession21:3038:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Colorado
passing
Brendon Lewis
9/17, 69 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jarek Broussard
11 CAR, 28 YDS
receiving
Jarek Broussard
3 REC, 30 YDS
defense
California
passing
Chase Garbers
22/29, 225 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Chase Garbers
10 CAR, 96 YDS
receiving
Keleki Latu
3 REC, 36 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Elijah Hicks
2.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Brenden Rice

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Brendon Lewis run for 14 yds to the Colo 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Chase Penry

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 2 yds to the Colo 37

3rd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.85

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 11 yds to the Colo 48

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 16

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.57

Damien Moore run for 10 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Damien Moore run for 4 yds to the Cal 30

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

3rd & 6Rush+38 ydsPPA +3.94

Chase Garbers run for 38 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the Colo 31

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Colo 31

4th & 9Field Goal Good+49 yds

Dario Longhetto 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 28

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.81

Jarek Broussard run for 14 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Jarek Broussard

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 42

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Brendon Lewis run for 9 yds to the Cal 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 8 yds to the Colo 42

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Christopher Brooks run for 18 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +2.68

Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 24 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Brenden Rice

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.00

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 21 yds to the Colo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the Cal 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Cal 43

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.81

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Cal 42

2nd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.65

Brendon Lewis sacked by Cameron Goode for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 45

3rd & 14Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.15

Brendon Lewis sacked by Darius Long for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 49

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Brooks,Christopher rush for 8 yards gain to the CAL28 (Perry,Quinn), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Holding (Moore,Collin) 10 yards from CAL20 to CAL10. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the Cal 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.65

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 15 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.59

Chase Garbers run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Chris Street run for 2 yds to the Colo 45

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.79

Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.78

Christopher Brooks run for no gain to the Colo 38

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Colo 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 5 yds to the Colo 32

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.01

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 15 yds to the Colo 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Chase Garbers run for 3 yds to the Colo 14

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Nikko Remigio run for 2 yds to the Colo 12

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Marcel Dancy

4th & 5Field Goal Good+30 yds

Dario Longhetto 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 5 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 8Penalty+10 yds

Lewis,Brendon pass incomplete to Russell,Brady PENALTY CAL Holding (Hearns III,Lu-Magia) 10 yards from CAL31 to CAL21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Cal 17

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Cal 13

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.17

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Cal 15

4th & 4Field Goal Good+33 yds

Cole Becker 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 3 yds to the Cal 39

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.72

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 15 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Chase Garbers run for 9 yds to the Colo 37

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.28

Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 31 yds for a TD (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 6 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the Colo 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 8 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 2Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.71

Brendon Lewis sacked by Elijah Hicks for a loss of 8 yards to the Colo 36

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Chase Penry

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 45 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for no gain to the Cal 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 12 yds to the Cal 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 7 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 7 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chase Garbers run for 5 yds to the Cal 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.45

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 19 yds to the Colo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+51 yds

Dario Longhetto 51 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Chris Street run for no gain to the Cal 26

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 11 yds to the Cal 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.98

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 1 yd to the Cal 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Chase Penry at the Colo 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.06

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 13 yds to the Colo 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Alex Fontenot run for 4 yds to the Colo 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Daniel Arias

3rd & 6Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Brendon Lewis sacked by JH Tevis for a loss of 2 yards to the Colo 38

4th & 8Punt+17 yds

Josh Watts punt for 57 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 17 yds to the Cal 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.84

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 11 yds to the Cal 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 7 yds to the Cal 40

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Chase Garbers run for 11 yds to the Colo 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Christopher Brooks run for 8 yds to the Colo 41

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Colo 40

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.70

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Moore,Damien rush for 4 yards gain to the COL34 (Wray,Max) PENALTY CAL Holding (Mettauer,McKade) 10 yards from COL38 to COL48. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 3 yds to the Cal 49

2nd & 23Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.13

Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 11 yds to the Colo 40

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Keleki Latu

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the Colo 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 5 yds to the Colo 24

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete to Chris Carpenter

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.81

Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the Cal 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Christopher Brooks run for 1 yd to the Cal 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 5 yds to the Cal 40

3rd & 4Penalty-15 yds

Garbers,Chase pass complete to Moore,Collin for 26 yards to the COL34, End Of Play PENALTY CAL Pass Interference (Moore,Collin) 15 yards from CAL40 to CAL25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 19Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 5 yds to the Cal 30

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 33

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.57

Brendon Lewis pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 48

2nd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Chase Garbers sacked by Mustafa Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 44

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Chase Garbers pass complete to Keleki Latu for 7 yds to the Colo 49

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CAL False Start (Jerningan,Myles) 5 yards from COL49 to CAL46. NO PLAY.

4th & 9Punt+17 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CALIFORNIA 22 CALIFORNIA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Slater Zellers) to the Colo 37

4th & 9Punt+17 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CALIFORNIA 22 CALIFORNIA Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Slater Zellers) to the Colo 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 2 yds to the Colo 39

2nd & 8Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.54

Brendon Lewis sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Colo 29

3rd & 18Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.14

Brendon Lewis sacked by Orin Patu for a loss of 7 yards to the Colo 22

4th & 25Punt+7 yds

Josh Watts punt for 57 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 7 yds to the Cal 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Chris Street run for 1 yd to the Cal 29

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 31

3rd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.88

Chase Garbers run for 7 yds to the Cal 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.07

Chris Street run for 18 yds to the Colo 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Chris Street run for 3 yds to the Colo 31

2nd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jermaine Terry II for 11 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Colo 17

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

Longhetto,Dario field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD block by Gonzalez,Christian, clock 05:01 recovered by COL Perry,Mark at COL30 Perry,Mark return 70 yards to the CAL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 05:01 PENALTY COL Offside (Gonzalez,Christian) 5 yards from COL20 to COL15. NO PLAY.

4th & 5Field Goal Good+33 yds

Dario Longhetto 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 24

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

Smith,Deion rush for 3 yards gain to the COL27 (Woodie III,Raymond), out of bounds PENALTY COL Holding (Pell,Alec) 10 yards from COL24 to COL14. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Deion Smith run for 6 yds to the Colo 20

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Drew Carter pass incomplete to Daniel Arias

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nikko Remigio at the Cal 36

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Dancy,Marcel rush for 21 yards gain to the COL43 (Woods,Trevor), out of bounds PENALTY CAL Holding (Mojarro,Elijah) 10 yards from CAL36 to CAL26. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Marcel Dancy run for 2 yds to the Cal 28

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.16

Marcel Dancy run for 1 yd to the Cal 27

3rd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

Marcel Dancy run for 3 yds to the Cal 24

4th & 22Punt+16 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Colo 49 , Chase Penry returns for 16 yds to the Colo 49

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 49

Situational Analysis

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
22%
18 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
55%
29 plays
33%
3 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
18%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play