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← Back to GamesOct 2, 2021Week 5
USCUSC
37
-Final
14
ColoradoColorado
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

USC by 3

Home Win Probability

Colorado 39%

Market (consensus)

Colorado +9

Edge: Colorado +9 (6.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 2, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
USCUSC
101010737
ColoradoColorado
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-100-170-207-207-2314-3014-37
ColoradoUSC

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20USCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCCOLUSCPUNT32ydPUNT51ydFG1470ydUncategorized31ydTD564ydPUNT516ydTD585ydPUNT32ydFG545ydPUNT35ydTO220ydTD648ydEND39ydTO624ydFG4-2ydDOWNS533ydTD458ydTD475ydPUNT524ydTO49ydTD535ydPUNT624ydPUNT3-9ydPUNT510ydEND933yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing USC and Colorado
StatisticUSCColorado
Passing19-2910-17
Pass Yards276162
Rush Yards21880
Total Yards494242
Turnovers12
3rd Down5-121-10
Penalties12-1257-79
Possession31:2428:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

USC
passing
Kedon Slovis
19/29, 276 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Keaontay Ingram
14 CAR, 124 YDS
receiving
Drake London
9 REC, 130 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colorado
passing
Brendon Lewis
10/17, 162 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jarek Broussard
16 CAR, 68 YDS
receiving
Brady Russell
3 REC, 87 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Trigg for 5 yds to the USC 30

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.03

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 3 yards to the USC 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 44 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 7 yds to the Colo 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 9 yds to the Colo 35

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.76

Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 36

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brendon Lewis sacked by Drake Jackson for 0 yards to the Colo 27

4th & 20Punt+9 yds

Josh Watts punt for 55 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 9 yds to the USC 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 6 yds to the USC 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.97

Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Keaontay Ingram run for 7 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.14

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 31 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 7 yds to the Colo 13

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 15 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

USC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Michael Trigg) to the USC 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Vavae Malepeai for 3 yds to the USC 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.64

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 10 yds to the USC 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 49

4th & 3Field Goal Good+30 yds

Parker Lewis 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 28

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brendon Lewis sacked by Jacob Lichtenstein for 0 yards to the Colo 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 9Penalty0 yds

WATTS, Josh punt 56 yards to the USC18, BRYANT JR., Gary return 13 yards to the USC31, out of bounds. PENALTY USC Holding on NIXON, K.D. enforced 0 yards COL Unsportsmanlike Conduct on PITTMAN, Toren enforced 0 yards after the change of possession from the end of the play at the USC31 to the USC31 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.17

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 29 yds to the Colo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.37

Darwin Barlow run for 16 yds to the Colo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

QB Keeper SLOVIS, Kedon rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the COL18, End of Play. PENALTY USC Holding on FORD, Courtland enforced 10 yards from the COL19 to the COL29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.54

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 28 yds to the Colo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Colo 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Daniel Arias for 18 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 47

2nd & 9Penalty-10 yds

LEWIS, Brendon scrambles to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the COL49 (JOHNSON, Greg). PENALTY COL Holding on FILLIP, Frank enforced 10 yards from the COL47 to the COL37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Brendon Lewis run for no gain to the Colo 37

3rd & 19Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 9 yds to the Colo 46

4th & 10Penalty-5 yds

WATTS, Josh punt 41 yards to the USC13, fair catch by BRYANT JR., Gary. PENALTY Before the snap, COL Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the COL46 to the COL41. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 44 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for no gain to the USC 15

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.54

Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the USC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Keaontay Ingram run for 13 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Keaontay Ingram run for 11 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 5 yds to the Colo 46

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +3.82

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Michael Trigg for 46 yds for a TD, (Parker Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Alex Fontenot run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 19

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Alex Fontenot run for 8 yds to the Colo 27

4th & 8Punt+7 yds

Josh Watts punt for 52 yds , K.D. Nixon returns for 7 yds to the USC 28

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

SLOVIS, Kedon pass to the left incomplete intended for WASHINGTON, Tahj thrown to the COL44. PENALTY COL Pass Interference on GONZALEZ, Christian enforced 15 yards to the USC43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.62

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 26 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.70

Vavae Malepeai run for 9 yds to the Colo 22

2nd & 1Penalty-15 yds

SLOVIS, Kedon pass to the left complete for 20 yards to TRIGG, Michael caught at the COL5 and advanced to the COL2 (LEWIS, Isaiah). PENALTY USC Pass Interference on TRIGG, Michael enforced 15 yards to the COL37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 8 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Vavae Malepeai run for 7 yds to the Colo 22

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Courtland Ford) to the Colo 27

4th & 6Field Goal Good+44 yds

Parker Lewis 44 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Alex Fontenot run for 2 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Brendon Lewis run for 1 yd to the Colo 30

4th & 5Punt+6 yds

Josh Watts punt for 48 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 6 yds to the USC 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the USC 31

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.18

Keaontay Ingram run for 17 yds to the USC 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the USC 41

2nd & 3Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.48

Jarek Broussard run for 19 yds to the USC 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the USC 19

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 13 yds to the USC 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Alex Fontenot run for 5 yds to the USC 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Deion Smith 1 Yd Run (Cole Becker Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Darwin Barlow run for 8 yds to the USC 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Darwin Barlow run for 1 yd to the USC 34

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Parker Lewis kickoff for 64 yds , Brenden Rice return for 15 yds to the Colo 16

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Jarek Broussard run for 9 yds to the Colo 25

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

USC Penalty, Targeting on GOFORTH, Ralen enforced (Ralen Goforth) to the Colo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 48

3rd & 6Sack0 ydsPPA -0.83

Brendon Lewis sacked for 0 yards to the Colo 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 4 yds to the Colo 25

2nd & 6Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.61

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 6 yards to the Colo 31

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+49 yds

Parker Lewis 49 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

LEWIS, Brendon scrambles to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the COL34, End of Play. PENALTY USC Personal Foul on SCOTT, Raymond enforced 15 yards from the end of the play at the COL34 to the COL49 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Jarek Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 48

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 9 yds to the USC 43

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.62

Alex Fontenot run for 1 yd to the USC 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.83

Keaontay Ingram run for 53 yds to the Colo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the Colo 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Vavae Malepeai 2 Yd Run (Parker Lewis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Daniel Arias run for 1 yd to the Colo 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+65 ydsPPA +4.24

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 65 yds to the USC 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chase Penry for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Darwin Barlow run for 9 yds to the USC 34

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.82

Darwin Barlow run for 14 yds to the USC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the Colo 49

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Brett Neilon) to the USC 46

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 49

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Dimitri Stanley at the Colo 10

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jarek Broussard run for 6 yds to the Colo 16

2nd & 4Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.06

Jarek Broussard run for 16 yds to the Colo 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brendon Lewis sacked by Drake Jackson for 0 yards to the Colo 28

2nd & 14Penalty-9 yds

FONTENOT, Alex rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the COL33 (JOHNSON, Greg). PENALTY COL Holding on LYNCH, Matt enforced 9 yards from the COL28 to the COL19 [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 23Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.30

Brendon Lewis pass intercepted Joshua Jackson Jr. return for no gain to the Colo 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Tahj Washington for 10 yds to the Colo 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Drake London for 17 yds to the Colo 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kedon Slovis pass incomplete

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

INGRAM, Keaontay rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the COL0, TOUCHDOWN USC, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY USC Holding on VORHEES, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the COL8 to the COL18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the Colo 15

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.54

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 15 yds for a TD, (Parker Lewis KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Deion Smith run for no gain to the Colo 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brenden Rice for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Deion Smith run for 5 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Deion Smith run for 2 yds to the Colo 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Darwin Barlow run for 1 yd to the USC 21

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the USC 21

3rd & 9Penalty-10 yds

SLOVIS, Kedon pass to the left complete for 11 yards to MANJACK IV, Joseph caught at the USC32 and advanced to the USC32 (GONZALEZ, Christian). PENALTY USC Holding on FORD, Courtland enforced 10 yards from the USC21 to the USC11 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Penalty-5 yds

USC Penalty, False Start (Brett Neilon) to the USC 6

3rd & 24Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Vavae Malepeai run for 5 yds to the USC 11

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Ben Griffiths punt for 44 yds, downed at the Colo 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Deion Smith run for 3 yds to the Colo 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.29

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Deion Smith for 8 yds to the USC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Deion Smith run for 1 yd to the USC 43

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.95

Brendon Lewis sacked by Jacob Lichtenstein for 0 yards to the USC 45

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 41 yds, downed at the USC 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the USC 7

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.56

Keaontay Ingram run for 11 yds to the USC 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Keaontay Ingram run for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 16

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Vavae Malepeai run for 2 yds to the USC 18

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.37

Kedon Slovis pass complete to Malcolm Epps for 10 yds to the USC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Vavae Malepeai run for no gain to the USC 28

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Vavae Malepeai run for 3 yds to the USC 31

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.08

Darwin Barlow run for 9 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

USC

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
27 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
78%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
60%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
24%
21 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
45%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play