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← Back to GamesNov 20, 2021Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Coastal Carolina by 34

Home Win Probability

Coastal Carolina 97%

Market (consensus)

Coastal Carolina -24.5

Edge: Coastal Carolina -24.5 (9.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 20, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Texas StateTexas State
0147021
Coastal CarolinaCoastal Carolina
7714735

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-721-1428-2135-21
Coastal CarolinaTexas State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCTSCCPUNT38ydPUNT415ydTD1283ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1569ydPUNT30ydTD528ydTD1075ydMISS1043ydTD469ydPUNT3-3ydTD462ydTD464ydTD1075ydPUNT416ydPUNT831ydPUNT617ydTD468ydPUNT512ydPUNT528ydDOWNS1354ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Texas State and Coastal Carolina
StatisticTexas StateCoastal Carolina
Passing14-2722-29
Pass Yards113319
Rush Yards188179
Total Yards301498
Turnovers00
3rd Down3-128-13
Penalties1-53-35
Possession24:5435:06

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Texas State
passing
Tyler Vitt
14/27, 113 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Calvin Hill
12 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ashtyn Hawkins
3 REC, 48 YDS
defense
Coastal Carolina
passing
Grayson McCall
22/28, 319 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Shermari Jones
23 CAR, 92 YDS
receiving
Jaivon Heiligh
10 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Braydon Bennett run for 7 yds to the CCaro 23

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CCU False Start (Lampkin,Willie) 5 yards from CCU23 to CCU18. NO PLAY.

3rd & 17Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 15 yds to the CCaro 33

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.45

Ashtyn Hawkins run for 17 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 39

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the TexSt 42

3rd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.79

Tyler Vitt sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 38

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 8 yds to the CCaro 25

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 14 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSt 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 11 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the TexSt 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 20

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.37

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 19

2nd & 12Passing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +3.08

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 19 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Rontavious Groves

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.25

Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the TexSt 19

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Jahmyl Jeter run for 7 yds to the TexSt 26

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 44 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for no gain to the CCaro 30

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 36

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.76

Grayson McCall sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 29

3rd & 11Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.71

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 15 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 45

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 10 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Braydon Bennett run for 2 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the TexSt 36

3rd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Grayson McCall run for 10 yds to the TexSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.25

Braydon Bennett run for 6 yds to the TexSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+2 yds

Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the TexSt 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Shermari Jones run for no gain to the TexSt 1

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for no gain to the TexSt 1

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.04

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

4th & 10Punt+12 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 39 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 12 yds to the TexSt 28

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 7 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.09

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 11 yds to the TexSt 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 5 yds to the TexSt 5

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.76

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 5 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jahmyl Jeter run for 1 yd to the TexSt 26

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Tyler Vitt run for 10 yds to the TexSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Jahmyl Jeter run for 7 yds to the TexSt 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 13 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Jahmyl Jeter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 43

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Vitt run for 6 yds to the CCaro 37

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.99

Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +1.18

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 28 yds to the CCaro 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jahmyl Jeter run for 1 yd for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the CCaro 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.53

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 6 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the CCaro 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah Likely

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.99

Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 13 yds to the TexSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.80

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 9 yds to the TexSt 29

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron Brown

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.35

Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the TexSt 31

4th & 3Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Massimo Biscardi 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.95

Calvin Hill run for 10 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Calvin Hill run for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

3rd & 5Rushing Touchdown+54 ydsPPA +5.73

Calvin Hill run for 54 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jahmyl Jeter for 3 yds to the TexSt 25

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Javen Banks

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 38

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 45

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.53

Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+52 ydsPPA +4.01

Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 52 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 37

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the TexSt 42

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TXS False Start (Cooper,Dalton) 5 yards from TXS42 to TXS37. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY CCU Personal Foul (Gunter,Jeffrey) 15 yards from TXS37 to CCU48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Calvin Hill run for 10 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 38 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+14 ydsPPA +1.47

Grayson McCall pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 14 yds Braydon Bennett fumbled, forced by Tory Spears, recovered by CCaro Braydon Bennett for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.73

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the TexSt 41

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Grayson McCall run for 10 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the TexSt 24

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 21 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Jahmyl Jeter run for 15 yds to the TexSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Jahmyl Jeter for 4 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Julian Ortega-Jones for 5 yds to the TexSt 46

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.62

Jahmyl Jeter run for no gain to the TexSt 46

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Braydon Bennett run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 22

3rd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.69

Bryce Carpenter run for 11 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Braydon Bennett run for 3 yds to the CCaro 36

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.54

Bryce Carpenter run for 9 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 48

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 49

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Bryce Carpenter pass incomplete to Isaiah Likely

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 16

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Ashtyn Hawkins run for 7 yds to the TexSt 23

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.71

Calvin Hill run for no gain to the TexSt 23

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Calvin Hill

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Tyler Vitt run for 7 yds to the TexSt 33

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the TexSt 41

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Shermari Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.14

Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 39 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Vitt run for 5 yds to the TexSt 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Rontavious Groves for 5 yds to the TexSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Jahmyl Jeter run for 2 yds to the TexSt 28

2nd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.83

Tyler Vitt sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 20

3rd & 16Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.08

Tyler Vitt run for 8 yds to the TexSt 28

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Seamus O'Kelly punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Shermari Jones run for 10 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.93

Shermari Jones run for 10 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 47

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the TexSt 49

3rd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSt 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Charles Ouverson punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Drue Jackson for 11 yds to the TexSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Calvin Hill for 4 yds to the TexSt 35

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Calvin Hill for 3 yds to the TexSt 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.37

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 8 yds to the TexSt 40

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.88

Calvin Hill run for 1 yd to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.50

Calvin Hill run for 17 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Tyler Vitt pass complete to Drue Jackson for 4 yds to the CCaro 38

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Calvin Hill run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41

3rd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Vitt,Tyler pass incomplete to Banks,Javen PENALTY CCU Pass Interference (Strong,D'Jordan) 15 yards from CCU41 to CCU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Trevis Graham Jr.

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.26

Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Marcell Barbee

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.93

run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 24

Situational Analysis

Texas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
44%
25 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
43%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Coastal Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
35 plays
2nd
29%
7 plays
50%
8 plays
70%
10 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
100%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play