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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

App State by 24.5

Home Win Probability

Arkansas State 6%

Market (consensus)

Arkansas State +21.5

Edge: App State -21.5 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
App StateApp State
1410141048
Arkansas StateArkansas State
0140014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-147-1414-2114-2414-3114-3814-4114-48
Arkansas StateApp State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASASPUNT621ydTD1079ydTD38ydPUNT738ydPUNT31ydTD955ydTO613ydTD533ydTD860ydPUNT37ydFG1257ydPUNT415ydPUNT31ydTD1272ydPUNT3-8ydTD648ydTO843ydFG1592ydTD31ydDOWNS730ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing App State and Arkansas State
StatisticApp StateArkansas State
Passing16-2717-30
Pass Yards197137
Rush Yards26462
Total Yards461199
Turnovers13
3rd Down8-155-15
Penalties6-853-40
Possession35:3324:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

App State
passing
Chase Brice
15/26, 163 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Nate Noel
23 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Thomas Hennigan
4 REC, 69 YDS, 1 TD
defense
D'Marco Jackson
2 TFL, 1 PD
Arkansas State
passing
Layne Hatcher
17/30, 137 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Johnnie Lang
6 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Tevailance Hunt
3 REC, 35 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 62 yds , Alan Lamar return for 19 yds to the ArkSt 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Emmanuel Stevenson for 5 yds to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 30

3rd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.00

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 13 yds to the ArkSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds, downed at the AppSt 21

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 21

3rd & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.86

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 13 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.74

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 21 yds to the ArkSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 37

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.63

Nate Noel run for a loss of 3 yards to the ArkSt 40

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 36

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.77

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +2.94

M. Williams pass,to T. Hennigan for 34 yds for a TD, (C. Staton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 61 yds , Alan Lamar return for 18 yds to the ArkSt 22

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 8 yds to the ArkSt 30

3rd & 2Interception Return Touchdown+47 ydsPPA -7.54

Steven Jones Jr. 47 Yd Interception Return (Chandler Staton Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 61 yds , Alan Lamar return for 17 yds to the ArkSt 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jack Combs for 5 yds to the ArkSt 28

3rd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.38

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Adam Jones for 17 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 16 yds to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LANG, Johnnie rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the APP33 (JACKSON, D'Marco;TUCKER, Milan). PENALTY ASU Personal Foul on COMBS, Jack enforced 15 yards from the APP33 to the APP48, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 6 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 19Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jack Combs for 7 yds to the AppSt 41

3rd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.89

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Reagan Ealy for no gain to the AppSt 41

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Thomas Hennigan at the AppSt 8

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 14

3rd & 4Sack0 ydsPPA -0.19

Chase Brice sacked by Joe Ozougwu for 0 yards to the AppSt 9

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Johnnie Lang Jr. at the ArkSt 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Alan Lamar run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 47

2nd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -1.05

Layne Hatcher sacked for 0 yards to the ArkSt 30

3rd & 25Penalty+15 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Jordon Earle) to the AppSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.48

Lincoln Pare run for 16 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the AppSt 23

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+15 yds

HATCHER, Layne pass to the left incomplete intended for STEVENSON, Emmanual broken up by CONE, Madison at the APP4. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on CONE, Madison enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the APP8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Emmanuel Stevenson for 2 yds to the AppSt 6

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 7

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

L. Hatcher pass,to E. Stevenson for 7 yds for a TD, (B. Grupe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 32

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.32

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38

3rd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Brice pass intercepted return for no gain to the AppSt 33

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.98

Johnnie Lang Jr. run for 18 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -0.97

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Corey Rucker for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 20

3rd & 15Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.85

L. Hatcher pass,to R. Painter for 20 yds for a TD, (B. Grupe KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+40 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 40 yds to the AppSt 40

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Camerun Peoples run for 15 yds to the ArkSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the ArkSt 37

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.07

Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the ArkSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 25

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 23

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.13

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the ArkSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.59

N. Noel run for 18 yds for a TD, (C. Staton KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 54 yds , Alan Lamar return for 17 yds to the ArkSt 28

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Johnnie Lang Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 26

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.27

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Emmanuel Stevenson for 9 yds to the ArkSt 35

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 39 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 1 yd to the AppSt 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the AppSt 36

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.91

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 13 yds to the ArkSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 34

2nd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.34

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 17 yds to the ArkSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 5 yds to the ArkSt 12

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.82

Chase Brice run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 17

3rd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Chase Brice run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 16

4th & 9Field Goal Good+33 yds

Chandler Staton 33 Yd Field Goal

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 57 yds , Alan Lamar return for 14 yds to the ArkSt 22

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Chase Brice pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Chase Brice pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds, downed at the ArkSt 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Lincoln Pare run for 2 yds to the ArkSt 18

2nd & 8Sack0 ydsPPA -0.30

Layne Hatcher sacked by Nick Hampton for 0 yards to the ArkSt 17

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Layne Hatcher pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 55 yds , returns for no gain to the AppSt 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 31

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 32

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.63

Chase Brice pass complete to Malik Williams for 15 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 48

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.89

Chase Brice pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 13 yds to the ArkSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Chase Brice run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 22

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.01

Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Thomas Hennigan) to the ArkSt 29

2nd & 25Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.83

Camerun Peoples run for 19 yds to the ArkSt 10

0th & 0Passing Touchdown+10 yds

Miller Gibbs 10 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Chandler Staton Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 63 yds , Alan Lamar return for 18 yds to the ArkSt 20

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -0.56

Layne Hatcher sacked by Nick Hampton for 0 yards to the ArkSt 13

2nd & 17Sack0 ydsPPA -0.08

Layne Hatcher sacked by Tyler Bird for 0 yards to the ArkSt 10

3rd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.01

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Johnnie Lang Jr. for 2 yds to the ArkSt 12

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Ryan Hanson punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 45

3rd & 7Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.46

Nate Noel run for 20 yds to the ArkSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BRICE, Chase pass to the left complete for 4 yards to DAVIS, Dashaun caught at the ASU27 and advanced to the ASU21 (BLACKWELL, Denzel). PENALTY APP Holding on SUTTON, Corey enforced 10 yards from the ASU25 to the ASU35 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Chase Brice pass incomplete

2nd & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the ArkSt 27

3rd & 12Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +4.10

Camerun Peoples 27 Yd Run (Chandler Staton Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 57 yds , Alan Lamar return for 17 yds to the ArkSt 25

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HATCHER, Layne pass to the left incomplete intended for COMBS, Jack thrown to the ASU35. PENALTY APP Targeting on TUCKER, Milan enforced 15 yards from the ASU25 to the ASU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Corey Rucker for 13 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Lincoln Pare run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 48

2nd & 11Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Te'Vailance Hunt for 14 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jeff Foreman for 9 yds to the AppSt 25

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.35

Layne Hatcher pass complete to Jack Combs for 11 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Lincoln Pare run for 4 yds to the AppSt 10

2nd & 6Rush-22 ydsPPA -3.68

Wyatt Begeal run for a loss of 22 yards to the AppSt 32

3rd & 28Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.75

Layne Hatcher pass intercepted return for no gain to the AppSt 3

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 10

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 17

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Chase Brice pass complete to Corey Sutton for 8 yds to the AppSt 25

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.98

Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the AppSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.46

Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 4 yds to the AppSt 46

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.18

Chase Brice pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 8 yds to the ArkSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

BRICE, Chase pass to the left incomplete intended for HORN, Christan broken up by HARRIS, Kenneth at the ASU9. PENALTY ASU Pass Interference on HARRIS, Kenneth enforced 15 yards to the ASU31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the ArkSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.47

Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 14 yds to the ArkSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the ArkSt 10

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Chase Brice run for a loss of 1 yard to the ArkSt 11

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Anderson Castle run for 6 yds to the ArkSt 5

4th & 1Field Goal Good+22 yds

Chandler Staton 22 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 61 yds , Alan Lamar return for 22 yds to the ArkSt 26

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Lincoln Pare run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 27

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.43

Lincoln Pare run for no gain to the ArkSt 27

3rd & 9Interception Return Touchdown+34 ydsPPA -6.95

Steven Jones Jr. 34 Yd Interception Return (Chandler Staton Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Michael Hughes kickoff for 64 yds , Alan Lamar return for 36 yds to the ArkSt 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Edwards run for no gain to the ArkSt 20

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Wyatt Begeal run for a loss of 2 yards to the ArkSt 18

3rd & 12Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.61

Wyatt Begeal run for 23 yds to the ArkSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Josh Edwards run for 1 yd to the ArkSt 42

2nd & 9Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.40

Wyatt Begeal run for a loss of 5 yards to the ArkSt 37

3rd & 14Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.72

Wyatt Begeal run for 11 yds to the ArkSt 48

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

Wyatt Begeal run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

No play data available

Situational Analysis

App State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
58%
12 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays

Arkansas State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
21 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
3 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
57%
7 plays
4th
0%
1 play