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← Back to GamesSep 4, 2021Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Colorado by 14.1

Home Win Probability

Colorado 79%

Market (consensus)

Colorado -37.5

Edge: Northern Colorado +37.5 (23.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern Colorado
00707
ColoradoColorado
01471435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-728-735-7
ColoradoNorthern Colorado

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NCCOLNCCOLNCCOLNCCOLNCCOLNCCOLCOLNCCOLNCCOLNCCOLNCCOLPUNT535ydPUNT36ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT38ydPUNT416ydTD728ydPUNT31ydPUNT35ydPUNT37ydTD556ydTO1260ydEND26ydMISS840ydPUNT419ydTD1690ydTD775ydTD654ydDOWNS622ydTD655ydDOWNS1366ydEND620yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Colorado and Colorado
StatisticNorthern ColoradoColorado
Passing24-4210-15
Pass Yards236102
Rush Yards20281
Total Yards256383
Turnovers10
3rd Down3-146-10
Penalties6-5012-118
Possession29:1630:44

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Colorado
passing
Dylan McCaffrey
24/42, 236 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Tru Wilson
6 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Kassidy Woods
4 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Colorado
passing
Brendon Lewis
10/15, 102 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jarek Broussard
15 CAR, 94 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
La'Vontae Shenault
2 REC, 23 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.97

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 15 yds to the NoCol 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 14 yds to the NoCol 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.59

Tru Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoCol 43

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Cole Becker kickoff for 65 yds , Dylan Thomas return for 16 yds to the NoCol 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 8 yds to the Colo 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the Colo 11

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the Colo 14

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Colo 9

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Jarek Broussard for 7 yds to the Colo 16

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Uryan Hudson at the NoCol 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tru Wilson run for no gain to the NoCol 43

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

run for 3 yds to the NoCol 46

3rd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Dylan McCaffrey run for no gain to the NoCol 41

4th & 12Punt+22 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 35 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 22 yds to the Colo 46

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jarek Broussard run for no gain to the Colo 46

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Brendon Lewis run for 8 yds to the NoCol 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Uryan Hudson at the NoCol 8

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.77

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 17 yds to the NoCol 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoCol 28

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, False Start (Max Pierce) to the NoCol 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 1 yd to the NoCol 24

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt+19 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 38 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 19 yds to the NoCol 43 NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Caleb Brickhouse) to the NoCol 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jarek Broussard run for 3 yds to the NoCol 25

2nd & 7Sack0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brendon Lewis sacked by Joe Golden for 0 yards to the NoCol 33

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (Brenden Rice) to the NoCol 38

3rd & 20Penalty+15 yds

#12 B.Lewis pass to the right incomplete intended for #5 L.Shenault thrown to the UNC12. PENALTY UNC Personal Foul on #95 J.Golden enforced 15 yards from the UNC38 to the UNC23 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd to the NoCol 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Brady Russell for 7 yds to the NoCol 15

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.27

Jarek Broussard run for 12 yds to the NoCol 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the NoCol 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jarek Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan Thomas for 1 yd to the NoCol 26

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+27 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 47 yds , Dimitri Stanley returns for 27 yds to the NoCol 46

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.08

Brendon Lewis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for no gain to the NoCol 43

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alex Fontenot for 2 yds to the NoCol 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Josh Watts punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.37

Zain Zincola run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoCol 16

3rd & 11Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.15

Tru Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoCol 27

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 29 yds, downed at the Colo 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 6 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.51

Jarek Broussard run for 5 yds to the NoCol 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, False Start (La'Vontae Shenault) to the 50 yard line

1st & 15Rush+30 ydsPPA +1.92

Jarek Broussard run for 30 yds to the NoCol 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ashaad Clayton run for 3 yds to the NoCol 17

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.74

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Montana Lemonious-Craig for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kevin Williams Jr.) to the NoCol 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jonah Morris for 7 yds to the NoCol 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.75

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 19 yds to the Colo 38 for a 1ST down

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Defensive Holding (Christian Gonzalez) to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST down

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

run for 3 yds to the NoCol 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan Thomas for no gain to the NoCol 37

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 6 yds to the NoCol 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 4 yds to the Colo 34

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Dylan McCaffrey run for 10 yds to the Colo 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Sam Flowers for 9 yds to the Colo 15

2nd & 1Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Mekhi Blackmon) to the Colo 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Jarek Broussard run for 4 yds to the Colo 9

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 11

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Jarek Broussard run for 17 yds to the Colo 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Jarek Broussard run for 2 yds to the Colo 44

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.70

Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NoCol 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.57

Jarek Broussard run for 11 yds to the NoCol 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Personal Foul (Kary Kutsch) to the NoCol 45

2nd & 20Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Brendon Lewis run for 10 yds to the NoCol 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+53 yds

Cole Becker 53 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.23

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Darren DeLaCroix for 13 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Zach Angelillo for 6 yds to the Colo 46

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Caleb Brickhouse punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.46

Brendon Lewis run for 11 yds to the Colo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Brendon Lewis run for 4 yds to the Colo 25

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.30

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Chase Penry for 16 yds to the Colo 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ashaad Clayton run for 6 yds to the Colo 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Ashaad Clayton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.03

Ashaad Clayton run for 2 yds to the NoCol 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brendon Lewis sacked by David Hoage for 0 yards to the Colo 49

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 48

3rd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.80

Brendon Lewis run for 12 yds to the NoCol 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Alex Fontenot run for 9 yds to the NoCol 27

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds to the NoCol 21

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Dimitri Stanley for 7 yds to the NoCol 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.08

Alex Fontenot run for 11 yds to the NoCol 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Alex Fontenot run for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 9 yds to the NoCol 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERN COLO Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NoCol 29

4th & 6Penalty+15 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jalen Sami) to the NoCol 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Jaren Mitchell for 3 yds to the NoCol 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Tru Wilson run for 1 yd to the Colo 34

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.50

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 34 yds for a TD, (Ben Raybon KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.74

Ashaad Clayton run for 35 yds to the NoCol 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Ashaad Clayton run for no gain to the NoCol 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.75

Brendon Lewis pass complete to Alec Pell for 17 yds to the NoCol 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Ashaad Clayton run for 1 yd to the NoCol 1

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+44 yds

Ben Raybon kickoff for 63 yds , Brenden Rice return for 44 yds to the Colo 46

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Ashaad Clayton run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

run for 6 yds to the NoCol 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.43

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Darren DeLaCroix for 17 yds to the Colo 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.07

Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Jalen Sami for 0 yards to the Colo 48

3rd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Tru Wilson run for 3 yds to the Colo 45

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+65 yds

Cole Becker kickoff for 65 yds , Jullen Ison return for 23 yds to the NoCol 38 , return for no gain to the NoCol 38

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.34

Deion Smith run for 21 yds to the NoCol 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Deion Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoCol 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Brendon Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.17

Brendon Lewis pass complete to La'Vontae Shenault for 23 yds to the NoCol 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Deion Smith run for 7 yds to the NoCol 5

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.23

Deion Smith run for 5 yds for a TD, (Cole Becker KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Tru Wilson for 6 yds to the NoCol 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.20

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Kassidy Woods for 23 yds to the Colo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Zain Zincola for 7 yds to the Colo 39

2nd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.20

Dylan McCaffrey pass complete to Dylan McCaffrey for 9 yds to the Colo 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Dylan McCaffrey run for 3 yds to the Colo 27

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

4th & 7Penalty+10 yds

#12 D.McCaffrey pass to the right incomplete intended for #13 J.Mitchell broken up by #42 T.Woods at the COL0; QB hurried by #4 J.Montgomery. PENALTY COL Holding on #21 K.Moore enforced 10 yards from the COL27 to the COL17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan McCaffrey sacked by Guy Thomas for 0 yards to the Colo 21

2nd & 14Penalty+5 yds

COLORADO Penalty, Roughing the Passer on G.Thomas enforced half the distance from the goal (Guy Thomas) to the Colo 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

run for a loss of 1 yard to the Colo 9

4th & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.60

Dylan McCaffrey pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joe Davis run for 5 yds to the Colo 14

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Joe Davis run for 6 yds to the Colo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joe Davis run for 5 yds to the Colo 25

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joe Davis run for 4 yds to the Colo 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Joe Davis run for 2 yds to the Colo 31 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northern Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
36%
22 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
33%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Colorado

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
44%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
60%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
4th