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← Back to GamesSep 19, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Arizona by 0.3

Home Win Probability

Arizona 44%

Market (consensus)

Arizona -26.5

Edge: Northern Arizona +26.5 (26.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 19, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Arizona
077721
ArizonaArizona
1030619

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-013-013-713-1413-2113-27
ArizonaNorthern Arizona

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARIARINANAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAARINAPUNT30ydPUNT35ydPUNT617ydPUNT44ydFG45ydPUNT32ydTD468ydTO412ydFG718ydTO445ydPUNT521ydPUNT36ydTO12ydTO30ydPUNT420ydPUNT38ydTD10ydPUNT725ydEND1-2ydPUNT514ydDOWNS958ydTD765ydPUNT419ydPUNT410ydPUNT30ydPUNT36ydTO214ydTD1060ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydTD785ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Arizona and Arizona
StatisticNorthern ArizonaArizona
Passing12-2025-41
Pass Yards92257
Rush Yards148106
Total Yards240363
Turnovers33
3rd Down4-153-14
Penalties4-307-70
Possession34:4125:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Arizona
passing
RJ Martinez
11/16, 88 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Kevin Daniels
27 CAR, 127 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Draycen Hall
4 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Arizona
passing
Will Plummer
19/34, 191 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Drake Anderson
12 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Stanley Berryhill III
11 REC, 94 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Stanley Berryhill III run for 6 yds to the Ariz 26

2nd & 4Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ariz 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds , Coleman Owen returns for 2 yds to the NoArz 36

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jeff Widener pass complete to Kevin Daniels for 4 yds to the NoArz 40

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Kevin Daniels run for 1 yd to the NoArz 41

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Jeff Widener pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt+2 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 54 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 2 yds to the Ariz 7

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 6

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 8 yds to the Ariz 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 24

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 64 yds, downed at the NoArz 12

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHRN ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NoArz 7

1st & 15Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Kevin Daniels run for 15 yds to the NoArz 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jeff Widener pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Daniels run for 3 yds to the NoArz 25

3rd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.22

Jeff Widener sacked by Kyon Barrs for 0 yards to the NoArz 16

4th & 16Punt+51 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 53 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 51 yds to the NoArz 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 1 yd to the NoArz 17

2nd & 9Penalty+4 yds

QB Keeper PLUMMER, Will rush to the left for a gain of 4 yards to the NAU13 (WILSON, Jhasi). PENALTY NAU Holding enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the NAU17 to the NAU9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 19Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.52

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 14 yds to the NoArz 13

4th & 5Field Goal Good+31 yds

Lucas Havrisik 31 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Draycen Hall run for 6 yds to the NoArz 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Cale Millen run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoArz 23 fumbled, recovered by NoArz Cale Millen

3rd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cale Millen run for 4 yds to the NoArz 27

4th & 8Punt+4 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 45 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 3 yds to the Ariz 35

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Drake Anderson run for 6 yds to the Ariz 41

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.80

Drake Anderson run for 10 yds to the NoArz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+49 ydsPPA +3.76

Will Plummer pass complete to Boobie Curry for 49 yds for a TD (Lucas Havrisik KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Daniels run for 4 yds to the NoArz 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Kevin Daniels run for 2 yds to the NoArz 31

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.56

Jeff Widener run for 6 yds to the NoArz 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.95

Jeff Widener pass intercepted return for no gain to the NoArz 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tayvian Cunningham run for 3 yds to the NoArz 21

3rd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 7 yds to the NoArz 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.45

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoArz 16

2nd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Drake Anderson run for 7 yds to the NoArz 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 3 yds to the NoArz 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 yds

Lucas Havrisik 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

RJ Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.32

RJ Martinez run for 18 yds to the NoArz 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

RJ Martinez pass complete to Draycen Hall for no gain to the NoArz 44

2nd & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.72

RJ Martinez pass complete to Draycen Hall for 26 yds to the Ariz 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 6 yds to the Ariz 36

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.85

Will Plummer pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 7 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for no gain to the Ariz 43

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 8 yds to the NoArz 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

RJ Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kevin Daniels run for no gain to the NoArz 20

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.06

RJ Martinez pass complete to Kevin Daniels for 6 yds to the NoArz 26

4th & 4Punt0 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ariz 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 20

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Kevin Daniels run for 4 yds to the Ariz 16

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.82

George Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 20

3rd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.54

RJ Martinez pass intercepted return for no gain to the Ariz 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.11

Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 29 yds to the NoArz 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.66

Will Plummer sacked by Eloi Kwete for 0 yards to the NoArz 45

2nd & 21Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Plummer pass complete to Jalen Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the NoArz 49

3rd & 25Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 6 yds to the NoArz 43

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Daniels run for 2 yds to the NoArz 22

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

RJ Martinez run for 6 yds to the NoArz 28

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Kevin Daniels run for no gain to the NoArz 28

4th & 2Punt0 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 46 yds, downed at the Ariz 26

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -7.99

Will Plummer pass intercepted for a TD return for no gain for a TD (Luis Aguilar KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 38

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.86

Drake Anderson run for 5 yds to the Ariz 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.53

Will Plummer pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 19 yds to the NoArz 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

PLUMMER, Will scrambles to the left for a gain of 10 yards to the NAU28, out of bounds. PENALTY ARI Holding on MORGAN, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the NAU38 to the NAU48. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 6 yds to the NoArz 42

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 42 yds for a touchback

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Daniels run for 4 yds to the NoArz 29

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NORTHRN ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Donovan Outlaw) to the NoArz 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Kevin Daniels run for 3 yds to the NoArz 27

3rd & 8Penalty+15 yds

MARTINEZ, RJ pass up the middle incomplete intended for DANIELS, Kevin thrown to the NAU31. PENALTY ARI Targeting on DIALLO, Mo enforced 15 yards from the NAU27 to the NAU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevin Daniels run for 2 yds to the NoArz 44

2nd & 8Rush-7 ydsPPA -1.77

run for a loss of 7 yards to the NoArz 37

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Kevin Daniels run for 2 yds to the NoArz 39

4th & 13Punt0 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 54 yds, downed at the Ariz 7

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.87

Drake Anderson run for 19 yds to the Ariz 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 25

2nd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.09

Jalen John run for 15 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jalen John run for 4 yds to the Ariz 44

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.68

Jalen John run for 15 yds to the NoArz 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Jalen John run for 3 yds to the NoArz 38

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 3 yds to the NoArz 35

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.13

Will Plummer pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

RJ Martinez pass complete to Draycen Hall for 8 yds to the NoArz 43

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.44

RJ Martinez run for 8 yds to the Ariz 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.10

RJ Martinez pass complete to Coleman Owen for no gain to the Ariz 49

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Targeting on TURNER, Jaxen enforced (Jaxen Turner) to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kevin Daniels run for 6 yds to the Ariz 15

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Kevin Daniels run for 3 yds to the Ariz 12

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.59

Kevin Daniels run for 12 yds for a TD (Luis Aguilar KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 14 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 38

2nd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the Ariz 46

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-10 ydsPPA -1.77

run for a loss of 10 yards to the Ariz 44 fumbled, recovered by Ariz Will Plummer

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Coleman Owen at the NoArz 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

RJ Martinez pass complete to Coleman Owen for 8 yds to the NoArz 16

2nd & 2Penalty+5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NoArz 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

RJ Martinez pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.37

RJ Martinez pass complete to Coleman Owen for a loss of 3 yards to the NoArz 18

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

NORTHRN ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Stacy Chukwumezie) to the NoArz 13

3rd & 18Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Kevin Daniels run for 5 yds to the NoArz 18

4th & 13Punt+11 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 45 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 11 yds to the Ariz 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jalen John run for no gain to the Ariz 48

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Kevin Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoArz 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

RJ Martinez pass complete to Matthew Kempton for 7 yds to the NoArz 26

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

RJ Martinez pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+5 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 51 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 5 yds to the Ariz 28

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.29

Stanley Berryhill III run for 14 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.44

Will Plummer pass intercepted return for no gain to the NoArz 40

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.50

Draycen Hall run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoArz 38

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.57

RJ Martinez pass complete to Draycen Hall for 14 yds to the Ariz 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

RJ Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 49

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Kevin Daniels run for 2 yds to the Ariz 47

3rd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +2.60

RJ Martinez run for 11 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

RJ Martinez run for 1 yd to the Ariz 35

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.90

Kevin Daniels run for no gain to the Ariz 35

3rd & 9Penalty+14 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Christian Roland-Wallace) to the Ariz 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Kevin Daniels run for 2 yds to the Ariz 9

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.69

RJ Martinez pass complete to Hendrix Johnson for 9 yds for a TD (Luis Aguilar KICK)

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jordan McCloud sacked by Carson Taylor for 0 yards to the Ariz 25

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Jordan McCloud pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.58

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 16 yds to the Ariz 41

4th & 4Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the Ariz 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Kevin Daniels run for no gain to the NoArz 18

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Kevin Daniels run for 1 yd to the NoArz 19

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Daniels run for 4 yds to the NoArz 23

4th & 5Punt0 yds

DJ Arnson punt for 62 yds, downed at the Ariz 15

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.69

Drake Anderson run for 12 yds to the Ariz 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MCCLOUD, Jordan pass to the left incomplete intended for BERRYHILL III, Stanley thrown to the NAU38. PENALTY NAU Pass Interference on INGRAM, Devontae enforced 15 yards to the ARI42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.15

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 14 yds to the NoArz 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Drake Anderson for 9 yds to the NoArz 35

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.26

Drake Anderson run for 8 yds to the NoArz 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.18

Jordan McCloud pass complete to BJ Casteel for 12 yds to the NoArz 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 12 yds to the NoArz 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordan McCloud pass complete to Boobie Curry for 3 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kevin Daniels run for 5 yds to the Ariz 49

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Kevin Daniels run for 13 yds to the Ariz 36 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
17%
6 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
4th

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
41%
32 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
75%
4 plays
29%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
0%
1 play