Skip to main content
← Back to GamesSep 18, 2021Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Oregon State by 7.1

Home Win Probability

Oregon State 66%

Market (Bovada)

Oregon State -28

Edge: Idaho +28 (20.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 18, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Idaho
00000
Oregon StateOregon State
141414042

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-035-042-0
Oregon StateIdaho

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20IDAOSIDAOSIDAOSIDAOSIDAOSOSIDAOSIDAOSIDAOSIDAOSDOWNS944ydTD869ydPUNT3-3ydTD861ydDOWNS733ydTD558ydDOWNS1147ydTD967ydTO26ydEND3-13ydTD875ydPUNT3-15ydTD863ydPUNT631ydTO38ydDOWNS930ydPUNT38ydTO1014ydEND937yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Idaho and Oregon State
StatisticIdahoOregon State
Passing13-2517-25
Pass Yards84190
Rush Yards108248
Total Yards192438
Turnovers21
3rd Down4-139-12
Penalties8-705-60
Possession27:3332:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Idaho
passing
Mike Beaudry
6/9, 47 YDS
rushing
CJ Jordan
14 CAR, 55 YDS
receiving
Terez Traynor
5 REC, 38 YDS
defense
Oregon State
passing
Chance Nolan
14/19, 175 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
B.J. Baylor
11 CAR, 69 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Luke Musgrave
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Elisha Cummings for 7 yds to the Idaho 27

2nd & 8Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.16

Elisha Cummings run for 17 yds to the Idaho 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mike Beaudry pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Elisha Cummings run for 1 yd to the Idaho 45

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.12

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Michael Noil for 16 yds to the OrgSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Nick Romano for 5 yds to the OrgSt 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Mike Beaudry pass incomplete

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Mike Beaudry run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 31

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.76

Mike Beaudry pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 8 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.67

B.J. Baylor run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 4 yds to the Idaho 47

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

B.J. Baylor run for 1 yd to the Idaho 46

3rd & 5Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.35

Trey Lowe run for 25 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the Idaho 18

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +3.17

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tyjon Lindsey for 18 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24

3rd & 22Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.04

Nick Romano run for 9 yds to the Idaho 22

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)-11 ydsPPA -0.50

Mike Beaudry run for a loss of 11 yards to the Idaho 13 fumbled, recovered by Idaho Mike Beaudry

4th & 13Punt+10 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 49 yds , Trevon Bradford returns for 10 yds to the OrgSt 39

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NOLAN, Chance scrambles up the middle for no gain to the OSU39 (AKANNO, Charles). PENALTY OSU Holding on QUITORIANO, Teagan enforced 10 yards from the OSU39 to the OSU29. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

B.J. Baylor run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 32

2nd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 13 yds to the OrgSt 45

3rd & 4Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.87

Chance Nolan run for 25 yds to the Idaho 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for 17 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

NOLAN, Chance sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the IDA21 (MCCORMICK, Tommy). PENALTY IDA Offsides on CRAWFORD, Rahsaan enforced 5 yards from the IDA13 to the IDA8. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Idaho 4

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.93

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 3Penalty-10 yds

HAYES, Everett PAT kick attempt is good, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY OSU Holding on MUSGRAVE, Luke enforced 10 yards from the IDA3 to the IDA13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

CJ Jordan run for 9 yds to the Idaho 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

CJ Jordan pass complete to Logan Kendall for 3 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

CARTER, Aundre rush up the middle for no gain to the IDA37 (SPEIGHTS, Omar;ROBERTS, Avery). PENALTY OSU Personal Foul on JULIAN, Alton enforced 15 yards from the IDA37 to the OSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

CJ Jordan run for 16 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Block below the waist enforced (Rahsaan Crawford) to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 48

2nd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

CJ Jordan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 49

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.79

CJ Jordan pass complete to Terez Traynor for 9 yds to the OrgSt 42

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Chance Nolan pass complete to Tre'Shaun Harrison for 5 yds to the OrgSt 47

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.48

Deshaun Fenwick run for 18 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Chance Nolan pass complete to Trevon Bradford for 17 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds to the Idaho 9

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +1.97

Deshaun Fenwick run for 9 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Everett Hayes kickoff for 64 yds , Nick Romano return for 19 yds to the Idaho 20

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.05

CJ Jordan run for 14 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

CJ Jordan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 35

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

JORDAN, CJ sacked for a loss of 8 yards at the IDA27 (SANDBERG, Simon). PENALTY OSU Face mask on SANDBERG, Simon enforced 15 yards from the IDA35 to the IDA50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Aundre Carter run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 49

3rd & 11Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.11

run for 10 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.37

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Terez Traynor for 10 yds to the OrgSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

CJ Jordan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.97

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 5 yards to the OrgSt 33

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.25

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.08

Chance Nolan pass complete to Makiya Tongue for 24 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Idaho 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the Idaho 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Sam Noyer run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Chance Nolan run for 5 yds to the Idaho 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the Idaho 24

3rd & 2Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.30

Chance Nolan pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 20 yds to the Idaho 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds to the Idaho 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

CJ Jordan pass complete to Michael Noil for 6 yds to the Idaho 31

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.26

CJ Jordan pass intercepted return for no gain to the Idaho 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.06

Chance Nolan sacked by Kayode Rufai and Fa'Avae Fa'Avae for 0 yards to the OrgSt 44

0th & 23End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

3rd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Chance Nolan pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

B.J. Baylor run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chance Nolan pass complete to Teagan Quitoriano for 4 yds to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Chance Nolan pass complete to Silas Bolden for 14 yds to the Idaho 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Nolan run for 4 yds to the Idaho 38

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Deshaun Fenwick run for 4 yds to the Idaho 34

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Deshaun Fenwick run for 5 yds to the Idaho 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Chance Nolan pass complete to Zeriah Beason for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 30

2nd & 11Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.46

Chance Nolan pass complete to Champ Flemings for 30 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 3Penalty-10 yds

HAYES, Everett PAT kick attempt is good, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY OSU Holding enforced 10 yards from the IDA3 to the IDA13. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 34

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

kickoff for 26 yds , Jaxon Woodward return for no gain to the Idaho 39

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Elisha Cummings run for no gain to the Idaho 34

2nd & 15Sack0 ydsPPA -0.37

CJ Jordan sacked by Riley Sharp for 0 yards to the Idaho 25

3rd & 24Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.04

Elisha Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 39 yds, downed at the OrgSt 37

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.70

B.J. Baylor run for 20 yds to the Idaho 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

B.J. Baylor run for 4 yds to the Idaho 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Sam Noyer pass complete to Luke Musgrave for 7 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Trey Lowe run for 16 yds to the Idaho 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Sam Noyer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.69

Deshaun Fenwick run for 14 yds to the Idaho 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Deshaun Fenwick run for no gain to the Idaho 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

B.J. Baylor run for 2 yds for a TD, (Everett Hayes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Aundre Carter run for 7 yds to the Idaho 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Aundre Carter run for 6 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.34

CJ Jordan run for 15 yds to the OrgSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

CJ Jordan run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 44

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Caleb Lightbourn punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Trey Lowe run for 3 yds to the OrgSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Trey Lowe run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 28

3rd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.45

Sam Noyer pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the OrgSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

CJ Jordan run for 2 yds to the OrgSt 31

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Aundre Carter run for 8 yds to the OrgSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OrgSt 28

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

CJ Jordan run for no gain to the OrgSt 28

2nd & 15Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

CJ Jordan pass complete to Terez Traynor for 11 yds to the OrgSt 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

CJ Jordan pass complete to Nick Romano for 9 yds to the OrgSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Aundre Carter run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 4

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.43

CJ Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 5

3rd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.15

CJ Jordan pass complete to Terez Traynor for 2 yds to the OrgSt 3

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.08

CJ Jordan pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Trey Lowe run for a loss of 1 yard to the OrgSt 2

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Sam Vidlak pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.10

Trey Lowe run for 9 yds to the OrgSt 11

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Luke Loecher punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Stevenson at the Idaho 45

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Aundre Carter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.43

Aundre Carter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 49

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Elisha Cummings run for 5 yds to the OrgSt 46

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.23

Aundre Carter run for 4 yds to the OrgSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Michael Noil for 3 yds to the OrgSt 39

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Mike Beaudry pass complete to Terez Traynor for 6 yds to the OrgSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.43

Aundre Carter run for 1 yd to the OrgSt 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.61

CJ Jordan sacked by Kyrei Fisher for 0 yards to the OrgSt 38

2nd & 16Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.57

CJ Jordan pass complete to Elisha Cummings for a loss of 3 yards to the OrgSt 41

3rd & 19Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.86

CJ Jordan pass intercepted return for no gain to the Idaho 48

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Isaiah Newell run for 7 yds to the Idaho 41

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Isaiah Newell run for 6 yds to the Idaho 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Kanoa Shannon run for 3 yds to the Idaho 32

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kanoa Shannon run for 1 yd to the Idaho 31

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.18

Mikey Alfieri run for 12 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Sam Vidlak pass complete to John Dunmore for 4 yds to the Idaho 15

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Isaiah Newell run for 2 yds to the Idaho 13

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.41

Sam Vidlak pass complete to Tommy Spencer for 4 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Idaho

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
19 plays
25%
4 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
43%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Oregon State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
42%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
6 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
100%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
4th