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← Back to GamesOct 3, 2021Week 5
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 8

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 72%

Market (consensus)

Oregon State -2.5

Edge: Oregon State -2.5 (5.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 3, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
WashingtonWashington
7301424
Oregon StateOregon State
01431027

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-714-714-1017-1017-1724-2427-24
Oregon StateWashington

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSWASOSTD675ydPUNT724ydPUNT39ydMISS1243ydTO2-10ydTD311ydPUNT34ydTD742ydTO633ydTO20ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT36ydFG1268ydPUNT615ydPUNT35ydFG928ydPUNT1026ydPUNT33ydTD774ydTO1-6ydTD16ydTD675ydDOWNS621ydFG940yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Washington and Oregon State
StatisticWashingtonOregon State
Passing17-267-15
Pass Yards14248
Rush Yards176242
Total Yards318290
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-146-13
Penalties2-153-14
Possession27:4232:18

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Washington
passing
Dylan Morris
17/26, 142 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sean McGrew
16 CAR, 104 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Terrell Bynum
5 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
7/15, 48 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
B.J. Baylor
20 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Anthony Gould
1 REC, 22 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sean McGrew run for no gain to the Wash 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 3 yds to the Wash 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.37

Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 14 yds to the Wash 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 9 yds to the OrgSt 49

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean McGrew run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +3.41

Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 44 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 11 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 8Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.95

B.J. Baylor run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Deshaun Fenwick run for 3 yds to the Wash 47

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Tyjon Lindsey run for a loss of 4 yards to the OrgSt 49

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Dylan Morris pass complete to Taj Davis for 5 yds to the Wash 12

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 4 yds to the Wash 16

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 48 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for no gain to the OrgSt 36

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds to the Wash 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Wash 41

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.87

run for 5 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Wash 32

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Deshaun Fenwick run for 1 yd to the Wash 31

3rd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Chance Nolan run for 8 yds to the Wash 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 4 yds to the Wash 19

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Wash 18

3rd & 5Sack0 ydsPPA -0.55

Chance Nolan sacked by Ryan Bowman for 0 yards to the Wash 21

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

WASHINGTON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct ( Yards) to the Wash 11

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Everett Hayes 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 20Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 15

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.47

Cameron Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 11

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tre'Shaun Harrison run for 5 yds to the Wash 6

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Wash 3

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.55

run for 3 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 2 yds to the Wash 18

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for 2 yds to the Wash 20

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+24 yds

Race Porter punt for 51 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 24 yds to the Wash 42

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Nolan run for 4 yds to the Wash 38

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

B.J. Baylor run for 8 yds to the Wash 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 5 yds to the Wash 25

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the Wash 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Deshaun Fenwick run for 11 yds to the Wash 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

B.J. Baylor run for no gain to the Wash 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

B.J. Baylor run for 5 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Sean McGrew run for 7 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Sean McGrew run for 6 yds to the Wash 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.63

Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 16 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.71

Dylan Morris pass intercepted return for no gain to the OrgSt 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.56

Chance Nolan pass intercepted return for no gain to the OrgSt 49

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Sean McGrew run for a loss of 3 yards to the Wash 48

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 40 yds, downed at the OrgSt 12

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

B.J. Baylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 11

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 18

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 52 yds , Giles Jackson returns for no gain to the Wash 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the Wash 34

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Kamari Pleasant run for 9 yds to the Wash 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 48

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.00

Kamari Pleasant run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.51

Kamari Pleasant run for 12 yds to the OrgSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.44

Dylan Morris pass complete to Devin Culp for 1 yd to the OrgSt 30

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Dylan Morris pass complete to Sean McGrew for 4 yds to the OrgSt 26

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.95

Kamari Pleasant run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sean McGrew run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Peyton Henry 20 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Chance Nolan run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 2 yds to the OrgSt 40

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 54 yds, downed at the Wash 6

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean McGrew run for 3 yds to the Wash 9

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Dylan Morris pass complete to Jalen McMillan for 2 yds to the Wash 11

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 28 yds, downed at the Wash 39

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Wash 35

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the Wash 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Wash 27

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Wash 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 9 yds to the Wash 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chance Nolan run for 5 yds to the Wash 10

2nd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.67

Deshaun Fenwick run for a loss of 4 yards to the Wash 14

3rd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Chance Nolan run for 3 yds to the Wash 11

4th & 6Field Goal Good+29 yds

Everett Hayes 29 yd FG GOOD

0th & 65Penalty-5 yds

HAYES, Everett kickoff 65 yards to the WAS0, Touchback . PENALTY OSU Offsides on BROWNHOLTZ, Cade enforced at the deadball spot for 5 yards after the change of possession from the OSU25 to the OSU20. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Dylan Morris pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Dylan Morris pass complete to Rome Odunze for 7 yds to the Wash 37

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 2 yds to the Wash 39

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.22

run for 5 yds to the Wash 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Dylan Morris pass complete to Terrell Bynum for a loss of 1 yard to the Wash 43

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 10 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dylan Morris sacked by Omar Speights and Cody Anderson for 0 yards to the OrgSt 49

2nd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan Morris run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 47

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kamari Pleasant run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 44

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Race Porter punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trevon Bradford at the OrgSt 8

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

OREGON ST Penalty, False Start (Luke Musgrave) to the OrgSt 4

1st & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

B.J. Baylor run for 7 yds to the OrgSt 11

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 63 yds, downed at the Wash 26

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.73

Dylan Morris sacked by Rejzohn Wright for 0 yards to the Wash 19

2nd & 17Sack0 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan Morris sacked by Keonte Schad and Avery Roberts for 0 yards to the Wash 18

3rd & 18Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.19

Dylan Morris pass complete to Kamari Pleasant for 18 yds to the Wash 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 40

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kamari Pleasant run for 4 yds to the Wash 44

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.33

run for 17 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

run for 39 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Nolan sacked for 0 yards to the OrgSt 6

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

run for 6 yds for a TD (Peyton Henry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 29

2nd & 6Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.18

Anthony Gould run for 19 yds to the OrgSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.17

Chance Nolan pass complete to Deshaun Fenwick for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 43

2nd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.21

Chance Nolan pass complete to Anthony Gould for 22 yds to the Wash 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Deshaun Fenwick run for 8 yds to the Wash 27

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.41

B.J. Baylor run for 27 yds for a TD (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kamari Pleasant run for 7 yds to the Wash 32

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.42

Kamari Pleasant run for 5 yds to the Wash 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Kamari Pleasant run for 6 yds to the Wash 43

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.73

Sean McGrew run for 2 yds to the Wash 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

run for 1 yd to the Wash 46

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Dylan Morris run for no gain to the Wash 46

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

B.J. Baylor run for 6 yds to the Wash 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the Wash 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Tre'Shaun Harrison run for 3 yds to the Wash 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Deshaun Fenwick run for 14 yds to the Wash 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.30

Deshaun Fenwick run for 12 yds to the Wash 8 for a 1ST down

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Chance Nolan run for 5 yds to the Wash 6

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Everett Hayes 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

Situational Analysis

Washington

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
100%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th