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← Back to GamesNov 4, 2021Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisiana by 16.7

Home Win Probability

Louisiana 83%

Market (consensus)

Louisiana -13.5

Edge: Louisiana -13.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 4, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Georgia StateGeorgia State
307717
LouisianaLouisiana
0071421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-37-1014-1721-17
LouisianaGeorgia State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUGSLOUGSLOUGSLOUGSGSLOUGSLOUGSLOUGSLOUGSLOUGSLOUDOWNS1067ydFG1271ydPUNT623ydPUNT1152ydPUNT831ydPUNT1033ydDOWNS1062ydEND12ydPUNT33ydPUNT613ydPUNT32ydTO22ydTD352ydTD1275ydPUNT52ydTD651ydTD1676ydTD871ydDOWNS512ydUncategorized415yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Georgia State and Louisiana
StatisticGeorgia StateLouisiana
Passing8-1919-34
Pass Yards98287
Rush Yards209143
Total Yards307430
Turnovers01
3rd Down7-158-15
Penalties3-126-55
Possession28:4631:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Georgia State
passing
Darren Grainger
8/19, 98 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Tucker Gregg
23 CAR, 99 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Roger Carter
3 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisiana
passing
Levi Lewis
19/34, 287 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Montrell Johnson
17 CAR, 98 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Peter Leblanc
9 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.89

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 35 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 4 yds to the GeoSt 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.46

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 10 yds to the GeoSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.65

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 9 yds to the GeoSt 17

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.48

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 8

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.91

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.46

Tucker Gregg run for 12 yds to the GeoSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 22

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 29

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.78

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the GeoSt 38

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.92

Darren Grainger run for 10 yds to the GeoSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.94

Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 24 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Roger Carter

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Darren Grainger pass complete to Tucker Gregg for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21

4th & 5Field Goal Good+39 yds

Noel Ruiz 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.73

Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 18 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Quavian White at the GeoSt 9

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, False Start (-4 Yards) to the GeoSt 5

1st & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Darren Grainger run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 8

2nd & 11Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.05

Tucker Gregg run for 16 yds to the GeoSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.83

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Darren Grainger pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Darren Grainger run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 42

3rd & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.29

Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 15 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jamyest Williams run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 39

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 31 yds, downed at the LaLaf 8

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Pearse Migl

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.75

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the LaLaf 25

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.78

Montrell Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.38

Levi Lewis sacked by Jordan Veneziale for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 28

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.

3rd & 14Penalty+5 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the LaLaf 33

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Levi Lewis run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 39

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 61 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Darren Grainger pass complete to Terrance Dixon for 5 yds to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Darren Grainger run for 1 yd to the GeoSt 26

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.12

Darren Grainger run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jamyest Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 38

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Darren Grainger pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the GeoSt 49

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.33

Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamyest Williams run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Darren Grainger pass complete to Aubry Payne for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43

3rd & 7Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.63

Darren Grainger sacked by Andre Riley for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 47

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Levi Lewis pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+51 ydsPPA +4.47

Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 51 yds to the GeoSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 22

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.79

Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the GeoSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSt 19

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 13

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the GeoSt 6

4th & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -4.07

Levi Lewis sacked by Jacorey Crawford for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 15

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney

4th & 7Punt+8 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 42 yds , Eric Garror returns for 8 yds to the LaLaf 36 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 28

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-14 Yards) to the LaLaf 14

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson

3rd & 8Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.96

Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 19 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Michael Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Montrell Johnson run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Lewis run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Rhys Byrns punt for 35 yds, downed at the GeoSt 24

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Darren Grainger run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 26

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais Credle

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Robert Lewis

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 55 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 19

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 21

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.22

Levi Lewis pass intercepted Antavious Lane return for no gain to the GeoSt 48

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Jamyest Williams run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamyest Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +3.34

Darren Grainger pass complete to Roger Carter for 37 yds for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 18 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Montrell Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.15

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 15 yds to the GeoSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the GeoSt 34

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

3rd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Levi Lewis run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Montrell Johnson run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 17

3rd & 8Penalty-10 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the GeoSt 27

3rd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.36

Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 13 yds to the GeoSt 14

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +3.38

Peter LeBlanc 13 Yd pass from Levi Lewis (Nate Snyder Kick)

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 53 yds , Quavian White return for 14 yds to the GeoSt 26

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jamyest Williams run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 33

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Jamyest Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.99

Darren Grainger sacked by Andre Riley for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Roger Carter

3rd & 17Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.16

Darren Grainger sacked by Andre Jones and Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSt 28

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Michael Hayes punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +1.24

Levi Lewis pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 31 yds to the GeoSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 5 yds to the GeoSt 14

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 11

3rd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSt 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+4 yds

GEORGIA ST Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (4 Yards) to the GeoSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSt 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Montrell Johnson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 34

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Tucker Gregg run for 6 yds to the GeoSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tucker Gregg run for 2 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the GeoSt 46

3rd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.98

Darren Grainger run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 40

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tucker Gregg run for no gain to the LaLaf 40

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.10

Tucker Gregg run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Tucker Gregg run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.38

Jamyest Williams run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jamyest Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Tucker Gregg run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 6

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 5

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.64

Tucker Gregg run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+2 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Face Mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tucker Gregg run for 1 yd for a TD, (Noel Ruiz KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Michael Hayes kickoff for 46 yds , Pearse Migl return for 10 yds to the LaLaf 29

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Montrell Johnson run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlanc

3rd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.20

Montrell Johnson run for 23 yds to the GeoSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.63

Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 20 yds to the GeoSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSt 20

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Montrell Johnson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Nate Snyder KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

LOUISIANA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the LaLaf 20

1st & 25Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Nate Snyder kickoff for 60 yds , Quavian White return for 19 yds to the GeoSt 39

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Jamyest Williams run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Ja'Cyais Credle

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jamyest Williams run for no gain to the LaLaf 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Darren Grainger pass incomplete to Sam Pinckney

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 42

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.10

Montrell Johnson run for 9 yds to the GeoSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSt 35

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.16

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSt 36

Situational Analysis

Georgia State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
80%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play

Louisiana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
41%
27 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
20%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
88%
8 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays