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← Back to GamesOct 16, 2021Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon by 16.6

Home Win Probability

Oregon 82%

Market (consensus)

Oregon -13.5

Edge: Oregon -13.5 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 16, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
CaliforniaCalifornia
703717
OregonOregon
3701424

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-710-710-1010-1717-1724-17
OregonCalifornia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ORECALORECALORECALORECALORECALCALORECALORECALORECALORECALOREFG739ydTD1375ydDOWNS854ydDOWNS937ydTO756ydPUNT39ydTD767ydPUNT513ydTO1043ydEND316ydPUNT623ydPUNT36ydFG852ydPUNT822ydTD1180ydTD562ydPUNT57ydTD770ydDOWNS1873ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing California and Oregon
StatisticCaliforniaOregon
Passing25-4520-28
Pass Yards247244
Rush Yards155210
Total Yards402454
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-165-11
Penalties10-779-82
Possession32:1027:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

California
passing
Chase Garbers
25/44, 247 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Christopher Brown Jr.
14 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Jeremiah Hunter
3 REC, 78 YDS
defense
Oregon
passing
Anthony Brown
20/28, 244 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Travis Dye
19 CAR, 145 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Travis Dye
7 REC, 73 YDS
defense
Noah Sewell
1.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.08

Travis Dye run for 23 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Cal 35

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.23

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

Brown, Anthony pass complete to Redd, Jaylon for 15 yards to the CALIFORNIA12, PENALTY OREGON personal foul off-setting, PENALTY CALIFORNIA Personal Foul off-setting, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OREGON.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Cal 21

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cal 31

2nd & 14Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for no gain to the Cal 31

2nd & 20Field Goal Good+49 yds

Camden Lewis 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 10 yds to the Cal 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Damien Moore run for 8 yds to the Cal 43

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Damien Moore run for 5 yds to the Cal 48

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien Moore

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.20

Damien Moore run for 9 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 7 yds to the Oregn 36

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.97

Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the Oregn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 10 yds to the Oregn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 6 yds to the Oregn 14

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Oregn 11

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.15

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jake Tonges 9 Yd pass from Chase Garbers (Dario Longhetto Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 17 yds to the Oregn 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Anthony Brown pass complete to Moliki Matavao for 7 yds to the Oregn 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Travis Dye

3rd & 3Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.94

Travis Dye run for 24 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Anthony Brown run for 4 yds to the Cal 32

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Cal 32

4th & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -2.16

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 2 yds to the Cal 30

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Cal 35

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.52

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Chase Garbers pass complete to Collin Moore for 10 yds to the Cal 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for no gain to the Cal 48

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.14

Chase Garbers run for 16 yds to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Garbers run for no gain to the Oregn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Christopher Brooks run for 6 yds to the Oregn 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

4th & 4Sack-3 ydsPPA -2.60

Chase Garbers sacked by Noah Sewell for a loss of 3 yards to the Oregn 33

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

OREGON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the Oregn 18

1st & 25Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.84

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 15 yds to the Oregn 33

2nd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.97

Anthony Brown pass complete to Johnny Johnson III for 23 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Cal 38

2nd & 4Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Travis Dye run for 11 yds to the Cal 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Cal 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Cal 27

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Mycah Pittman

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 6 yds to the Cal 21

3rd & 14Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+10 ydsPPA -3.16

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 10 yds Kris Hutson fumbled, recovered by Cal Trey Paster

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 13

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Cal 15

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Cal 10

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.19

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 10 yds to the Cal 20

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the Oregn 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Anthony Brown run for 2 yds to the Oregn 35

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.33

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 21 yds to the Cal 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Travis Dye run for 5 yds to the Cal 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.70

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 19 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Anthony Brown run for 9 yds to the Cal 11

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +1.99

T. Dye run for 11 yds for a TD, (C. Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Garbers pass complete to Nikko Remigio for 5 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.94

Damien Moore run for 6 yds to the Cal 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Damien Moore run for a loss of 3 yards to the Cal 39

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 5 yds to the Cal 44

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the Oregn 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 17

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 25

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.64

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Anthony Brown pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Travis Dye run for 8 yds to the Oregn 35

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Anthony Brown pass complete to Kris Hutson for 20 yds to the Cal 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.75

Anthony Brown sacked by Ethan Saunders for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 45

2nd & 14Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.15

Anthony Brown pass complete to Devon Williams for 10 yds to the Cal 35

3rd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.27

Anthony Brown sacked by Ethan Saunders for a loss of 6 yards to the Cal 41 Anthony Brown fumbled, recovered by Cal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +3.23

Marcel Dancy run for 16 yds to the Oregn 43 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Damien Moore run for 2 yds to the Cal 9

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Cal 12

3rd & 5Penalty-6 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Personal Foul (-6 Yards) to the Cal 6

3rd & 11Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.64

Chase Garbers pass complete to Trevon Clark for 24 yds to the Cal 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Damien Moore

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

4th & 10Punt+58 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the OREGON 23 OREGON Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (11 Yards) to the Oregn 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Oregn 16

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Oregn 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

4th & 4Punt+38 yds

Tom Snee punt for 51 yds , Nikko Remigio returns for 0 yds to the CALIFORNIA 31 CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Cal 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.24

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 26 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Christopher Brooks run for 4 yds to the Oregn 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Christopher Brooks run for 3 yds to the Oregn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 22 yds to the Oregn 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 34

1st & 20Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the Oregn 27

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Chase Garbers pass incomplete

4th & 13Field Goal Good+45 yds

Dario Longhetto 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Anthony Brown pass complete to Spencer Webb for 3 yds to the Oregn 29

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.26

Anthony Brown run for 8 yds to the Oregn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Anthony Brown run for 1 yd to the Oregn 38

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Kris Hutson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.57

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 9 yds to the Oregn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Travis Dye run for 1 yd to the Oregn 48

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

OREGON Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 43

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Brown pass incomplete to Jaylon Redd

3rd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 5 yds to the Oregn 48

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tom Snee punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Christopher Brooks run for 7 yds to the Cal 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.57

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 31 yds to the Oregn 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 7 yds to the Oregn 35

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Chase Garbers run for 10 yds to the Oregn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for 9 yds to the Oregn 16

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Damien Moore run for no gain to the Oregn 16

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Oregn 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Christopher Brooks run for 2 yds to the Oregn 13

2nd & 8Penalty-5 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Oregn 18

2nd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.88

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jake Tonges for 16 yds to the Oregn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Christopher Brooks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Oregn 4

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.33

Chase Garbers pass complete to Gavin Reinwald for 4 yds for a TD, (Dario Longhetto KICK)

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.60

Travis Dye run for 19 yds to the Cal 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Anthony Brown run for 12 yds to the Cal 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the Cal 25

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Anthony Brown run for 5 yds to the Cal 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Anthony Brown pass complete to Jaylon Redd for 20 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Chase Garbers pass complete to Damien Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the Cal 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 12 yds to the Cal 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Cal 26

1st & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.68

Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the Cal 36

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Garbers sacked by Kayvon Thibodeaux for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 32

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Jamieson Sheahan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mycah Pittman at the Oregn 30

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Travis Dye run for 9 yds to the Oregn 39

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.06

Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the Oregn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 35

1st & 20Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +3.71

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for 39 yds to the Cal 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Byron Cardwell run for 7 yds to the Cal 19

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.19

Byron Cardwell run for 12 yds to the Cal 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Brown pass complete to Travis Dye for a loss of 4 yards to the Cal 11

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.86

Anthony Brown run for 11 yds for a TD, (Camden Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Damien Moore run for 1 yd to the Cal 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.57

Chase Garbers pass complete to Jeremiah Hunter for 21 yds to the Cal 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 1 yd to the Cal 48

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jeremiah Hunter

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Garbers pass complete to Christopher Brooks for 4 yds to the Oregn 48

4th & 5Penalty+10 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Oregn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

CALIFORNIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Oregn 48

1st & 20Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Christopher Brooks run for 11 yds to the Oregn 37

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Christopher Brooks run for 10 yds to the Oregn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Damien Moore run for 3 yds to the Oregn 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Kekoa Crawford

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.89

Chase Garbers run for 10 yds to the Oregn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+7 yds

OREGON Penalty, Defensive Holding (7 Yards) to the Oregn 7

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Garbers run for a loss of 1 yard to the Oregn 8

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Jake Tonges

4th & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.62

Chase Garbers pass complete to Kekoa Crawford for 5 yds to the Oregn 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

TEAM pass incomplete

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Nikko Remigio

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Chase Garbers run for 1 yd to the Oregn 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Chase Garbers pass incomplete to Trevon Clark

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Anthony Brown run for no gain to the Oregn 2

Situational Analysis

California

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
50%
26 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
50%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
30%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Oregon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
26 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
75%
4 plays
83%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play