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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12

House Prediction

Model Margin

BYU by 16.9

Home Win Probability

Georgia Southern 12%

Market (consensus)

Georgia Southern +20

Edge: Georgia Southern +20 (3.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BYUBYU
7137734
Georgia SouthernGeorgia Southern
3140017

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-1417-1717-2717-34
Georgia SouthernBYU

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20GSBYUGSBYUGSBYUGSBYUGSBYUGSBYUBYUGSBYUGSBYUGSBYUGSBYUFG1354ydTD1284ydPUNT36ydTD475ydTD872ydDOWNS48ydTD457ydFG553ydPUNT33ydFG543ydPUNT3-7ydEND113ydTD1078ydPUNT415ydPUNT614ydTO665ydPUNT624ydTO316ydTD675ydPUNT612ydEND1160yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing BYU and Georgia Southern
StatisticBYUGeorgia Southern
Passing17-2911-15
Pass Yards312122
Rush Yards195146
Total Yards507268
Turnovers02
3rd Down3-104-10
Penalties6-605-45
Possession31:0928:51

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

BYU
passing
Jaren Hall
17/29, 312 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Tyler Allgeier
25 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Gunner Romney
5 REC, 87 YDS
defense
Georgia Southern
passing
Connor Cigelske
11/14, 122 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Logan Wright
14 CAR, 50 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Logan Wright
5 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 13 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.08

Connor Cigelske run for 8 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Jalen White run for 7 yds to the BYU 42

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Jalen White run for 1 yd to the BYU 41

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.99

Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 35

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Connor Cigelske run for 6 yds to the BYU 29

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen White run for 7 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen White run for no gain to the BYU 22

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the BYU 20

3rd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.85

Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 21

4th & 9Field Goal Good+38 yds

Alex Raynor 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.89

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 14 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.08

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 6 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.78

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 25 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Gunner Romney run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 26

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 14

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Lopini Katoa run for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.75

Logan Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+42 ydsPPA +3.17

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 42 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.30

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 14 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.72

Tyler Allgeier run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 5 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.10

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 12 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.78

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 15 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.59

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 19 yds to the BYU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.12

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 10 yds to the BYU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Jalen White run for 9 yds to the BYU 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Logan Wright run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jaren Hall run for no gain to the GeoSo 43

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.62

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

CIGELSKE, Connor pass to the left incomplete intended for WRIGHT, Logan thrown to the BYU30. PENALTY BYU Targeting on TOOLEY, Max enforced 15 yards from the GS 43 to the BYU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Cigelske run for 5 yds to the BYU 37

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.42

Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.27

run for 18 yds to the BYU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Logan Wright run for 11 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +3.31

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 47 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Allgeier run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23

3rd & 5Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 1 yd to the GeoSo 22

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Jake Oldroyd 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.41

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 26

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +2.53

Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 44 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 25

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jaren Hall pass complete to Masen Wake for 7 yds to the GeoSo 18

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 13Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaren Hall pass complete to Tyler Allgeier for 2 yds to the GeoSo 21

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+38 yds

Jake Oldroyd 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Cigelske run for no gain to the GeoSo 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Cigelske pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 30

3rd & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.16

Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 28

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 13 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Anthony Wilson) to the BYU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 37

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaren Hall run for 2 yds to the BYU 39

3rd & 8Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +3.35

Jaren Hall pass complete to Keanu Hill for 21 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.84

Jaren Hall pass complete to Gunner Romney for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Puka Nacua run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 22

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.96

Puka Nacua run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.78

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Amare Jones for 10 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Khaleb Hood run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor Cigelske run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.24

Tyler Allgeier run for 7 yds to the BYU 26

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.30

Jaren Hall run for 7 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Allgeier run for no gain to the BYU 33

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+3 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 63 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 7

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.07

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Beau Johnson for 28 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 16 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.58

Jalen White run for 8 yds to the BYU 28

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.57

Amare Jones pass intercepted return for no gain to the BYU 10

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jaren Hall run for 10 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 26

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 28

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offsides (Dillon Springer) to the BYU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Tyler Allgeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 34

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+9 yds

Ryan Rehkow punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.41

run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -2.90

Connor Cigelske pass intercepted return for no gain to the BYU 25

1st & 10Penalty+32 yds

HALL, Jaren pass to the left complete for 32 yards to NACUA, Samson caught at the BYU41 and advanced to the BYU41 (BIRDSONG, Justin), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY BYU Unsportsmanlike Conduct on NACUA, Puka GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on EDWARDS III, Michael , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Jaren Hall pass complete to Samson Nacua for 29 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.72

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 29

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +3.15

Jaren Hall pass complete to Puka Nacua for 29 yds for a TD (Jake Oldroyd KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Connor Cigelske pass complete to Logan Wright for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Connor Cigelske run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 33

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Cigelske run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 35

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Connor Cigelske pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Anthony Beck II punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Tyler Allgeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 39

2nd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Lopini Katoa run for 7 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Lopini Katoa run for 2 yds to the BYU 48

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

HALL, Jaren pass to the left complete for 20 yards to KATOA, Lopini caught at the BYU41 and advanced to the GS 32 (ROBINSON II, Eldrick). PENALTY BYU Illegal Block in the Back on TUKUAFU, Joe enforced 10 yards from the BYU48 to the BYU38. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Rush+24 ydsPPA +3.62

Tyler Allgeier run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Tyler Allgeier run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Jaren Hall pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Allgeier run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

Tyler Allgeier run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Allgeier run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23

2nd & 6Penalty0 yds

Kneel down by BYU at GS 0 (team loss of 3). PENALTY GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on SPRINGER, Dillon enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on ELLIS, Justin enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the end of the play at the GS 26 to the GS 0 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

Situational Analysis

BYU

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
55%
29 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
75%
4 plays
33%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays

Georgia Southern

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
25 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th