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← Back to GamesSep 12, 2021Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

San Diego State by 12.1

Home Win Probability

Arizona 21%

Market (consensus)

Arizona -1.5

Edge: San Diego State +1.5 (13.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
San Diego StateSan Diego State
21143038
ArizonaArizona
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-147-217-287-357-3814-38
ArizonaSan Diego State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20SDSARISDSARIARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSARISDSTD475ydPUNT37ydTD696ydTD36ydTD475ydPUNT55ydPUNT418ydTD778ydPUNT2-6ydPUNT411ydPUNT36ydPUNT34ydPUNT3-4ydTD356ydPUNT3-1ydMISS529ydPUNT34ydPUNT31ydPUNT3-7ydEND40ydTO2-1ydFG66ydPUNT34ydPUNT622ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydTD1180ydDOWNS839ydDOWNS557ydEND622yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing San Diego State and Arizona
StatisticSan Diego StateArizona
Passing10-1518-36
Pass Yards183179
Rush Yards27151
Total Yards454230
Turnovers01
3rd Down5-141-14
Penalties8-858-73
Possession37:3422:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

San Diego State
passing
Jordon Brookshire
10/14, 183 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Greg Bell
17 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Daniel Bellinger
3 REC, 113 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Arizona
passing
Will Plummer
8/17, 109 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
receiving
Tayvian Cunningham
5 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jordon Brookshire run for 6 yds to the SDSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Greg Bell run for 9 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jesse Matthews for 5 yds to the SDSt 45

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.65

Greg Bell run for 55 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 27

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Michael Wiley run for 5 yds to the Ariz 32

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 64 yds

1st & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 6

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SDSt 11

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Kaegun Williams run for 1 yd to the SDSt 12

3rd & 3Pass Reception+73 ydsPPA +4.50

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 73 yds to the Ariz 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 13

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.27

Jordon Brookshire run for 10 yds to the Ariz 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jordon Brookshire run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Gunner Cruz pass complete to BJ Casteel for 7 yds to the Ariz 32

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Michael Wiley run for 1 yd to the Ariz 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Gunner Cruz pass complete to Michael Wiley for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 31

4th & 4Blocked Punt Touchdown+27 ydsPPA -6.95

Tyrell Shavers 27 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Matt Araiza Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Gunner Cruz run for 9 yds to the Ariz 34

2nd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.47

Stanley Berryhill III run for 23 yds to the SDSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+43 ydsPPA +4.29

Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 43 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the SDSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Kaegun Williams for 13 yds to the SDSt 40 for a 1ST down

2nd & 21Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jordan Byrd for 5 yds to the SDSt 34

3rd & 16Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declined

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.12

Jordon Brookshire sacked by Trevon Mason and Kyon Barrs for 0 yards to the SDSt 29

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.49

Drake Anderson run for 12 yds to the Ariz 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Drake Anderson run for 2 yds to the Ariz 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Gunner Cruz pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 4 yds to the Ariz 27

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 51 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for no gain to the SDSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to BJ Busbee for 4 yds to the SDSt 26

2nd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.71

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 15 yds to the SDSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordon Brookshire run for 5 yds to the SDSt 46

2nd & 5Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.41

Jesse Matthews run for 15 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.62

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 38

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

BROOKSHIRE, Jordon pass up the middle incomplete intended for MATTHEWS, Jesse thrown to the ARI10. PENALTY ARI Pass Interference on ROLAND-WALLACE, Christian enforced 15 yards from the ARI38 to the ARI23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Chance Bell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 25

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.29

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Daniel Bellinger for 25 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Gunner Cruz pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 24

2nd & 11Penalty-5 yds

ROCKER JR., Stevie rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the ARI26 (BANKS, Keshawn;DRAEGER, Wyatt). PENALTY Before the snap, ARI False Start on CUNNINGHAM, Tayvian enforced 5 yards from the ARI24 to the ARI19. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

3rd & 16Punt+7 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 56 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 7 yds to the SDSt 32

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

BROOKSHIRE, Jordon pass to the left incomplete intended for SHAVERS, Tyrell thrown to the ARI32. PENALTY ARI Holding on TURNER, Jaxen enforced 10 yards from the SDS32 to the SDS42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.95

Greg Bell run for 11 yds to the Ariz 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 3 yds to the Ariz 44

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Chance Bell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 42

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ariz 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 30 yds, downed at the Ariz 17

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

WILEY, Michael rush up the middle for no gain to the ARI17 (BARFIELD, Cedarious;TUMBLIN, Noah). PENALTY ARI Holding on DONOVAN, Josh enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the ARI17 to the ARI9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Gunner Cruz pass complete to BJ Casteel for 5 yds to the Ariz 14

2nd & 13Sack0 ydsPPA -0.13

Gunner Cruz sacked by Cameron Thomas for 0 yards to the Ariz 8

3rd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.02

Gunner Cruz pass complete to Bryce Wolma for 7 yds to the Ariz 15

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 50 yds, downed at the SDSt 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Greg Bell run for 4 yds to the SDSt 39

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jordon Brookshire run for 5 yds to the SDSt 44

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 44

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SDSt 39

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Gunner Cruz pass complete to BJ Casteel for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 19

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

3rd & 11Sack0 ydsPPA -0.10

Gunner Cruz sacked by Andrew Aleki for 0 yards to the Ariz 16

4th & 14Punt+10 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 50 yds , Jordan Byrd returns for 10 yds to the SDSt 44

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Greg Bell run for 14 yds to the Ariz 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Greg Bell run for 2 yds to the Ariz 40

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.79

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Ethan Dedeaux for 40 yds for a TD, (Matt Araiza KICK)

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ariz 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Gunner Cruz pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 2 yds to the Ariz 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 31

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Chance Bell run for 16 yds to the SDSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chance Bell run for no gain to the SDSt 47

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +3.02

Chance Bell run for 13 yds to the Ariz 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+57 yds

Matt Araiza 57 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Gunner Cruz pass complete to BJ Casteel for 6 yds to the Ariz 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Michael Wiley run for 2 yds to the Ariz 33

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.86

Michael Wiley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jordon Brookshire pass complete to Jordan Byrd for no gain to the SDSt 27

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jesse Matthews run for 1 yd to the SDSt 28

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Stanley Berryhill III at the Ariz 27

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.77

Gunner Cruz sacked by Segun Olubi for 0 yards to the Ariz 20

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Gunner Cruz pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+9 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 43 yds for a 1ST down , Jordan Byrd returns for 9 yds to the SDSt 31 for a 1ST down

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Kaegun Williams run for no gain to the SDSt 33

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 34

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.09

Jordon Brookshire pass incomplete

1st & 10Punt+4 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 51 yds , Stanley Berryhill III returns for 4 yds to the Ariz 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Kaegun Williams run for 2 yds to the SDSt 33

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ariz 18

2nd & 11Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.04

Gunner Cruz pass intercepted for a 1ST down return for no gain to the Ariz 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the Ariz 18

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.07

Greg Bell run for 14 yds to the Ariz 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Greg Bell run for 1 yd to the Ariz 3

2nd & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -0.87

Jordon Brookshire run for a loss of 7 yards to the Ariz 10 fumbled, recovered by SDSt Jordon Brookshire

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

BELL, Greg rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the ARI4 (TURNER, Jaxen). PENALTY SDS Holding on BELLINGER, Daniel enforced 10 yards from the ARI10 to the ARI20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Greg Bell run for 5 yds to the Ariz 15

4th & 15Field Goal Good+32 yds

Matt Araiza 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Plummer pass complete to Michael Wiley for no gain to the Ariz 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 9 yds to the Ariz 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

ARIZONA Penalty, False Start (Edgar Burrola) to the Ariz 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 71 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Greg Bell run for a loss of 4 yards to the SDSt 16

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Greg Bell run for 3 yds to the SDSt 19

3rd & 11Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Chance Bell run for 15 yds to the SDSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Chance Bell run for 1 yd to the SDSt 35

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.76

Chance Bell run for 8 yds to the SDSt 43

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Chance Bell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDSt 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Drake Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ariz 18

3rd & 12Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Will Plummer run for 7 yds to the Ariz 25

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kyle Ostendorp punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jordan Byrd at the SDSt 27

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Jordan Byrd run for 2 yds to the SDSt 29

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Lucas Johnson run for 5 yds to the SDSt 34

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Jordan Byrd run for no gain to the SDSt 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Matt Araiza punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Stanley Berryhill III run for 3 yds to the Ariz 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Will Plummer pass complete to Stanley Berryhill III for 9 yds to the Ariz 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Will Plummer pass complete to BJ Casteel for 9 yds to the Ariz 41

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on THOMPSON, Trenton enforced (Trenton Thompson) to the SDSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Will Plummer sacked by Caden McDonald for 0 yards to the SDSt 34

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Will Plummer pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SAN DIEGO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jonah Tavai) to the SDSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Loop KICK)

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Kaegun Williams run for 23 yds to the SDSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Kaegun Williams run for 5 yds to the Ariz 47

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the Ariz 43

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.91

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the Ariz 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.66

Kaegun Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ariz 43

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kaegun Williams run for 3 yds to the Ariz 40

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaegun Williams run for 4 yds to the Ariz 36

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.65

Lucas Johnson pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.63

Will Plummer pass complete to Tayvian Cunningham for 54 yds to the SDSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

ANDERSON, Drake rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the SDS0 (TEAM). PENALTY ARI Holding on MORGAN, Jordan enforced 10 yards from the SDS10 to the SDS20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Will Plummer pass incomplete

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Plummer pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Will Plummer pass incomplete

4th & 20Rush+13 ydsPPA -1.70

Will Plummer run for 13 yds to the SDSt 7

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Jaylon Armstead run for 8 yds to the SDSt 15

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaylon Armstead run for 1 yd to the SDSt 16

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.46

Jaylon Armstead run for 4 yds to the SDSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Lucas Johnson run for 13 yds to the SDSt 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

San Diego State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
37%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
71%
7 plays
60%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Arizona

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
13%
8 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play